Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?
open
Total volume
$70,149
$13,168 in 24h
Trades
72
Unique wallets
56
Liquidity
$30,532
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-12 23:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $44.0K | — | +$44.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $157 | — | +$157 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 53 | $23.5K | $19 | +$23.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $44.0K | — | +$44.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 21 | $690 | $2 | +$688 |
| Below median | 8 | $74 | — | +$74 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $805 | $4 | +$801 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $143 | — | +$143 |
| unranked | 16 | $21.9K | $10 | +$21.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | Yes | +41,567 | $41,525 | $46,157 | 5 | 05-12 22:31 |
| Wise-Crude 0x33b9…3c0a | Yes | +6,539 | $6,532 | $6,532 | 1 | 05-12 22:58 |
| Heartfelt-Action 0xd087…a93b | Yes | +6,326 | $6,319 | $6,319 | 1 | 05-12 22:53 |
| Grateful-Grief 0x740d…02d6 | Yes | +6,237 | $6,231 | $6,231 | 1 | 05-12 22:48 |
| Powerful-Table 0xe1a3…24ea | No | +5,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:07 |
| Burly-Capitulation 0xf555…4adb | Yes | +1,336 | $1,335 | $1,335 | 1 | 05-12 22:07 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | +805 | $800 | $800 | 3 | 05-12 05:30 |
| Wee-Pumpkinseed 0x7cf1…5cfa | No | +667 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 16:06 |
| Messy-Afternoon 0x2527…4bee | Yes | +500 | $499 | $499 | 1 | 05-12 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c14…b131 | No | +238 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 03:38 |
| Harsh-Diaphragm 0xa3ca…71a8 | Yes | +202 | $201 | $201 | 1 | 05-12 23:21 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | +157 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 05-12 20:05 |
| Dependable-Cage 0x9781…188b | Yes | +157 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 05-12 01:58 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +150 | $143 | $143 | 3 | 05-08 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | +145 | $144 | $144 | 1 | 05-09 01:10 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +143 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 14:08 |
| Skeletal-Strawberry 0x1c8f…944f | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 22:56 |
| Reflecting-Vitality 0xa278…0d40 | Yes | +98 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-12 18:16 |
| Hard-To-Find-Upstairs 0x6a4b…dc5c | Yes | +98 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-12 18:06 |
| Trim-Fixture 0xaa75…0047 | Yes | +96 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 05-12 13:02 |
| Trustworthy-Knickers 0x8dee…3c52 | Yes | +92 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 05-12 12:57 |
| Immaterial-Waterbed 0x907f…86eb | Yes | +91 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-12 12:57 |
| Ultimate-Bed 0x3aae…f585 | Yes | +90 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-12 21:41 |
| Gorgeous-Comics 0xabde…48c4 | Yes | +83 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 05-12 07:06 |
| Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | No | +55 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 06:09 |
| Flawed-Summer 0x4820…517f | Yes | +54 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-12 20:16 |
| Nimble-Iron 0x06ab…83cc | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 06:33 |
| Yellow-Mochi 0x30c4…e3ca | Yes | +49 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-12 20:12 |
| Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | +40 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-08 13:09 |
| Bony-Carp 0x621a…9238 | Yes | +37 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-12 00:28 |
| Treasured-Exwife 0x0b69…d945 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9f0…dc0a | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-08 10:44 |
| Hard-To-Find-Councilor 0x04f6…9bcd | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 05:57 |
| Powerful-Reciprocity 0xbc54…54e0 | Yes | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 07:18 |
| Nippy-Clause 0x92fe…3aea | Yes | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 07:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 23:21:18 | Harsh-Diaphragm 0xa3ca…71a8 | Yes | BUY | 202 | 100¢ | $201 | 0x8d1bf5… |
| 05-12 23:07:06 | Powerful-Table 0xe1a3…24ea | No | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x77b5e3… |
| 05-12 23:03:13 | Treasured-Exwife 0x0b69…d945 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x588db9… |
| 05-12 22:58:10 | Wise-Crude 0x33b9…3c0a | Yes | BUY | 6,539 | 100¢ | $6,532 | 0x4e249d… |
| 05-12 22:56:01 | Skeletal-Strawberry 0x1c8f…944f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x54c445… |
| 05-12 22:53:14 | Heartfelt-Action 0xd087…a93b | Yes | BUY | 6,326 | 100¢ | $6,319 | 0xe43f1f… |
| 05-12 22:48:05 | Grateful-Grief 0x740d…02d6 | Yes | BUY | 6,237 | 100¢ | $6,231 | 0x896086… |
| 05-12 22:33:03 | Low-Session 0x2f54…77d8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0ca82b… |
| 05-12 22:31:52 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | Yes | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xb6b4d4… |
| 05-12 22:20:55 | (anonymous) 0xeafa…158c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa70aca… |
| 05-12 22:07:02 | Burly-Capitulation 0xf555…4adb | Yes | BUY | 1,336 | 100¢ | $1,335 | 0x0e4e2a… |
| 05-12 21:41:40 | Ultimate-Bed 0x3aae…f585 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x8a3877… |
| 05-12 20:16:28 | Flawed-Summer 0x4820…517f | Yes | BUY | 54 | 100¢ | $54 | 0x230681… |
| 05-12 20:12:48 | Yellow-Mochi 0x30c4…e3ca | Yes | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0x13012e… |
| 05-12 20:05:44 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 100¢ | $157 | 0x117f3d… |
