Worthwhile-Member — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

437

Trades

814

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-19 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

75% 83% +$3

Crypto

19% 88% +$1

Politics

4% 90% +$0

Tech

1% 50% $0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	6	$150	75	75	+0	Yes	$0	07-22 23:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 4°C or below on July 26?	7	$134	67	67	+0	No	+$0	07-25 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 24?	5	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	07-24 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 44°C or higher on July 21?	6	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-21 02:45
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 29?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-29 04:25
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$67	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 08:11
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	06-01 09:22
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 62forhigher	7	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	04-19 12:41
xrp above 1pt2 on july 25 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-25 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?	5	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	06-27 04:54
bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 15:55
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	5	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-25 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 29?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-28 19:08
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-19 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 23?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-23 09:52
bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-28 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 30?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 19:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 12:44
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-01 00:29
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-31 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C or below on July 11?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-10 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 27?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-27 05:16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-20 16:30
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 24	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-24 21:34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-16 07:54
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-30 12:36
will the odyssey score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	4	$49	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	07-19 18:35
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-19 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:56:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xb3b982…
10-18 21:47:33	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x57b973…
10-16 12:08:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaab1e0…
10-13 03:25:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0785d2…
10-13 01:57:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9763f6…
10-12 07:21:01	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9c19cd…
10-12 05:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xa3bc72…
10-12 03:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb898c0…
10-12 03:37:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x813fe7…
10-11 17:39:49	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 12?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x20f93e…
10-11 16:29:57	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x08df08…
10-10 06:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0cdb89…
10-10 01:13:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc778ba…
10-05 10:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5ca538…
10-02 02:40:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0cdb48…
10-01 23:35:21	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0ddcdf…
10-01 05:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x136bb8…
09-28 01:31:47	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe9f8f0…
09-27 22:04:38	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4f50ce…
09-24 22:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x557717…
09-23 05:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6fc712…
09-23 01:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x40a0dd…
09-22 19:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x982bd2…
09-22 15:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7b1b3d…
09-21 21:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x81182c…
09-18 16:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 19?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x18a411…
09-18 01:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x614e6b…
09-17 11:11:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1de368…
09-13 04:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x714be0…
09-11 22:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa72fed…
09-11 02:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcac94e…
09-10 20:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x389963…
09-07 16:51:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7d1b8a…
09-06 21:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 7?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x228240…
09-06 05:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C on September 7?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf7ea8e…
09-05 23:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6da34c…
09-05 06:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfb7301…
09-05 03:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f0f43…
09-04 21:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55442a…
09-04 15:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x60e7c2…
09-04 09:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0b7dc3…
09-04 00:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb5f85b…
09-03 15:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a7f16…
09-03 05:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x8d0f82…
09-03 01:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa616eb…
09-02 12:06:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x254991…
09-02 07:12:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdab066…
09-02 05:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdff36f…
09-01 09:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb8043b…
09-01 01:51:25	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd2c322…
08-31 04:01:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x909406…
08-31 02:33:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x74f482…
08-30 16:44:33	Will Iran target Syria by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbcde91…
08-30 15:43:36	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcd2d32…
08-30 06:31:03	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4e0bc2…
08-29 22:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad3723…
08-29 08:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9bf5a9…
08-28 17:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x2f8f22…
08-28 03:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2c80ad…
08-27 10:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4ff999…
08-27 08:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x455721…
08-27 06:38:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x87f7b6…
08-26 20:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1aea22…
08-26 12:14:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf9ec84…
08-26 09:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbac858…
08-25 10:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7522e3…
08-25 07:11:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xa8ee28…
08-24 21:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb75ef8…
08-24 17:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x577122…
08-24 06:57:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc24e9…
08-24 00:51:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x10308a…
08-23 18:07:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe9d8df…
08-23 16:59:55	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb4ad9a…
08-14 07:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf73125…
08-13 22:01:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 14?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xffa5fd…
08-13 15:59:01	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x16945b…
08-13 09:43:30	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb7ca29…
08-13 06:44:52	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x569997…
08-12 21:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7aee74…
08-12 07:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x99403d…
08-12 05:13:48	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x655dd5…
08-12 01:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x0e5401…
08-11 19:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5fef5c…
08-11 14:16:30	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa577dd…
08-10 22:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x18c81b…
08-10 21:05:39	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3855ed…
08-10 12:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe97e37…
08-09 13:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2a988d…
08-09 11:05:09	bitcoin above 64k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb5a613…
08-09 05:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 9?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0c43e7…
08-09 01:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x490138…
08-08 18:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8a3d74…
08-08 04:22:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaffc8d…
08-08 01:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x37179b…
08-07 22:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x43964e…
08-07 19:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaba16d…
08-07 10:39:10	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x206554…
08-07 08:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3d0d3d…
08-06 23:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfc3af7…
08-05 22:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc96f6e…