Bleak-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

8,121

lifetime

Volume

$2.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-30 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

52% 45% +$1

Crypto

23% 29% $-2

Politics

15% 18% $-1

Sports

8% 43% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 747 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$21	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 23:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 3	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 10:02
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	49	$17	6,556	6,556	+0	open	—	05-19 15:30
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?	69	$16	7,200	5,275	+1,924	open	—	04-12 19:45
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	30	$16	5,981	5,927	+54	open	—	04-23 05:37
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?	58	$16	6,898	5,303	+1,595	open	—	04-12 13:39
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	19	$15	7,923	6,923	+1,000	open	—	04-22 06:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	33	$15	6,670	6,259	+411	open	—	04-26 21:28
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	44	$14	6,645	7,245	-600	open	—	04-27 02:32
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?	42	$14	4,600	4,460	+140	open	—	04-12 19:43
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	18	$13	4,191	4,691	-500	open	—	04-12 00:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	2	$13	600	600	+0	open	—	04-14 14:07
Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	56	$12	5,000	4,280	+720	open	—	04-12 22:25
Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?	44	$12	5,942	3,866	+2,077	open	—	04-12 18:36
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?	35	$12	5,000	4,357	+643	open	—	04-12 20:11
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?	66	$11	5,200	4,150	+1,050	open	—	04-11 21:38
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	16	$11	3,923	3,923	+0	open	—	05-03 19:47
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	2	$11	150	400	-250	open	—	04-16 21:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	19	$10	4,768	4,113	+655	open	—	04-29 22:43
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	30	$10	3,226	2,900	+326	open	—	04-12 17:05
will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-22 21:52
highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 17c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-20 09:34
highest temperature in lucknow on march 19 2026 43c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-19 03:04
xrp above 1pt7 on march 23	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 13:41
highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 19corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-18 07:05
highest temperature in tokyo on march 17 2026 16c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 07:50
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	10	$10	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	04-16 06:04
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	16	$10	4,200	4,200	+0	open	—	04-15 07:13
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	37	$9	3,659	3,659	+0	open	—	04-27 04:32
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	14	$9	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	04-13 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 20:01:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb349d6…
05-30 11:30:28	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	398	0¢	$0	0x33129f…
05-30 01:47:12	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	118	0¢	$0	0x12cf65…
05-27 14:44:37	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xbd0d7d…
05-27 12:58:23	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x59a44c…
05-27 12:54:06	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x2632fc…
05-27 03:05:06	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xbf9602…
05-25 12:05:57	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xbf1728…
05-24 17:18:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x95d8c0…
05-23 13:41:46	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x1dcd90…
05-23 02:51:03	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x6d3cc3…
05-23 00:27:58	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x6e1c8f…
05-22 19:52:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xdf2d93…
05-22 07:12:40	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x73d074…
05-22 07:11:21	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x926114…
05-22 06:36:33	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3ceba6…
05-22 06:35:39	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3f0556…
05-22 06:30:17	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xde2ee1…
05-22 06:16:00	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x27b749…
05-22 06:05:59	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x952525…
05-21 22:37:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x285ef3…
05-21 21:25:53	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	522	0¢	$1	0x3f5ac1…
05-21 19:23:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	432	0¢	$0	0x53b760…
05-21 18:37:15	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xc1efa0…
05-21 18:02:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	168	0¢	$0	0x157a6e…
05-21 14:48:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	389	0¢	$1	0x622a35…
05-21 14:39:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	211	0¢	$0	0xe81a04…
05-21 14:26:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	332	0¢	$0	0x278aa6…
05-21 14:25:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	268	0¢	$0	0xeec64c…
05-21 14:20:28	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xda0795…
05-21 11:22:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x860d28…
05-21 10:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x0722ff…
05-21 10:08:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x0c508f…
05-21 10:07:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	294	0¢	$0	0xd67481…
05-21 10:07:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xc1c853…
05-21 10:07:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x9a9b5b…
05-21 10:06:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x650e5b…
05-20 23:55:46	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	522	0¢	$1	0xd5d4cb…
05-20 22:07:19	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x443c6b…
05-20 21:17:13	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xa2543a…
05-20 21:17:04	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	321	0¢	$1	0x4313fb…
05-20 20:37:31	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	346	0¢	$0	0x99f2fb…
05-20 18:18:22	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x6205a8…
05-20 17:22:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x11bce1…
05-20 16:27:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xb7ff51…
05-20 16:23:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xb996b6…
05-20 15:51:29	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xd15445…
05-20 15:43:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x8f545e…
05-20 13:52:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0x1cf2c3…
05-20 13:51:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	123	0¢	$0	0xc1f70e…
05-20 13:36:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	182	0¢	$0	0xe1b8e6…
05-20 13:36:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	178	0¢	$0	0x7d2cbb…
05-20 13:18:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x639b8c…
05-20 13:11:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x9a09d2…
05-20 12:55:54	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x4d8306…
05-20 12:48:43	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0xa56816…
05-20 08:51:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xde10ea…
05-20 08:51:02	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x36ed8a…
05-20 08:50:29	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x8d70b5…
05-20 08:45:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9a4b9c…
05-20 08:43:41	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1cacb1…
05-20 08:43:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x77921c…
05-20 08:41:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	578	0¢	$1	0xc07836…
05-20 06:32:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xfa7cce…
05-20 04:39:34	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xe5ccb6…
05-19 22:38:43	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xa94452…
05-19 21:32:57	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x0dab05…
05-19 20:54:06	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xcd87b0…
05-19 20:50:11	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x2ab08e…
05-19 20:17:24	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x0aa534…
05-19 20:03:08	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	480	0¢	$1	0xe13550…
05-19 19:48:16	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xff5f9f…
05-19 19:48:16	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xe02d84…
05-19 19:48:16	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xaaf748…
05-19 19:48:16	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9e0705…
05-19 19:48:16	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x180b4c…
05-19 19:48:14	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xce1db1…
05-19 19:24:09	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xe4c208…
05-19 18:31:14	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0xf9cc45…
05-19 18:05:48	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xf22c49…
05-19 18:05:45	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x6d4857…
05-19 18:05:31	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xa8c379…
05-19 17:48:55	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x9b9de0…
05-19 17:33:05	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x7e64ad…
05-19 17:22:35	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xeb999e…
05-19 17:10:37	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0x99023d…
05-19 17:08:54	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xbf2095…
05-19 16:46:14	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	258	0¢	$1	0x389dbd…
05-19 16:23:50	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xc54d98…
05-19 16:19:17	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	258	0¢	$0	0x4f81be…
05-19 16:07:16	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	0¢	$0	0xaf6490…
05-19 16:03:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x110d3b…
05-19 15:30:49	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	82	0¢	$0	0xf96656…
05-19 15:16:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x662981…
05-19 14:58:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xafcd93…
05-19 14:51:40	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x8b93f8…
05-19 14:51:35	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x2b1551…
05-19 14:30:33	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xa5868a…
05-19 13:20:51	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x6eedf0…
05-19 12:57:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x2c3827…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3	885	$2.33K	6,313	05-30 19:30
Shoddy-Cowbell 0x8aaf…7beb	860	$1.33K	5,441	05-30 02:25
Snoopy-Option 0xb0c2…3ea3	848	$1.38K	4,952	05-30 11:30
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	738	$1.23M	28,652	05-24 00:29
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	676	$77.8K	59,163	05-03 14:11
Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219	650	$1.24K	4,741	06-01 08:14
Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd	619	$1.18K	11,070	05-23 03:07
Sandy-Tussle 0x8da2…ab27	615	$1.64K	4,097	05-25 12:05