Powerful-Table — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.11K

Hit rate

42.1%

Resolved

321

Trades

677

lifetime

Volume

$70.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$1.65K

15 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-08 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

57% 11% -$8,434

Politics

26% 24% +$293

Sports

7% 13% -$135

Tech

6% 7% -$1,841

Crypto

4% 5% -$948

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?	Yes	+807	$169	78¢	$625	+$456	11-08 16:31
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	+7,197	$563	5¢	$327	-$235	11-06 10:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+4,201	$400	4¢	$189	-$211	11-02 02:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,119	$168	15¢	$162	-$6	10-30 22:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,500	$110	2¢	$58	-$53	10-31 14:34
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+2,584	$147	2¢	$57	-$90	11-02 02:43
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	+1,293	$92	4¢	$54	-$39	08-29 10:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	+1,250	$153	4¢	$49	-$103	10-30 20:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	+7,033	$322	1¢	$42	-$280	11-02 02:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,147	$269	4¢	$42	-$227	11-05 04:30
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	Yes	+976	$100	3¢	$28	-$72	11-08 16:30
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?	Yes	+1,292	$100	1¢	$7	-$93	11-08 16:30
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	Yes	+1,905	$100	0¢	$3	-$97	11-08 16:30
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+1,683	$61	0¢	$3	-$58	10-26 15:12
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	+59	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	06-27 23:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	6	$4.6K	8,668	4,668	+4,000	Yes	+$1,250	06-17 18:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$4.1K	49,111	18,970	+30,142	No	-$1,783	06-29 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7?	5	$2.7K	2,019	2,019	+0	No	+$1,299	08-07 12:20
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	2	$2.3K	2,509	2,509	+0	No	+$524	06-29 17:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,569	1,569	+0	Yes	+$932	05-29 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	4	$1.7K	2,666	2,666	+0	Yes	+$279	06-05 15:09
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	4	$1.6K	2,996	2,996	+0	Yes	+$253	06-02 14:30
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$1.4K	4,106	4,106	+0	No	+$80	07-03 23:48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	3	$1.2K	1,527	1,527	+0	Yes	+$705	10-30 14:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	12	$1.2K	31,193	506	+30,686	No	-$358	10-30 22:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$1.1K	898	898	+0	No	+$679	05-22 14:28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.1K	2,433	2,433	+0	No	+$42	06-29 02:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	2,787	2,787	+0	No	+$65	07-29 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	3	$952	2,368	2,368	+0	No	-$338	06-06 21:53
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	3	$941	751	751	+0	Yes	+$513	07-27 16:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$891	1,281	1,281	+0	No	+$551	05-29 10:32
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$885	804	804	+0	Yes	+$722	05-12 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	9	$823	807	807	+0	Up	-$49	05-22 21:07
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	3	$801	2,636	1,059	+1,577	Yes	-$379	06-29 21:48
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	2	$767	3,333	3,333	+0	No	-$33	06-27 01:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	9	$709	6,168	4,918	+1,250	open	—	10-30 20:46
Trump out as President before 2027?	6	$639	7,642	5,059	+2,584	open	—	11-02 02:43
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	2	$600	4,171	0	+4,171	No	-$600	06-29 22:51
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$587	4,184	4,184	+0	No	-$426	06-02 01:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	3	$569	1,862	715	+1,147	open	—	11-05 04:30
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	7	$563	7,197	0	+7,197	open	—	11-06 10:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$560	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$40	07-02 01:14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	5	$507	2,872	2,872	+0	No	-$243	08-02 11:44
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	2	$506	5,516	5,516	+0	No	-$94	06-19 19:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$500	2,343	0	+2,343	No	-$500	06-02 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 16:31:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	26¢	$69	0x8ffee0…
11-08 16:30:42	Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,905	5¢	$100	0x505dc4…
11-08 16:30:34	Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,292	8¢	$100	0x236fdb…
11-08 16:30:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	976	10¢	$100	0xc90d45…
11-08 16:30:18	Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	544	18¢	$100	0xc8008d…
11-06 10:25:24	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,197	8¢	$94	0x264bd2…
11-06 09:06:31	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	7¢	$100	0xff0c1d…
11-05 09:23:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	85,000	0¢	$85	0x9ef45f…
11-05 04:30:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0x39f3c3…
11-05 02:01:57	Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?	Yes	BUY	3,015	5¢	$145	0x19c6d3…
11-05 02:01:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	715	21¢	$150	0xeeaa9a…
11-03 19:47:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	953	23¢	$219	0x20ff45…
11-03 19:08:04	Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?	Yes	BUY	817	6¢	$50	0x0977aa…
11-03 19:07:10	Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,380	4¢	$100	0x85f519…
11-03 19:07:00	Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,483	3¢	$100	0x479585…
11-02 02:43:03	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,584	3¢	$90	0x272473…
11-02 02:39:49	Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	BUY	3,967	3¢	$100	0xf88f83…
11-02 02:37:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,431	9¢	$300	0x1ff753…
10-31 14:34:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,500	2¢	$70	0xcd77b3…
10-31 14:15:43	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,326	5¢	$70	0x26231c…
10-31 07:53:15	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,326	14¢	$185	0x60ba36…
10-31 07:49:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,111	8¢	$89	0xa1ca4a…
10-31 07:49:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,559	4¢	$96	0x0ebc3d…
