Soggy-Rotation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

430

Trades

806

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-18 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

76% 78% -$46

Crypto

18% 89% +$1

Politics

4% 75% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	5	$173	87	87	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	4	$129	65	65	+0	No	$0	07-21 17:05
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-19 17:53
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	10-12 05:38
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 23?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-23 01:52
Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	2	$69	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 29?	4	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-29 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 25?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C or below on July 26?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-25 17:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-28 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 22?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-22 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 17?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-17 07:16
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 20?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-19 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on July 30?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-30 05:05
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-31 02:51
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C or below on May 7?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-07 11:30
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 23	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-24 01:39
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-28 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 29?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-29 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on July 28?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-27 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 27?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-26 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 22?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 3?	7	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-02 22:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-20 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on July 19?	3	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-19 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-25 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	5	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-24 12:32
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-27 05:08
Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-30 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 09:02:21	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x283739…
10-13 09:43:44	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x42757a…
10-13 09:25:52	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x040da9…
10-12 10:21:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x053096…
10-12 10:13:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x235b3d…
10-12 08:25:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x172dbb…
10-12 05:38:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x0a0e83…
10-12 03:25:30	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b8e91…
10-12 02:49:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x7b5f1e…
10-10 08:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfc6289…
10-07 19:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c8e1d…
10-05 10:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd11c38…
10-03 06:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc6dea8…
10-01 21:43:03	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xea0836…
10-01 05:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 1?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x387177…
09-28 01:33:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb0eebd…
09-27 18:56:29	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa149a6…
09-23 10:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a4cbe…
09-23 10:05:19	bitcoin above 80k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x831620…
09-23 00:49:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb6dd42…
09-22 17:32:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x826b3b…
09-22 15:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x139983…
09-21 22:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 22?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x21e6b1…
09-19 02:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3269f8…
09-18 02:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x45239c…
09-17 15:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 18?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf1d697…
09-13 03:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8a5d8e…
09-11 02:37:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75.0 and 75.5 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x098767…
09-10 19:05:39	Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x83c7d5…
09-07 14:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x61c947…
09-06 14:39:19	Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 10.5m and 11m?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xca0132…
09-06 06:59:16	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xc4c682…
09-05 22:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3a84f3…
09-05 07:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x254d6c…
09-05 03:23:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb87ae0…
09-04 20:21:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0ed721…
09-04 19:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe97a21…
09-04 02:28:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0a0781…
09-03 15:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xdd5a8e…
09-03 08:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc48f44…
09-02 22:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x13a97b…
09-02 15:57:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xabdb11…
09-02 11:38:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf5fa4e…
09-02 05:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x869070…
09-01 10:06:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc6ffa7…
09-01 03:41:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9b3e38…
08-31 03:36:52	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32affa…
08-31 02:09:19	Lecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x61c53c…
08-30 19:59:40	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x75c235…
08-30 13:49:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on August 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e2e01…
08-30 05:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc7c0a1…
08-29 22:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xeec422…
08-28 11:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x19c545…
08-28 08:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02f38f…
08-28 05:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x38d0dc…
08-27 12:01:21	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f5c99…
08-27 08:23:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8511f9…
08-27 03:22:04	bitcoin above 84k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0f90cc…
08-26 20:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaab5e6…
08-26 17:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x12692d…
08-25 15:14:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x9848dc…
08-25 12:43:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7f4fe6…
08-25 03:04:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x12cbb5…
08-24 20:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4e2261…
08-24 15:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x170909…
08-24 10:24:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x55bb7e…
08-24 04:46:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb3d050…
08-23 21:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x85a108…
08-23 16:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x419f2a…
08-14 07:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2dd075…
08-13 18:14:51	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x601df5…
08-13 15:36:18	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xac3c8b…
08-13 15:21:03	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8a2d09…
08-12 22:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xab8cbc…
08-12 07:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0699b5…
08-12 02:25:13	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x609405…
08-11 23:07:27	xrp above 0pt9 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4120b8…
08-11 20:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on August 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x806996…
08-11 12:54:07	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x88fbd1…
08-10 23:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe79548…
08-10 19:25:07	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdb040b…
08-10 15:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf8abb2…
08-10 11:39:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x692e9a…
08-09 11:51:49	bitcoin above 66k on august 9 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3ce65b…
08-09 11:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x12186b…
08-09 06:01:27	will 5th or fifth be in the headlines this week 20260731155626114	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd0c52e…
08-09 02:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9e4359…
08-08 18:59:57	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x32ff22…
08-08 03:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x29da69…
08-08 01:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x063286…
08-07 20:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdae01a…
08-07 15:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x34a6f1…
08-07 10:58:18	will spy dip to 730 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf48e51…
08-07 09:36:30	will wti reach 95 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x60e6e5…
08-06 06:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 7?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5f28ba…
08-06 03:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3bdeaf…
08-06 00:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x56d537…
08-05 21:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xed9723…
08-05 14:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x72975c…
08-05 12:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfee63d…