| 05-12 20:05:42 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | Yes | SELL | 2,318 | 100¢ | $2,316 | 0x206052… |
| 05-12 20:02:49 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | Yes | BUY | 18,900 | 100¢ | $18,881 | 0x85284a… |
| 05-12 19:56:14 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | Yes | BUY | 2,300 | 100¢ | $2,298 | 0x4e5ba8… |
| 05-12 19:55:25 | Low-Session 0x2f54…77d8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x871b9f… |
| 05-12 19:45:40 | Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x518b7a… |
| 05-12 19:45:31 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | Yes | BUY | 22,385 | 100¢ | $22,362 | 0x636246… |
| 05-12 18:16:43 | Reflecting-Vitality 0xa278…0d40 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 100¢ | $98 | 0x13ad23… |
| 05-12 18:06:28 | Hard-To-Find-Upstairs 0x6a4b…dc5c | Yes | BUY | 98 | 100¢ | $98 | 0x7f539b… |
| 05-12 17:01:22 | Unaware-Hurry 0x95ce…981a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x78e461… |
| 05-12 16:06:22 | Messy-Afternoon 0x2527…4bee | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $499 | 0x9f1ac5… |
| 05-12 16:06:17 | Wee-Pumpkinseed 0x7cf1…5cfa | No | BUY | 667 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x5bec85… |
| 05-12 13:02:56 | Trim-Fixture 0xaa75…0047 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 100¢ | $96 | 0x73ae74… |
| 05-12 13:02:54 | Our-Snowflake 0x3f2a…5272 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xb86ade… |
| 05-12 12:57:55 | Immaterial-Waterbed 0x907f…86eb | Yes | BUY | 91 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x25eda7… |
| 05-12 12:57:41 | Trustworthy-Knickers 0x8dee…3c52 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 100¢ | $92 | 0xe0e418… |
| 05-12 09:27:41 | Plaintive-Hide-Award 0x7024…89b5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x857ca8… |
| 05-12 07:41:17 | Clumsy-Weasel 0x8589…2204 | Yes | SELL | 201 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x56de92… |
| 05-12 07:06:24 | Gorgeous-Comics 0xabde…48c4 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 100¢ | $83 | 0x7f560b… |
| 05-12 05:30:55 | Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x934ece… |
| 05-12 01:58:00 | Dependable-Cage 0x9781…188b | Yes | BUY | 157 | 100¢ | $157 | 0x08e952… |
| 05-12 00:28:01 | Bony-Carp 0x621a…9238 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x5e3781… |
| 05-11 23:52:21 | Attached-Everything 0x1cb3…206c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x0b82d8… |
| 05-11 23:38:26 | Unacceptable-Muffin 0x2843…c1ed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x46f66f… |
| 05-11 11:08:16 | Valid-Snake-Thunderbolt 0x19d0…7d9a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x881c5b… |
| 05-11 04:08:33 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe5a8a7… |
| 05-11 04:08:23 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x36408c… |
| 05-11 04:08:23 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd87a4d… |
| 05-11 04:08:23 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdef5e5… |
| 05-11 03:38:48 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6d67f2… |
| 05-11 03:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x5c14…b131 | No | BUY | 238 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x02cecd… |
| 05-11 03:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8499f0… |
| 05-10 07:21:34 | Nippy-Clause 0x92fe…3aea | Yes | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xffcd2d… |
| 05-10 07:18:53 | Powerful-Reciprocity 0xbc54…54e0 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xafd4d3… |
| 05-10 07:17:32 | Full-Sponge 0xac5d…2a9a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xa66a25… |
| 05-10 07:16:38 | Plaintive-Blind 0x0c49…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xd5996e… |
| 05-10 07:13:47 | Delirious-Hospital 0xc38d…23b4 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x68751e… |
| 05-10 07:13:05 | Those-Lead 0x53a1…bf75 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x50359a… |
| 05-10 06:33:19 | Nimble-Iron 0x06ab…83cc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x84ff8e… |
| 05-10 05:57:25 | Hard-To-Find-Councilor 0x04f6…9bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xdf4225… |
| 05-09 14:08:32 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x92b10b… |
| 05-09 01:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | BUY | 145 | 99¢ | $144 | 0x8bf893… |
| 05-09 01:00:17 | Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | BUY | 300 | 99¢ | $296 | 0x52a2a1… |
| 05-08 13:09:34 | Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x79769c… |
| 05-08 12:59:30 | Tasty-Grid 0xdea0…4ba0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xf948f3… |
| 05-08 10:44:24 | (anonymous) 0xb9f0…dc0a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x50860a… |
| 05-08 10:44:13 | (anonymous) 0xb9f0…dc0a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x219b02… |
| 05-08 08:26:04 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5f1ef9… |
| 05-08 08:26:04 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x78e9d9… |
| 05-08 06:09:51 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | No | BUY | 55 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xfd734d… |
| 05-08 04:43:31 | Vital-Slide 0xaf21…b258 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x621bd9… |
| 05-08 03:35:48 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xaba453… |
| 05-08 03:35:48 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x5f1f62… |
| 05-08 03:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x1cb3…054b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x24983d… |
| 05-08 03:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xe33d…9512 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x83e27f… |
| 05-08 03:34:52 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x4318f8… |
| 05-07 22:24:32 | (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x79f118… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x0eb5e6… |