Pale-Barrel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$682

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-03 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 100% +$0

Other

26% 0% $-0

Sports

18% — —

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No		+22	$22	99¢	$22	$-0	06-01 17:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana dip to $70 May 25-31?	2	$53	26	26	+0	open	—	06-01 07:44
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	05-20 03:15
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	02-04 05:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 10:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-20 00:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 00:46
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	02-04 05:52
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	1	$27	28	0	+28	open	—	05-20 17:20
Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 14:18
Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?	2	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-01 17:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 00:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	2	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 02:52
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 22:24
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-05 08:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 21?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-21 11:16
Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 19:43
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 22?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-22 05:41
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	02-04 05:53
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-30 00:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-24 23:00
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$15	7	7	+0	open	—	06-01 00:44
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$14	0	14	-14	open	—	01-05 04:36
will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-05 08:54
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 18:10
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-13 21:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 01:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 16:06
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$-0	04-05 08:54
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	2	$9	5	4	+0	open	—	02-04 05:53
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-18 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 06:24:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb29aff…
06-02 13:44:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf79617…
06-02 12:45:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x230904…
06-01 19:43:58	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd88e07…
06-01 17:53:01	Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa08c8c…
06-01 10:06:42	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1aecb…
06-01 07:44:15	Will Solana dip to $70 May 25-31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa49e27…
06-01 03:49:05	Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1734b1…
06-01 00:44:59	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcdf148…
05-31 23:33:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92efa9…
05-30 23:12:50	Will Solana dip to $70 May 25-31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9fe998…
05-30 22:24:48	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe1cfa9…
05-30 15:15:28	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98f684…
05-30 02:38:16	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x762f54…
05-30 00:03:50	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1542f3…
05-29 16:24:52	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x719b3b…
05-24 23:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6a5177…
05-22 05:41:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbc762f…
05-21 11:16:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x825526…
05-20 17:20:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x25950c…
05-20 14:18:47	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1d247d…
05-20 12:28:16	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x868f20…
05-20 03:15:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7993d7…
05-20 00:37:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf107ae…
05-20 00:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x935d19…
05-19 09:09:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb6f47…
05-19 05:21:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf0eed6…
05-19 02:13:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2e3ddf…
05-19 00:46:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x954e22…
05-18 12:00:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f563c…
05-18 10:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe5cf48…
05-18 08:49:29	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x00590b…
05-18 06:32:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc26e98…
05-17 01:08:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51d92a…
05-15 18:10:47	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xea7bfd…
05-14 16:06:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb9362…
05-12 02:52:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x12272f…
05-11 22:31:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf8498e…
04-27 01:43:10	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x353ede…
04-13 21:22:43	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x57f221…
04-05 08:54:35	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdfbd46…
04-05 08:54:01	will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x63b1fe…
04-05 08:53:23	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x91eb7c…
04-04 14:35:27	will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x62e220…
04-03 03:09:41	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c1144…
03-23 07:36:11	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd2f8c9…
03-16 04:34:37	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc6dc8f…
03-16 04:34:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1244dd…
03-16 04:33:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1ebfc8…
03-16 04:32:49	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x19a63b…
03-14 14:02:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x099f0c…
03-03 00:01:33	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa4459…
02-25 17:30:58	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x93673e…
02-22 01:51:44	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf37654…
02-21 06:54:42	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x788a0c…
02-04 05:53:54	Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb35056…
02-04 05:53:10	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x547d4a…
02-04 05:52:08	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x039094…
02-04 05:51:16	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xe74ca2…
02-03 04:41:36	Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x12ea77…
01-30 01:37:20	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21475f…
01-24 10:20:36	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xce2e12…
01-15 06:50:08	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xa29d87…
01-05 04:36:39	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd221ea…
01-05 04:31:07	will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x45e26b…