Strict-Dollop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$68.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$535

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-05 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 100% +$22

Politics

13% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	1	$2.6K	2,608	0	+2,608	open	—	06-05 13:30
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.9K	2,032	0	+2,032	open	—	05-29 03:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$1.9K	1,915	0	+1,915	open	—	05-27 00:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,820	0	+1,820	open	—	05-23 01:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$1.8K	1,815	0	+1,815	open	—	05-22 02:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$1.8K	1,804	0	+1,804	open	—	05-21 00:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,774	0	+1,774	open	—	05-15 16:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	1	$1.8K	1,770	0	+1,770	No	+$2	05-07 14:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	3	$1.7K	1,755	0	+1,755	open	—	05-04 14:09
bitcoin above 62k on march 13	2	$1.7K	874	874	+0	open	—	03-13 03:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	1	$1.7K	1,700	0	+1,700	Yes	+$3	05-11 23:11
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,580	0	+1,580	open	—	05-16 14:05
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$1.5K	781	781	+0	open	—	02-02 23:18
bitcoin above 92k on january 15	1	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	open	—	01-15 13:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	1	$1.3K	1,257	0	+1,257	open	—	05-02 19:13
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	1	$1.2K	1,238	0	+1,238	open	—	01-21 07:02
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	4	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	04-12 02:00
will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 10	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	04-10 14:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$1000	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	05-24 14:50
will solana reach 180 january 12 18	3	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-17 16:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 2?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-02 10:31
ethereum above 2000 on april 3	2	$996	1,050	0	+1,050	open	—	04-03 13:21
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	1	$991	1,003	0	+1,003	open	—	04-01 22:35
ethereum above 2000 on april 7	3	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-06 16:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	1	$989	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$11	05-05 01:40
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	1	$978	991	0	+991	open	—	03-26 07:06
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$972	978	0	+978	open	—	03-24 07:06
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	1	$957	972	0	+972	open	—	03-23 11:26
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$946	948	0	+948	open	—	03-20 06:52
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	2	$886	900	0	+900	open	—	03-18 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:30:42	bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	2,608	100¢	$2,600	0x18ab58…
05-29 03:53:44	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,032	94¢	$1,920	0x623b7d…
05-27 00:22:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	356	99¢	$354	0xa8939d…
05-27 00:22:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x5c5d9d…
05-27 00:19:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x00dfbb…
05-27 00:19:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	336	99¢	$334	0x37ed36…
05-27 00:15:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd6db1…
05-27 00:15:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x6d4da1…
05-27 00:15:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,130	99¢	$1,123	0x627ada…
05-24 16:33:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x742dfd…
05-24 16:17:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0xb68cd6…
05-24 16:11:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x372d5a…
05-24 16:03:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	470	100¢	$469	0xdd2fb0…
05-24 14:51:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xefe74a…
05-24 14:50:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x3f0903…
05-23 01:09:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,820	100¢	$1,815	0x3313fa…
05-22 02:13:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,815	100¢	$1,810	0x944ded…
05-21 00:45:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,804	100¢	$1,800	0x3caf67…
05-16 14:05:36	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,580	98¢	$1,552	0x21e578…
05-16 14:02:51	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x68f21a…
05-16 14:02:42	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xc8f068…
05-15 16:19:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,774	100¢	$1,770	0x77c7cf…
05-11 23:11:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,700	100¢	$1,697	0xb2d051…
05-07 14:58:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,770	100¢	$1,768	0x853c69…
05-07 03:31:22	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x0fc230…
05-06 16:25:46	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	229	99¢	$227	0x37d104…
05-06 16:06:10	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x71c245…
05-06 02:03:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	324	100¢	$323	0x06f739…
05-05 18:10:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	426	100¢	$426	0x9d0d72…
05-05 01:40:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0x7ee31e…
05-04 16:22:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xf9ccea…
05-04 14:09:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x40c6a3…
05-04 14:09:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,667	99¢	$1,657	0x904fba…
05-04 14:05:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x033ff4…
05-02 19:13:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,257	100¢	$1,256	0xbbf188…
05-02 10:31:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf631c6…