10-30 22:06:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,134	0¢	$32	0xda806a…
10-30 22:06:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	14¢	$32	0x1458cc…
10-30 20:49:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,054	1¢	$45	0x2b11cb…
10-30 20:47:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,348	15¢	$200	0x5495d7…
10-30 20:47:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,516	4¢	$100	0xdb8f20…
10-30 20:46:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xf4a5bb…
10-30 20:45:45	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x69cd4c…
10-30 20:41:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xf326c9…
10-30 18:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,980	5¢	$100	0x97ce3d…
10-30 18:47:42	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,027	10¢	$100	0xdf317b…
10-30 18:27:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,463	4¢	$100	0x4fc57f…
10-30 17:01:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,829	5¢	$100	0xf35fae…
10-30 16:39:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,290	8¢	$100	0x488fed…
10-30 15:05:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	16¢	$14	0xcb8d88…
10-30 15:04:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	19¢	$61	0x2ce97a…
10-30 15:03:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	908	19¢	$169	0x79a549…
10-30 15:03:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	605	17¢	$100	0xd78bfa…
10-30 14:44:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	461	80¢	$367	0x76d110…
10-30 14:44:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,527	64¢	$977	0x9e5973…
10-27 03:34:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	506	9¢	$48	0xb1a1a8…
10-26 15:13:56	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x1fe979…
10-26 15:13:24	Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,192	2¢	$25	0x7bf17a…
10-26 15:12:38	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,683	4¢	$61	0x9b918b…
10-26 15:12:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,241	2¢	$62	0xc191b9…
10-26 15:11:35	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,524	1¢	$52	0xbbbd9e…
10-26 15:10:00	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	870	6¢	$52	0x960c91…
10-26 13:06:42	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x4cbe92…
10-23 20:13:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,331	1¢	$100	0x050d90…
10-23 20:12:45	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,689	6¢	$101	0x1dbe2d…
10-23 20:01:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,825	5¢	$90	0xa4a22c…
10-23 19:59:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xcf38d9…
10-23 19:58:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,552	4¢	$100	0x41f1e1…
10-23 19:10:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,010	10¢	$100	0x59baa1…
10-23 19:04:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,573	6¢	$100	0x497ffa…
10-18 21:12:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,560	6¢	$165	0xa2ce54…
10-18 21:11:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,226	3¢	$100	0xcd7048…
10-18 00:28:29	Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	BUY	3,033	7¢	$220	0xdd7a11…
10-14 17:50:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,037	18¢	$190	0x33572f…
10-14 16:33:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	17¢	$82	0x585f69…
10-14 16:32:54	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,935	4¢	$83	0x8c59ee…
09-25 13:47:57	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,935	4¢	$84	0x5f5b26…
09-25 00:28:09	Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	BUY	1,733	6¢	$100	0x33ecea…
09-24 19:51:06	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,379	7¢	$100	0x5bf45e…
08-29 10:22:21	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	BUY	1,293	7¢	$92	0xc7e0ef…
08-19 23:04:07	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	866	11¢	$98	0x927809…
08-19 22:42:48	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,285	8¢	$100	0x0ed3a8…
08-18 01:42:21	Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	8¢	$22	0x08026d…
08-18 01:41:28	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x1a8888…
08-18 01:40:18	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	786	6¢	$50	0xe221f6…
08-18 01:40:06	Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	915	5¢	$50	0xe8848d…
08-15 23:48:46	will trump attend ufc 330 20260810203716922	Yes	BUY	816	2¢	$17	0x8d8b19…
08-14 18:48:22	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	613	16¢	$100	0xd9a14e…
08-14 18:41:25	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	640	16¢	$100	0x80c8d0…
08-12 02:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12?	No	BUY	281	8¢	$24	0x09bc75…
08-12 02:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12?	No	BUY	911	5¢	$50	0xba36d6…
08-12 02:21:30	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,868	3¢	$77	0x55259d…
08-12 01:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6,930	0¢	$7	0x50c85c…
08-12 01:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12?	No	BUY	234	43¢	$100	0x43abdb…
08-12 01:13:39	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,106	5¢	$110	0x979478…
08-11 20:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12?	No	BUY	214	44¢	$94	0x8eaa67…
08-11 20:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x6f9570…
08-11 11:34:49	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,868	3¢	$100	0x580e4e…
08-10 03:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on August 11?	Yes	BUY	670	1¢	$10	0xa1cdba…
08-10 03:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x4f5f2f…
08-10 03:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	861	9¢	$80	0x04bb1b…
08-10 03:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	502	2¢	$10	0x671ba4…
08-10 03:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1,042	39¢	$405	0xb567af…
08-10 03:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x392ecf…
08-10 02:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on August 11?	Yes	BUY	1,188	1¢	$10	0x96ef2e…
08-10 02:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	692	1¢	$10	0x4b20fc…
08-10 02:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	471	4¢	$20	0x1921fe…
08-09 02:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x129984…
08-09 02:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	1,261	1¢	$10	0x4b56b7…
08-09 02:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	1,926	0¢	$4	0xc809bf…
08-09 02:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	534	1¢	$5	0x9684db…
08-09 02:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	1,665	0¢	$5	0x00771a…
08-09 01:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4,279	1¢	$40	0xa7195b…