Loud-Reminder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

438

Trades

826

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-19 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

75% 79% -$10

Crypto

20% 89% +$1

Politics

3% 83% +$0

Sports

1% 75% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	8	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-30 08:32
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	4	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	07-30 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 27?	4	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	05-27 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 44°C or higher on July 26?	3	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-25 16:13
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-23 05:52
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-30 14:54
will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-19 10:02
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-20 16:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 29?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-29 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-20 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 27?	4	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-26 15:08
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 23?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-23 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on July 25?	3	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-24 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-24 14:30
will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 21:46
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-26 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on May 15?	3	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	05-15 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-20 00:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 17?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-17 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?	4	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-10 22:48
Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	2	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	09-22 17:42
xrp above 1pt3 on july 28 2026	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-28 05:10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	10-12 03:08
will tsla reach 405 by july 20 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-23 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on July 30?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:43
will russia capture myropillia by july 31	3	$56	42	14	+28	No	+$0	08-01 03:14
will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 19:00
bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 11:39
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-29 18:38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 20?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-20 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:37:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec3499…
10-18 16:29:41	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb57c1d…
10-16 14:17:09	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfd7f36…
10-13 11:23:46	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x420825…
10-13 07:59:08	Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4fb618…
10-12 23:43:48	Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe3d13d…
10-12 09:26:13	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc55476…
10-12 05:56:41	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6abd91…
10-12 03:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x476d29…
10-12 03:06:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x5bf00b…
10-12 02:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x246376…
10-11 22:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x094d28…
10-11 19:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf9324a…
10-10 07:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdadaa3…
10-10 04:36:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x49951c…
10-10 01:16:59	Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xfeb3cf…
10-05 11:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xaa170c…
10-02 02:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8617a4…
10-01 22:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd9787a…
10-01 05:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x418a7a…
09-28 04:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xc49dc5…
09-27 21:44:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0b7516…
09-22 23:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2868c4…
09-22 17:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82982a…
09-22 17:42:52	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x36ff61…
09-22 17:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1853e4…
09-22 15:28:57	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7487db…
09-21 19:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd85f05…
09-18 22:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7c3106…
09-18 02:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x002033…
09-17 16:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x3d9e09…
09-13 04:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf3ffc5…
09-11 20:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 11?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5ed329…
09-11 03:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x69467e…
09-10 20:14:27	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2036ef…
09-07 15:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on September 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8faf40…
09-06 12:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x5bc914…
09-06 08:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa1962c…
09-05 22:39:55	Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x93008d…
09-05 06:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x215155…
09-05 03:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x5134e9…
09-04 23:19:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc815fa…
09-04 18:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7ad6b4…
09-04 11:13:00	bitcoin above 76k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7220ea…
09-04 02:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x49993d…
09-03 20:37:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x079294…
09-03 05:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0bfe5b…
09-03 04:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa0759a…
09-02 20:39:33	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7d164f…
09-02 11:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x001d61…
09-02 07:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc7fce9…
09-01 10:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb8bab…
09-01 02:30:46	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x75b162…
08-31 02:52:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x872902…
08-30 23:54:54	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x73f0cc…
08-30 17:00:15	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53ecba…
08-30 16:14:45	Lecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7834b4…
08-30 02:32:24	will bitcoin reach 79k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x24e356…
08-29 22:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa1fff6…
08-29 15:17:39	ethereum above 2900 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xadd711…
08-29 15:06:43	bitcoin above 84k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x84ddfb…
08-28 07:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfe5f24…
08-27 15:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf96968…
08-27 03:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x687c8c…
08-27 02:58:09	bitcoin above 84k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x9cb687…
08-26 21:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa7d919…
08-26 18:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x884d30…
08-26 10:46:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2c03f7…
08-25 14:06:45	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfcfbb9…
08-25 11:51:22	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4dd16d…
08-25 03:35:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaed719…
08-25 01:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5eba91…
08-24 16:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x442ed9…
08-24 10:31:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4a70b4…
08-23 22:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5964d6…
08-23 17:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x684b01…
08-14 17:39:12	Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x064500…
08-14 06:23:34	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb31bd3…
08-13 18:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9c2b50…
08-13 14:07:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x634f29…
08-13 10:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x089b58…
08-12 23:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x011fbe…
08-12 22:48:31	will xrp reach 1pt05 on august 12	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x739327…
08-12 08:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa76f3a…
08-12 01:42:42	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x30c92d…
08-12 00:24:12	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x07ee09…
08-11 22:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x104c99…
08-11 13:43:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9f543f…
08-10 22:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa4a49f…
08-10 19:33:22	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x932688…
08-10 12:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xcea9c4…
08-10 10:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2c00d5…
08-09 18:04:57	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe25ede…
08-09 11:14:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2331f3…
08-09 09:56:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x90c895…
08-09 01:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8bce88…
08-08 19:06:58	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x311c8d…
08-08 01:22:24	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x323ac9…
08-08 01:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4c0d76…
08-07 22:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x934dce…