Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?
open
Total volume
$985
$43,477 in 24h
Trades
53
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$20,526
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-05-18
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 01:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $80 | $230 | $150 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $36 | $626 | $590 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $78 | $50 | +$28 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $116 | $116 |
| Median | 7 | $11 | $389 | $378 |
| Below median | 6 | $6 | $28 | $22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $19 | $248 | $229 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | $26 | $24 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | +656 | $78 | $78 | 22 | 05-13 01:23 |
| Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | +249 | $204 | $204 | 3 | 05-12 01:58 |
| Unknown-Fen 0xdf6e…e39d | No | +230 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 05-12 12:57 |
| Worse-Ladder 0x4615…5ccb | No | +130 | $107 | $107 | 2 | 05-11 11:58 |
| Nutty-Handle 0x1137…4ed5 | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 09:07 |
| Hateful-Howard 0x88a1…a17b | Yes | +92 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-12 04:34 |
| Giant-Jodhpurs 0x8461…b18f | No | +67 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 00:07 |
| Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | +60 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-11 16:32 |
| Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | +60 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-11 16:32 |
| Swift-Parable 0x207c…52fa | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 06:26 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +31 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-11 14:32 |
| Sardonic-Lotion-Curve 0x30ea…3178 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 12:16 |
| Hideous-Package 0x21c5…3533 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-12 18:47 |
| Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-11 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6796…a0d7 | No | +21 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-11 13:48 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 07:11 |
| Worthy-Bull 0x418f…5f3b | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-11 16:32 |
| Cylindrical-Polyp 0x5f77…37c0 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:42 |
| Bold-Meteorology 0xdb22…a11c | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:32 |
| Alert-Resolve 0x7b36…8cb5 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 15:58 |
| Equal-Gate-Fishbone 0xca08…18e2 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:03 |
| Ambitious-Serum 0x918f…a761 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 01:23:01 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2c237f… |
| 05-13 01:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1f3586… |
| 05-13 01:22:55 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x7c6a07… |
| 05-13 01:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x77a658… |
| 05-13 01:22:48 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x922ce5… |
| 05-13 01:22:45 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x3bb4b6… |
| 05-13 01:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x808a70… |
| 05-13 01:22:38 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x200ba9… |
| 05-13 01:22:36 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x323121… |
| 05-13 01:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf58eae… |
| 05-13 01:21:49 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xca630b… |
| 05-13 01:21:47 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x7c8cba… |
| 05-13 01:21:40 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x9a4960… |
| 05-13 01:21:35 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x73c85c… |
| 05-13 01:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc4d857… |
| 05-13 01:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb32840… |
| 05-13 01:21:24 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x3e0d59… |
| 05-13 01:21:21 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xa68567… |
| 05-13 01:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x748356… |
| 05-13 01:12:11 | Ambitious-Serum 0x918f…a761 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x804905… |
| 05-13 01:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xa9283c… |
| 05-13 01:11:29 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xaaea45… |
| 05-13 01:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xebb4d1… |
| 05-12 18:47:27 | Hideous-Package 0x21c5…3533 | No | BUY | 25 | 89¢ | $22 | 0x5ff28c… |
| 05-12 18:42:26 | Cylindrical-Polyp 0x5f77…37c0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x60ffdc… |
| 05-12 14:02:58 | (anonymous) 0x5fee…4939 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x857f12… |
| 05-12 12:57:41 | Unknown-Fen 0xdf6e…e39d | No | BUY | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x80463f… |
| 05-12 09:07:34 | Nutty-Handle 0x1137…4ed5 | No | BUY | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x1bc9ba… |
| 05-12 07:55:52 | Unknown-Fen 0xdf6e…e39d | No | BUY | 116 | 86¢ | $100 | 0xf6e011… |
| 05-12 07:11:16 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x0d74a5… |
| 05-12 06:26:14 | Complete-Anchovy 0xad42…5d73 | No | SELL | 13 | 83¢ | $11 | 0x0d5e20… |
| 05-12 06:26:02 | Swift-Parable 0x207c…52fa | Yes | BUY | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x7dc070… |
| 05-12 04:34:35 | Hateful-Howard 0x88a1…a17b | Yes | BUY | 92 | 18¢ | $17 | 0x1c6192… |
| 05-12 02:03:48 | Equal-Gate-Fishbone 0xca08…18e2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x7749a7… |
| 05-12 01:58:03 | Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | BUY | 83 | 82¢ | $68 | 0x07fc9e… |
| 05-12 01:57:56 | Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | BUY | 83 | 82¢ | $68 | 0xd4de7a… |
| 05-12 01:57:49 | Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | BUY | 83 | 82¢ | $68 | 0xd8df7f… |
| 05-12 00:07:31 | Giant-Jodhpurs 0x8461…b18f | No | BUY | 67 | 75¢ | $50 | 0xd97968… |
| 05-12 00:02:17 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x155886… |
| 05-11 16:32:27 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x1f9c05… |
| 05-11 16:32:27 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | BUY | 15 | 76¢ | $11 | 0xe095a4… |
| 05-11 16:32:24 | Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | BUY | 60 | 78¢ | $47 | 0xa697f2… |
| 05-11 16:32:24 | Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | BUY | 60 | 77¢ | $46 | 0xf569ba… |
| 05-11 16:32:11 | Worthy-Bull 0x418f…5f3b | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x8238bc… |
| 05-11 16:32:10 | Worthy-Bull 0x418f…5f3b | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x120582… |
| 05-11 16:32:10 | Bold-Meteorology 0xdb22…a11c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xea4ed9… |
| 05-11 16:31:45 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xd2dab7… |
| 05-11 15:58:32 | Alert-Resolve 0x7b36…8cb5 | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x14a629… |
| 05-11 14:32:07 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 31 | 84¢ | $26 | 0x31b8a6… |
| 05-11 13:48:32 | (anonymous) 0x6796…a0d7 | No | BUY | 21 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x127cf8… |
| 05-11 12:16:57 | Sardonic-Lotion-Curve 0x30ea…3178 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xd8cd3e… |
| 05-11 11:58:21 | Worse-Ladder 0x4615…5ccb | No | BUY | 65 | 82¢ | $53 | 0x6f842e… |
| 05-11 11:58:14 | Worse-Ladder 0x4615…5ccb | No | BUY | 65 | 82¢ | $53 | 0x5bf7c5… |