Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$162
$43 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$804
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 22:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $4 | $66 | $63 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $45 | $44 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agile-Chemical 0xe955…5f29 | Yes | +439 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | +62 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-15 17:56 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 02:00 |
| Worthwhile-Member 0x753c…2d2b | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 03:38 |
| Ajar-Cummerbund 0x1581…d604 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 01:25 |
| Exciting-Peach 0x7dc6…3d58 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 16:47 |
| Beloved-Executor 0x5253…58ff | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 02:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 23:13 |
| Pessimistic-Condition 0xf255…a6e8 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 18:32 |
| Livid-Background 0x7c7d…4dea | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 16:09 |
| Decisive-Nanoparticle 0x9623…1cfe | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 16:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 22:58:39 | Starchy-Turning 0xce8e…6c34 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x598344… |
| 05-16 19:17:00 | Soggy-Rotation 0xbf48…e542 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa9bdb2… |
| 05-16 17:51:59 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf61223… |
| 05-16 16:56:43 | Pale-Barrel 0xfbd0…47c6 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0f9344… |
| 05-16 11:20:48 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x764e5e… |
| 05-16 11:20:48 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe3c42… |
| 05-16 10:46:37 | Youthful-Village 0x2cb1…b7c7 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x31b8a6… |
| 05-16 08:41:12 | Foolish-Effector 0xc8c6…5d2f | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x52f5a6… |
| 05-16 06:21:12 | Agile-Chemical 0xe955…5f29 | Yes | BUY | 439 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x52a5cd… |
| 05-16 04:48:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb8414… |
| 05-16 03:38:50 | Worthwhile-Member 0x753c…2d2b | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf7fcc9… |
| 05-16 02:34:17 | Beloved-Executor 0x5253…58ff | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x251fef… |
| 05-16 02:00:31 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa53436… |
| 05-16 01:25:55 | Ajar-Cummerbund 0x1581…d604 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6de9ea… |
| 05-16 00:45:42 | Defiant-Savior 0x6c06…f3e8 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfd5b5e… |
| 05-16 00:05:50 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x178211… |
| 05-15 23:19:01 | Hospitable-Velvet 0x6e0f…9a05 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7eb12c… |
| 05-15 23:13:55 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x804bcb… |
| 05-15 18:32:48 | Pessimistic-Condition 0xf255…a6e8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6fe210… |
| 05-15 17:56:56 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 62 | 80¢ | $50 | 0xc3d0fb… |
| 05-15 16:47:27 | Exciting-Peach 0x7dc6…3d58 | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x7382d1… |
| 05-15 16:22:19 | Decisive-Nanoparticle 0x9623…1cfe | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x5fedb0… |
| 05-15 16:09:48 | Livid-Background 0x7c7d…4dea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xcdc292… |