Shrill-Pest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

296

Trades

576

lifetime

Volume

$7.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-16 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

79% 88% +$3

Crypto

12% 74% +$0

Politics

6% 69% $0

Sports

3% 54% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+2	$2	100¢	$2	$0	09-21 21:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	3	$102	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 9?	4	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	05-08 20:05
will the total number of tsa passengers for april 6 april 12 be between 16500000 and 17000000	8	$75	37	37	+0	No	+$0	04-13 12:00
xrp above 1pt7 on april 20	3	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	04-20 01:24
Will "Apex" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-03 23:40
Will MrBeast's video get less than 66 million views on day 4?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-06 00:22
highest temperature in mexico city on april 4 2026 21corbelow	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-04 03:20
Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-04 21:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 10?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-10 14:44
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 7?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-06 21:52
will open close between 5 and 6 week april 3 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	04-03 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 6?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-06 09:33
highest temperature in manila on april 20 2026 39corhigher	7	$53	35	19	+16	No	+$0	04-20 08:54
Will "Hulk Hogan: Real American" be the top global Netflix show this week?	5	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-04 22:48
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 6?	3	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-05 11:05
Will José Luna finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	04-12 23:02
Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-03 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on May 2?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-02 03:10
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-08 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on May 3?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-03 00:30
Will Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	$0	05-12 02:07
will im the problem morgan wallen be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 25	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-19 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on April 29?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-29 01:33
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 2 2026 23corbelow	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	04-02 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on May 2?	2	$47	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-02 03:07
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 24c	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-19 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on May 3?	4	$45	23	23	+0	No	$0	05-02 13:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 21	3	$45	22	22	+0	No	$0	04-20 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on April 26?	3	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	04-26 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 01:29:15	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xbf59ff…
10-04 22:34:40	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6202ab…
10-03 06:07:48	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x40fbc1…
10-03 06:06:54	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x977c0d…
10-03 06:06:03	Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3bc914…
10-03 06:05:09	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x168ea0…
10-03 06:04:17	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6367c9…
10-03 06:03:23	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbd2415…
10-03 06:02:32	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x543c3a…
09-21 21:32:10	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x95482d…
09-18 01:20:01	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe4113e…
09-06 09:52:48	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe07f4f…
08-13 08:39:37	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeed610…
08-07 05:02:25	Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc7b928…
08-01 04:49:17	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef1b59…
07-25 10:44:37	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd53f18…
07-21 00:11:37	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d0eac…
07-18 19:11:03	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb02cd0…
07-18 19:10:09	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3ae453…
07-17 12:02:55	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x169238…
07-10 07:39:13	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1cd487…
07-05 00:16:10	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf570ec…
06-29 14:57:14	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfeace9…
06-27 14:08:37	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x24189f…
06-26 12:51:34	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5eb819…
06-26 12:50:37	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x74e7c2…
06-21 06:30:44	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xe02c4b…
06-18 17:43:28	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x65ccbe…
05-14 01:51:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xbab1c2…
05-13 19:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x72abd1…
05-13 19:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa2872b…
05-13 17:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x47b9c0…
05-13 14:19:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6bcda2…
05-13 08:30:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x975bf0…
05-13 08:05:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7ecf4f…
05-13 08:04:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x23932a…
05-12 15:28:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd178fe…
05-12 15:28:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa6bcab…
05-12 15:28:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x485516…
05-12 15:28:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7acbef…
05-12 14:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x424840…
05-12 14:29:41	Will Sheila Korth-Focken win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xcb0ade…
05-12 14:06:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x654d69…
05-12 12:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd2b827…
05-12 10:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1dd421…
05-12 09:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x46a67a…
05-12 09:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on May 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7d24a0…
05-12 06:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6b45e…
05-12 05:25:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x08d6db…
05-12 03:54:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x118926…
05-12 03:30:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9457da…
05-12 02:07:07	Will Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x790df7…
05-12 01:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcdeefa…
05-12 00:01:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xde986d…
05-11 12:34:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3575f5…
05-11 11:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xde4a8a…
05-11 09:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8c69ab…
05-11 09:15:57	Will Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1b5eef…
05-11 09:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 11?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb751fd…
05-11 08:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6cf5f7…
05-11 08:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x86769b…
05-11 08:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x53ece4…
05-11 08:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfb109d…
05-11 06:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d7b82…
05-11 06:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8e2407…
05-11 04:27:34	Will Sheila Korth-Focken win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe7335f…
05-10 23:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 11?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1e0589…
05-10 21:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 11?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x233e67…
05-10 21:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xafe85c…
05-10 20:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfb2b28…
05-10 20:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2be23b…
05-10 16:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcfeb7b…
05-10 15:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa766b2…
05-10 14:52:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x355aab…
05-10 14:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb89e38…
05-10 14:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 10?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x24d6d4…
05-10 14:47:07	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfe16d6…
05-10 14:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 10?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x208fbe…
05-10 10:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3ed1e7…
05-10 09:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x352b3b…
05-10 03:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc132b0…
05-10 02:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8063cc…
05-09 20:55:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf1b0e0…
05-09 20:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x95296d…
05-09 19:01:38	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x320fe3…
05-09 18:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0ffdfe…
05-09 16:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xedb2a3…
05-09 15:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85a1bb…
05-09 14:52:33	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xedf6cf…
05-09 14:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 9?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb4cf6f…
05-09 14:42:26	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xba7584…
05-09 14:39:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xa446db…
05-09 12:13:23	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe2e07a…
05-09 08:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C or higher on May 9?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd646e0…
05-09 06:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe7fc70…
05-09 05:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on May 9?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x04ffc9…
05-09 00:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x405e3c…
05-09 00:00:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1ce873…
05-08 23:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xefcdd8…
05-08 21:31:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x415a9d…