Legitimate-Garter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$438

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-26 16:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 20% $-7

Other

12% 0% $-1

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	13	$48	45	45	+0	open	—	05-14 12:49
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	8	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	04-23 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$27	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	10	$20	75	45	+30	open	—	05-14 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 12:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$9	44	14	+30	open	—	01-21 09:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 09:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$5	512	0	+512	open	—	05-04 09:34
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	04-13 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$3	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	1	$3	100	0	+100	Down	$-3	05-11 14:34
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$3	86	0	+86	open	—	01-23 16:56
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	03-30 12:53
btc updown 5m 1776093300	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 15:19
btc updown 5m 1776075600	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-13 10:21
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 140 159	4	$2	30	0	+30	open	—	02-17 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 16:16:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x843659…
05-14 12:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xbe00e4…
05-14 12:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xd256e6…
05-14 12:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x42743d…
05-14 12:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x56b128…
05-14 12:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf05859…
05-14 12:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x1f1ff8…
05-14 12:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x0acce6…
05-14 12:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xec8e87…
05-14 12:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x948356…
05-14 12:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x17067a…
05-14 12:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe22377…
05-14 12:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xd70775…
05-14 12:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x73d03f…
05-14 12:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf4a5b2…
05-14 12:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xafb557…
05-14 12:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xa09c0d…
05-14 12:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xd8bcf9…
05-14 12:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x2f5b29…
05-14 12:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x66df0b…
05-14 12:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa4fe95…
05-14 12:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x99038d…
05-14 12:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xfbb7f4…
05-14 12:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xa4483d…
05-14 12:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xf1a76c…
05-14 12:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x279257…
05-14 12:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xd7162f…
05-14 12:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x9ae62c…
05-14 12:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xa0066a…
05-14 12:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xbe4160…
05-14 12:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xa86b15…
05-14 12:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x4fdb54…
05-14 12:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0741ef…
05-14 12:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x021746…
05-14 12:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb325c7…
05-14 12:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0f6d33…
05-14 12:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x926298…
05-14 12:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x1a81aa…
05-14 12:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x291a03…
05-14 12:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x13269a…
05-14 12:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x4f0018…
05-14 11:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xfe28ff…
05-14 11:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xf03b0a…
05-14 11:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x981629…
05-14 11:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd1f826…
05-14 11:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x743132…
05-14 11:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x8e3de2…
05-14 11:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x405c33…
05-14 11:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x4d9b93…
05-14 11:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x6baac1…
05-14 11:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x0a7788…
05-14 11:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x0790bc…
05-14 11:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0f9067…
05-14 11:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x9ce045…
05-14 11:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x3bdc09…
05-14 11:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x7a3527…
05-14 10:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x9715fc…
05-14 10:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xd1febf…
05-14 10:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3b6d2d…
05-14 10:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x7991b4…
05-14 10:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x993650…
05-14 10:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x16ae0d…
05-14 10:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x729836…
05-14 10:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x6d4f40…
05-14 09:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8530e8…
05-12 09:00:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0xacda8e…
05-11 14:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe9ed34…
05-06 08:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda7907…
05-06 07:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xdc7696…
05-06 07:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xd53c9f…
05-06 07:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x26ede2…
05-06 07:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe91efa…
05-06 07:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe72948…
05-04 09:39:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x5e8a70…
05-04 09:39:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x0ab6eb…
05-04 09:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x624e01…
05-04 09:34:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	512	1¢	$5	0x4031af…
04-23 09:58:44	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x9e64a8…
04-19 20:46:18	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xd043dd…
04-19 15:26:46	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x612d67…
04-19 15:26:06	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x570e5c…
04-19 15:25:28	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xf03d88…
04-16 13:35:52	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x83d82a…
04-16 13:20:06	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x98a20b…
04-15 12:01:12	Will John Butchko be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xba1bc1…
04-14 14:14:11	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x146370…
04-14 07:20:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xc5c1d5…
04-14 07:11:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb68de9…
04-13 15:21:09	btc updown 5m 1776093600	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1e7284…
04-13 15:19:07	btc updown 5m 1776093300	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xf81b9f…
04-13 15:17:45	btc updown 5m 1776093300	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x729011…
04-13 10:21:17	btc updown 5m 1776075600	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5be61d…
04-13 10:19:07	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xee8e9b…
04-09 12:51:51	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xd92aa6…
03-30 12:55:08	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x15819b…
03-30 12:53:48	will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x5703ca…
03-30 12:52:42	will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xa1530a…
03-30 12:49:44	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe8f774…
03-19 15:03:31	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9d41e0…
03-18 09:27:53	btc updown 5m 1773825900	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x77e382…