05-02 00:17:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xe665b3…
05-01 22:49:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea19bf…
05-01 21:37:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x733071…
05-01 16:26:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x932bd0…
04-20 01:14:14	Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc49295…
04-20 01:14:00	Will the Rolex Index hit $13,150 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e1272…
04-20 01:13:40	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa19468…
04-20 01:13:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe97967…
04-20 01:13:12	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x410dad…
04-20 01:13:02	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd56d7e…
04-20 01:12:54	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a70a3…
04-20 01:12:44	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x707514…
04-20 01:12:10	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe1e125…
04-20 01:12:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a2756…
04-15 02:16:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xdbab9c…
04-14 23:47:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0x4a5513…
04-14 23:45:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0xc333d7…
04-14 23:33:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	96¢	$101	0xd0d0c7…
04-14 23:02:48	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x220de6…
04-14 22:52:26	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	96¢	$97	0x7d1f28…
04-14 22:38:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0xd3d3b9…
04-14 20:41:48	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e455b…
04-14 17:59:22	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xca0263…
04-12 02:00:29	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xf4cfdd…
04-12 02:00:21	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xcf09de…
04-12 01:58:39	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xedf121…
04-12 01:53:57	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	524	100¢	$521	0x4e2181…
04-10 14:27:51	will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 10	No	BUY	1,075	99¢	$1,066	0x0fbcb5…
04-06 16:54:09	ethereum above 2000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	886	99¢	$877	0x62e374…
04-06 16:16:51	ethereum above 2000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xe09b85…
04-06 16:16:01	ethereum above 2000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6c8724…
04-03 13:21:03	ethereum above 2000 on april 3	Yes	BUY	124	95¢	$117	0x75c541…
04-03 13:18:05	ethereum above 2000 on april 3	Yes	BUY	926	95¢	$879	0xa1e5ef…
04-01 22:35:23	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	1,003	99¢	$991	0x8b4e0b…
03-26 07:06:45	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	991	99¢	$978	0x1b9668…
03-24 07:06:09	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	978	99¢	$972	0xbf450c…
03-23 11:26:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	972	98¢	$957	0x5701e5…
03-21 23:56:37	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x5aac25…
03-21 19:56:21	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xddd528…
03-21 06:23:47	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x3eb324…
03-20 06:52:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	948	100¢	$946	0x151a87…
03-18 23:08:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	782	98¢	$770	0x96e2a3…
03-18 19:03:29	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0xb79329…
03-17 06:46:01	ethereum above 2200 on march 17	Yes	BUY	920	96¢	$879	0xc7c8ce…
03-16 11:37:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 16	No	BUY	890	98¢	$874	0xf653c3…
03-13 03:52:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	874	100¢	$873	0x2144ce…
03-13 03:52:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	SELL	874	100¢	$873	0x21988a…
03-12 07:03:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	874	99¢	$869	0xf390ae…
03-11 02:51:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	869	100¢	$867	0xf7bf54…
03-10 03:07:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	No	BUY	867	99¢	$855	0x0fa6c2…
03-09 02:22:15	bitcoin above 70k on march 9	No	BUY	401	98¢	$393	0x6d31ba…
03-09 02:21:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 9	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x8a53a7…
03-09 02:21:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 9	No	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0xc30d9d…
03-08 02:19:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 8	Yes	BUY	840	100¢	$839	0x85dce5…
03-06 12:59:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	787	99¢	$776	0x3c5704…
03-05 06:17:01	bitcoin above 68k on march 5	Yes	BUY	776	97¢	$754	0xc414e1…
03-05 06:16:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 6	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2068f1…
03-04 02:14:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 4	No	BUY	804	100¢	$800	0x9dbe90…
03-03 03:12:49	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 3	No	BUY	599	100¢	$597	0xb1eb01…
03-03 03:12:33	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 3	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x23cb47…
03-02 04:49:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 2	No	BUY	797	100¢	$796	0xcd82d4…
03-01 03:03:23	ethereum above 2300 on march 1	No	BUY	796	100¢	$794	0x131198…
02-24 10:27:56	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	Yes	BUY	794	100¢	$792	0x0ccb15…
02-22 03:53:46	bitcoin above 62k on february 22	Yes	BUY	792	100¢	$791	0x531e1e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	54	$161.4K	2,594	06-02 03:01
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	52	$5.90K	1,595	06-04 18:09
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	47	$10.8K	3,835	04-21 07:15
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	47	$581	370	03-27 14:19
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	42	$360.6K	3,104	06-05 13:56
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	41	$54.3K	691	05-25 05:45
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	41	$1.51K	41	06-05 13:42
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	41	$938	588	05-14 14:53