Bleak-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

2,448

Trades

11,353

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-09 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Other

57% 36% +$64

Crypto

17% 9% +$20

Politics

16% 43% +$48

Sports

9% 24% -$23

Tech

1% 29% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 60% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		-517	-$1	0¢	$-1	+$0	05-27 21:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$21	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$19	04-27 23:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 3	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-24 10:02
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	49	$17	6,556	6,556	+0	Yes	+$4	05-19 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	29	$17	6,700	6,700	+0	No	+$3	04-30 16:30
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?	69	$16	7,200	5,275	+1,924	No	+$2	04-12 19:45
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	30	$16	5,981	5,927	+54	No	+$4	04-23 05:37
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?	58	$16	6,898	5,303	+1,595	No	+$2	04-12 13:39
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	19	$15	7,923	6,923	+1,000	No	$0	04-22 06:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	33	$15	6,670	6,259	+411	No	+$1	04-26 21:28
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	44	$14	6,645	7,245	-600	No	+$1	04-27 02:32
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?	42	$14	4,600	4,460	+140	No	+$4	04-12 19:43
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	18	$13	4,191	4,691	-500	No	+$5	04-12 00:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	2	$13	600	600	+0	Yes	+$12	04-14 14:07
Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	56	$12	5,000	4,280	+720	No	+$2	04-12 22:25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	51	$12	4,200	4,200	+0	No	+$4	05-21 16:40
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	32	$12	4,191	4,191	+0	No	+$4	05-13 02:35
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	32	$12	4,188	4,250	-62	No	+$4	05-10 21:13
Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?	44	$12	5,942	3,866	+2,077	No	+$0	04-12 18:36
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?	35	$12	5,000	4,357	+643	No	+$2	04-12 20:11
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?	66	$11	5,200	4,150	+1,050	No	+$1	04-11 21:38
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	16	$11	3,923	3,923	+0	Yes	+$3	05-03 19:47
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	2	$11	150	400	-250	Yes	+$11	04-16 21:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	19	$10	4,768	4,113	+655	No	+$1	04-29 22:43
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	30	$10	3,226	2,900	+326	No	+$4	04-12 17:05
highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 17c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-20 09:34
will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-22 21:52
highest temperature in lucknow on march 19 2026 43c	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-19 03:04
xrp above 1pt7 on march 23	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-23 13:41
highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 19corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-18 07:05
highest temperature in tokyo on march 17 2026 16c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-17 07:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:58:09	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6b83b4…
06-08 11:03:36	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x7fff8e…
05-31 15:50:58	Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$0	0x202399…
05-31 14:04:47	Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xaa002c…
05-31 10:18:20	Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	491	0¢	$0	0x75be02…
05-31 09:33:25	Will Yoon Jae-ok win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xe0f0cf…
05-30 20:01:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb349d6…
05-30 11:30:28	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	398	0¢	$0	0x33129f…
05-30 01:47:12	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	118	0¢	$0	0x12cf65…
05-29 09:22:07	Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xa5b237…
05-29 09:19:38	Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x8a07fb…
05-29 04:01:28	Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x42695a…
05-28 09:05:57	Will Bradley Barcola be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0xcb5288…
05-28 05:48:15	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x35df45…
05-27 21:05:07	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	517	0¢	$1	0xaa0bf8…
05-27 19:03:49	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xcace89…
05-27 18:21:16	Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x16909b…
05-27 14:44:37	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xbd0d7d…
05-27 12:58:23	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x59a44c…
05-27 12:54:06	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x2632fc…
05-27 03:05:06	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xbf9602…
05-25 20:42:21	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x616b77…
05-25 18:14:29	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	428	0¢	$1	0xd020d3…
05-25 15:02:23	Will Desire Doue be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	SELL	169	0¢	$0	0xc5df1e…
05-25 14:19:20	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xf008ad…
05-25 12:05:57	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xbf1728…
05-25 10:12:07	Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x05705a…
05-25 01:39:10	Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x8db73c…
05-25 01:21:05	Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	262	0¢	$0	0xb69c40…
05-25 00:47:46	Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x2abff5…
05-24 21:59:48	Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x466f03…
05-24 19:56:45	Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xc599ec…
05-24 17:18:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x95d8c0…
05-24 04:06:14	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	540	0¢	$1	0x291c6d…
05-24 04:05:44	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xb63e65…
05-23 23:32:18	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	SELL	476	0¢	$1	0x1ebcc6…
05-23 23:30:03	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	SELL	124	0¢	$0	0xa2bf60…
05-23 19:16:04	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0xba69f0…
05-23 18:24:41	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb95cdb…
05-23 13:41:46	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x1dcd90…
05-23 12:20:51	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xca95d9…
05-23 10:38:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	592	0¢	$1	0xc5b752…
05-23 09:27:47	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x2018f1…
05-23 08:05:44	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x1d5fb5…
05-23 07:31:03	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0xbbd2c8…
05-23 06:35:19	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9adab4…
05-23 06:00:26	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x9de126…
05-23 05:11:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xaded69…
05-23 05:05:55	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0xc89efc…
05-23 04:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x864501…
05-23 03:16:40	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	0¢	$0	0x6eec7a…
05-23 02:51:03	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x6d3cc3…
05-23 01:48:24	Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x82c71d…
05-23 01:48:12	Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0xc9774f…
05-23 01:47:58	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x829d67…
05-23 00:41:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x703bc6…
05-23 00:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x94b911…
05-23 00:39:05	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xdb8f3e…
05-23 00:28:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x38dae1…
05-23 00:27:58	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x6e1c8f…
05-22 21:40:42	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xd0cf3b…
05-22 20:41:43	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xa872c5…
05-22 20:41:22	Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x29cc10…
05-22 19:52:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xdf2d93…
05-22 15:46:16	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x203406…
05-22 13:46:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	SELL	263	0¢	$0	0xc8a0e1…
05-22 13:01:58	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x50a4c8…
05-22 08:37:46	Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x5f2b11…
05-22 08:05:03	Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x9c0ea5…
05-22 07:45:43	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x772fe6…
05-22 07:39:09	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	SELL	141	0¢	$0	0x1de76a…
05-22 07:12:40	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x73d074…
05-22 07:11:21	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x926114…
05-22 06:36:33	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3ceba6…
05-22 06:35:39	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3f0556…
05-22 06:30:17	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xde2ee1…
05-22 06:24:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	514	0¢	$1	0x03cecf…
05-22 06:16:00	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x27b749…
05-22 06:11:18	Will Yoon Jae-ok win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x121cea…
05-22 06:05:59	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x952525…
05-22 06:05:19	Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1196f2…
05-22 06:04:07	Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xa8866b…
05-22 05:58:33	Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xe6f935…
05-22 05:26:14	Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?	Yes	SELL	164	0¢	$0	0xd87653…
05-22 05:21:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	514	0¢	$1	0x206d38…
05-22 05:15:02	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	172	0¢	$0	0x272d27…
05-22 04:29:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x12d8b0…
05-22 03:27:12	Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x635e59…
05-22 03:26:09	Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x804510…
05-22 03:09:58	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x0e9875…
05-22 03:01:18	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbb2cc8…
05-22 03:00:54	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xb4e7ab…
05-22 03:00:31	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x54c436…
05-22 02:58:09	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe3d435…
05-22 02:58:04	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x651ebc…
05-22 02:58:02	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x65f933…
05-22 02:57:54	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7f596d…
05-22 02:57:50	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xc51c0d…
05-22 02:57:45	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x786474…
05-22 02:57:31	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0xc72ae5…