Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
open
Total volume
$403
$759 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,117
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-10 14:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $62
vs crowd: 0% YES on $386)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $49 | $49 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $223 | $223 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | — | $115 | $115 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $62 | $62 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $49 | $49 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $106 | $106 |
| Median | 8 | — | $54 | $54 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $49 | $49 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +108 | $106 | $106 | 2 | 05-08 08:19 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +63 | $62 | $62 | 3 | 05-08 08:19 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-06 17:42 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 03:15 |
| Instructive-Backyard 0x0364…0252 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-06 15:56 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-07 21:14 |
| Natural-Cricketer 0x2376…e6d0 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-09 18:51 |
| Separate-Solicitation 0x9c48…7dd0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 11:55 |
| Tight-Salary 0x6451…f265 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 15:52 |
| Plaintive-Hide-Award 0x7024…89b5 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 18:19 |
| Ornate-Disparity 0x12dd…cc79 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 19:07 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 09:23 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4702…4318 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 23:59 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xe248…aa6d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 23:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 14:47:07 | Shrill-Pest 0x7888…8632 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xfe16d6… |
| 05-10 12:17:10 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec5454… |
| 05-10 08:53:46 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c654a… |
| 05-10 06:18:06 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0x34f675… |
| 05-10 03:15:45 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb70a94… |
| 05-10 03:15:45 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x427f5b… |
| 05-09 23:59:29 | (anonymous) 0x4702…4318 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcb4394… |
| 05-09 23:59:27 | (anonymous) 0xe248…aa6d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x549927… |
| 05-09 19:57:38 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfda865… |
| 05-09 19:07:35 | Ornate-Disparity 0x12dd…cc79 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x97e9e2… |
| 05-09 18:51:08 | Natural-Cricketer 0x2376…e6d0 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xcb4278… |
| 05-09 18:19:22 | Plaintive-Hide-Award 0x7024…89b5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xbb33fe… |
| 05-09 15:52:29 | Tight-Salary 0x6451…f265 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xa16434… |
| 05-09 11:55:10 | Separate-Solicitation 0x9c48…7dd0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfa3663… |
| 05-08 08:19:32 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x98efe2… |
| 05-08 08:19:32 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x113ee5… |
| 05-07 21:14:09 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xa16058… |
| 05-07 21:14:09 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x511e36… |
| 05-07 13:41:29 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb6a1f2… |
| 05-07 09:23:46 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x95ef84… |
| 05-06 17:42:18 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x418e62… |
| 05-06 17:42:18 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x2b6849… |
| 05-06 17:42:18 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 80 | 98¢ | $78 | 0x6859bf… |
| 05-06 15:56:15 | Instructive-Backyard 0x0364…0252 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xbaf3bf… |