Pale-Barrel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-20 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$0

Other

27% 0% $-0

Sports

10% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-01 04:57
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-19 05:36
Will Solana dip to $70 May 25-31?	2	$53	26	26	+0	open	—	06-01 07:44
solana above 100 on july 5 2026	5	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	07-04 16:01
xrp above 1pt2 on july 17 2026	3	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	07-17 08:04
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	05-20 03:15
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	4	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	07-20 13:38
bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	06-27 23:35
bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	6	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	07-20 07:39
ethereum above 2000 on july 7 2026	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	07-06 12:26
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	02-04 05:51
will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	3	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	07-17 06:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 10:37
bitcoin above 66k on july 1 2026	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	07-01 07:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-20 00:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 00:46
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	4	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	06-28 23:20
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	06-25 23:27
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	02-04 05:52
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	1	$27	28	0	+28	open	—	05-20 17:20
Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 14:18
bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	07-04 19:29
bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	2	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	07-16 16:20
Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?	2	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-01 17:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 00:37
ethereum above 1900 on july 2 2026	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	07-02 13:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	2	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 02:52
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 22:24
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-05 08:53
ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	3	$17	8	8	+0	open	—	06-26 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 13:38:42	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xb68180…
07-20 07:39:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee1e82…
07-20 07:39:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c8d83…
07-20 07:39:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4fdb0e…
07-20 07:39:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x066ae1…
07-20 07:37:33	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb2fcc9…
07-20 06:52:51	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf6aba2…
07-20 05:30:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdc5879…
07-19 06:47:30	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xad7223…
07-19 05:36:39	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4feb23…
07-19 04:21:58	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x471205…
07-19 01:10:49	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaf5366…
07-17 21:52:12	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 17	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2cc63d…
07-17 20:21:04	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 17	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf58220…
07-17 16:37:34	will mu reach 1080 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x29132d…
07-17 16:30:51	will mu reach 1080 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd8fb21…
07-17 08:04:45	xrp above 1pt2 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2207dc…
07-17 06:30:54	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa772af…
07-17 06:16:55	xrp above 1pt2 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1e61a4…
07-17 05:54:07	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x32eb1d…
07-17 00:22:58	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x188274…
07-16 22:30:14	xrp above 1pt2 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x13d8c6…
07-16 16:20:17	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x47a965…
07-16 09:43:01	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7684c8…
07-14 14:54:28	solana above 60 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7ec430…
07-06 12:26:13	ethereum above 2000 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb58341…
07-06 05:35:37	ethereum above 2000 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1055e6…
07-04 19:29:10	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4a7dd5…
07-04 16:01:26	solana above 100 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x951f79…
07-04 15:48:49	solana above 100 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x71eb57…
07-04 15:44:41	solana above 100 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2e1de2…
07-04 15:22:37	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x75dc3b…
07-04 14:46:50	solana above 100 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf905c9…
07-04 11:02:41	solana above 100 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3351b5…
07-03 16:44:01	ethereum above 2000 on july 4 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf4186d…
07-03 05:39:25	ethereum above 2000 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x463d9b…
07-02 13:08:14	ethereum above 1900 on july 2 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x27f46e…
07-02 07:00:28	ethereum above 1900 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x302619…
07-01 07:37:08	bitcoin above 66k on july 1 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb53c72…
07-01 04:57:59	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x664a5f…
07-01 01:09:56	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f784e…
06-30 17:35:53	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3049cc…
06-30 13:16:32	bitcoin above 66k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2eb8d3…
06-30 12:24:10	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf1eef1…
06-29 22:58:07	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x775687…
06-28 23:20:58	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x37507e…
06-28 23:17:32	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x91b91a…
06-28 22:20:38	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5cbb87…
06-28 20:46:38	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x834bb2…
06-28 12:39:37	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x940609…
06-27 23:35:44	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x157c3a…
06-27 19:13:16	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4a64d9…
06-27 17:10:10	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x344ce0…
06-26 19:48:07	ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x546c87…
06-26 19:47:05	ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb2fa68…
06-26 17:15:46	ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x176d41…
06-25 23:27:10	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6055f6…
06-25 22:28:02	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3eddfa…
06-25 14:31:58	xrp above 1pt2 on june 25 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xad179a…
06-25 13:16:23	xrp above 1pt2 on june 25 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf87a8e…
06-25 06:15:16	xrp above 1pt2 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf65d0e…
06-24 13:47:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb3628…
06-03 06:24:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb29aff…
06-02 13:44:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf79617…
06-02 12:45:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x230904…
06-01 19:43:58	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd88e07…
06-01 17:53:01	Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa08c8c…
06-01 10:06:42	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1aecb…
06-01 07:44:15	Will Solana dip to $70 May 25-31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa49e27…
06-01 03:49:05	Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1734b1…
06-01 00:44:59	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcdf148…
05-31 23:33:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92efa9…
05-30 23:12:50	Will Solana dip to $70 May 25-31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9fe998…
05-30 22:24:48	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe1cfa9…
05-30 15:15:28	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98f684…
05-30 02:38:16	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x762f54…
05-30 00:03:50	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1542f3…
05-29 16:24:52	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x719b3b…
05-24 23:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6a5177…
05-22 05:41:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbc762f…
05-21 11:16:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x825526…
05-20 17:20:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x25950c…
05-20 14:18:47	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1d247d…
05-20 12:28:16	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x868f20…
05-20 03:15:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7993d7…
05-20 00:37:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf107ae…
05-20 00:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x935d19…
05-19 09:09:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb6f47…
05-19 05:21:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf0eed6…
05-19 02:13:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2e3ddf…
05-19 00:46:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x954e22…
05-18 12:00:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f563c…
05-18 10:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe5cf48…
05-18 08:49:29	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x00590b…
05-18 06:32:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc26e98…
05-17 01:08:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51d92a…
05-15 18:10:47	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xea7bfd…
05-14 16:06:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb9362…
05-12 02:52:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x12272f…
05-11 22:31:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf8498e…