Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$170
$2,036 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$7,166
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 17:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $48 | $48 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $6 | $57 | $51 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $22 | $19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $33 | $32 |
| Below median | 12 | $1 | $41 | $40 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +133 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-14 12:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…bf0f | Yes | +125 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:30 |
| Unequaled-Ton 0x7c63…93d4 | Yes | +118 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 13:43 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 13:43 |
| Sweet-Noise 0xa9df…38fd | Yes | +93 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:34 |
| Apprehensive-Venison 0xfb88…56ba | Yes | +74 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 15:48 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 22:31 |
| Obvious-Crystal 0xd904…7dc9 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-15 01:25 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 05-14 21:52 |
| Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-13 07:01 |
| Well-To-Do-Patent 0xefa3…2350 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 21:51 |
| Costly-Hour 0xd990…4349 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 05:20 |
| Worthwhile-Member 0x753c…2d2b | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 23:27 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 17:51:39 | Admired-Capitalism 0xaae1…4edf | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x3c4975… |
| 05-15 13:06:29 | Joyful-Chicory 0xb190…b894 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xfc9572… |
| 05-15 11:40:11 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x357584… |
| 05-15 08:41:39 | Bold-Carry 0x7682…f299 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf50149… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf2f2a… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a5dda… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x662397… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c7c0b… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c567d… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ffe35… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb1d81… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04394b… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x372bb9… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67ab0c… |
| 05-15 05:24:29 | Villainous-Billing 0x59e6…c4d4 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4c570a… |
| 05-15 05:24:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x505781… |
| 05-15 05:19:28 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f7f63… |
| 05-15 05:19:28 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d5dbe… |
| 05-15 05:19:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc19130… |
| 05-15 03:50:29 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e3abd… |
| 05-15 01:25:24 | Obvious-Crystal 0xd904…7dc9 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x398cd9… |
| 05-14 23:27:36 | Worthwhile-Member 0x753c…2d2b | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x51b58f… |
| 05-14 21:52:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc844c7… |
| 05-14 21:51:49 | Well-To-Do-Patent 0xefa3…2350 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x1c58f1… |
| 05-14 21:34:49 | Sweet-Noise 0xa9df…38fd | Yes | BUY | 93 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb8e35e… |
| 05-14 21:22:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6a0b8e… |
| 05-14 15:48:56 | Apprehensive-Venison 0xfb88…56ba | Yes | BUY | 74 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf6b989… |
| 05-14 13:07:59 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x508b9e… |
| 05-14 12:57:33 | Mundane-Currency 0x5451…6f23 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf75c90… |
| 05-14 12:47:43 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9c4f1e… |
| 05-14 12:30:43 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…bf0f | Yes | BUY | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0df441… |
| 05-14 12:30:36 | Granular-Purse 0xee24…bd15 | Yes | SELL | 627 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x35799a… |
| 05-14 05:20:32 | Costly-Hour 0xd990…4349 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6637ac… |
| 05-14 01:07:04 | Necessary-Wasp 0x5abf…4f48 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe3f12… |
| 05-13 22:31:11 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x8f4692… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x31716c… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe89ed8… |
| 05-13 21:41:46 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b6382… |
| 05-13 13:43:28 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8a95fe… |
| 05-13 13:43:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x3a4fa7… |
| 05-13 13:43:28 | Unequaled-Ton 0x7c63…93d4 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0e182c… |
| 05-13 07:01:26 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xf65d14… |
| 05-13 05:03:25 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7481a0… |