Decisive-Nanoparticle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

562

Trades

870

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 18:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

63% 51% +$4

Crypto

28% 70% -$10

Politics

7% 100% +$14

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	3	$40	25	25	+0	No	+$10	01-15 05:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	5	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	01-30 13:18
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$30	25	13	+13	No	+$2	01-15 06:00
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	2	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	04-20 17:13
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?	5	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-08 19:03
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 6?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-05 15:59
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-06 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 25?	2	$15	14	14	+0	Yes	+$13	05-26 03:51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?	5	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 01:22
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	4	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	02-01 22:09
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	4	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$1	02-01 09:30
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	5	$14	52	52	+0	Yes	+$10	06-07 15:21
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	01-23 09:01
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	06-07 11:27
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 7?	3	$11	7	6	+1	No	$0	05-06 18:02
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 27?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-26 16:56
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	01-28 11:39
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-05 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	5	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-14 15:40
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	01-23 14:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	01-04 11:00
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	04-26 21:34
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 16?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	06-16 00:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 15:15 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	01-06 15:21
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 9?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-09 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?	4	$8	8	4	+4	No	+$4	05-21 06:15
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	2	$7	9	4	+5	No	-$3	05-14 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	4	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	06-09 05:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 10:45 UTC	2	$7	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	01-04 10:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 1	1	$7	0	7	-7	No	$0	01-01 04:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 18:02:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6c3119…
07-03 13:43:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x741ad9…
06-29 16:22:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa0f1b5…
06-27 18:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x534856…
06-27 17:20:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf20104…
06-27 16:14:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x20f3a5…
06-27 14:04:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x14d119…
06-27 13:39:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf23196…
06-27 13:33:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfdbdfb…
06-22 05:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0d669d…
06-22 04:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5e30c6…
06-22 04:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeb2576…
06-22 04:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xfbf866…
06-21 07:28:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1b6369…
06-21 06:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x943621…
06-21 06:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xceab91…
06-20 14:19:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4194d3…
06-19 17:09:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xeb4d19…
06-19 17:07:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd7bfd1…
06-18 19:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xfdb21a…
06-18 19:32:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x7570c8…
06-18 14:36:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe68961…
06-18 14:01:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x96e29b…
06-18 14:00:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xc43f74…
06-18 11:13:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x6a95bb…
06-18 09:33:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x13574f…
06-18 09:27:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xceb3af…
06-17 02:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x070849…
06-17 02:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x36e7d8…
06-17 01:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd741e4…
06-17 01:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x1d520e…
06-17 00:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xda7afe…
06-17 00:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4487f3…
06-16 01:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x032d52…
06-16 00:26:16	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 16?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x849194…
06-15 18:04:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x119d1b…
06-15 18:00:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf6dedf…
06-15 13:44:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xfd98e3…
06-15 13:42:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x4f39c3…
06-15 13:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd881f2…
06-15 08:39:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6830cb…
06-15 08:39:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x04f6d6…
06-15 08:38:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1e53fa…
06-14 17:50:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xf488c6…
06-14 17:22:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf4eb77…
06-14 16:24:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9b8613…
06-14 13:26:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb40c51…
06-14 13:19:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x924f75…
06-13 14:02:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xffe03a…
06-12 15:30:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeefff6…
06-12 15:29:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe37351…
06-12 15:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xd5110d…
06-12 13:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x430a59…
06-12 01:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xb0e1b1…
06-12 01:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x15a94f…
06-11 23:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x977d9e…
06-11 12:38:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x0ec925…
06-11 12:37:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd36e20…
06-11 04:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x88cd97…
06-11 01:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc62827…
06-11 01:00:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x505ac6…
06-10 15:20:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2ba661…
06-10 01:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x60d5ce…
06-10 01:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xdfd883…
06-10 01:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x795826…
06-10 01:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x134fad…
06-10 01:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x33f673…
06-10 01:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x82bff6…
06-09 23:18:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xdd8cbd…
06-09 23:18:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3432ed…
06-09 23:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa17067…
06-09 23:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xccde66…
06-09 23:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa4e7bb…
06-09 23:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x56eb80…
06-09 23:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x04443d…
06-09 12:42:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x561aa7…
06-09 12:41:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 9?	No	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xd437c1…
06-09 11:53:49	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x9f072d…
06-09 11:29:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 9?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf47ba0…
06-09 11:22:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x52d722…
06-09 10:21:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0228e7…
06-09 09:54:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3953e9…
06-09 05:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1537b5…
06-09 05:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x8ebf20…
06-09 03:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x742f55…
06-09 03:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf00369…
06-09 03:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf52514…
06-09 02:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x868b79…
06-09 01:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x64cc22…
06-09 01:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xe2196d…
06-09 01:15:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x0d4290…
06-08 16:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2bbdc8…
06-08 15:28:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xe53a90…
06-08 14:51:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x71feb9…
06-08 14:50:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x09b093…
06-08 14:42:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf3d469…
06-08 14:07:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x945ca9…
06-08 11:28:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1086ca…
06-08 10:15:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x2edc28…
06-08 08:26:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x08fa60…