Revolving-Lap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

10.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,921

lifetime

Volume

$678.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$353

Open exposure

$980

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-10 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

65% 0% $-1,275

Crypto

21% 100% +$150

Other

14% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+1,000	$983	98¢	$980	$-3	06-09 13:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	275	$118.6K	37,133	90,770	-53,637	open	—	05-15 19:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	72	$102.0K	50,163	60,144	-9,981	open	—	06-01 02:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	203	$60.6K	12,650	49,899	-37,249	No	$-1,122	05-11 04:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	12	$39.9K	35,946	5,000	+30,946	open	—	06-07 03:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$36.0K	18,822	18,822	+0	open	—	05-27 03:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	80	$23.0K	23,417	586	+22,831	open	—	05-23 02:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	158	$22.7K	5,580	17,623	-12,043	open	—	05-11 09:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	119	$16.7K	6,966	10,221	-3,256	No	$-97	05-08 23:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	11	$13.9K	7,012	7,012	+0	open	—	05-12 22:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	86	$13.5K	5,481	8,312	-2,831	No	$-48	05-08 22:57
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?	6	$11.8K	6,010	6,010	+0	open	—	06-03 08:52
will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	13	$10.4K	5,214	5,214	+0	open	—	06-07 00:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	8	$9.4K	9,538	0	+9,538	open	—	04-27 23:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	103	$9.4K	2,565	7,119	-4,554	open	—	05-10 00:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$8.7K	3,500	6,000	-2,500	open	—	05-20 05:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	13	$8.2K	1,651	6,651	-5,000	open	—	05-11 04:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	62	$6.8K	2,357	4,806	-2,449	open	—	05-08 22:50
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	136	$6.5K	3,548	3,156	+392	open	—	05-29 05:32
will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	10	$6.3K	3,158	3,158	+0	open	—	06-03 21:35
will ethereum reach 2100 june 1 7 2026	4	$5.9K	2,966	2,966	+0	open	—	06-07 03:06
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	11	$5.4K	2,706	2,706	+0	open	—	04-26 23:48
Netanyahu out by April 30?	12	$5.0K	2,538	2,538	+0	open	—	04-18 21:59
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?	3	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-01 17:59
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	8	$4.9K	2,465	2,500	-35	open	—	05-24 22:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	14	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-08 11:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-09 23:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	6	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	06-03 05:04
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	6	$4.4K	2,500	1,937	+563	open	—	05-25 03:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	62	$4.3K	4,942	4,942	+0	open	—	06-01 12:05
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26?	9	$4.3K	2,159	2,159	+0	open	—	04-27 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:46:30	will iraq reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120770	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xa884f2…
06-10 00:10:49	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134474	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x9f2f1d…
06-09 23:08:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,692	95¢	$3,508	0x45b31c…
06-09 23:05:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,308	95¢	$1,242	0x493c9d…
06-09 13:08:00	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	896	98¢	$881	0xd0f1e0…
06-09 12:55:37	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0xceed65…
06-08 22:01:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1,635	99¢	$1,618	0x756caa…
06-08 12:20:18	will bitcoin reach 78k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1,242	99¢	$1,223	0x8bfc79…
06-08 11:54:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	4,000	98¢	$3,940	0x2a2794…
06-08 11:36:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$988	0xafdc25…
06-08 10:09:15	will ethereum reach 2000 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x6982cf…
06-08 10:06:31	will bitcoin reach 74k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x290afe…
06-07 03:40:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	3,410	99¢	$3,390	0x31c793…
06-07 03:06:51	will ethereum reach 2100 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	2,947	100¢	$2,944	0xb0bef2…
06-07 02:29:25	will ethereum reach 2100 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x864cb2…
06-07 01:39:30	will ethereum reach 2200 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	373	100¢	$372	0xb137d2…
06-07 00:55:33	will ethereum reach 2200 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$57	0x46e87a…
06-07 00:55:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5,580	99¢	$5,541	0xa4c0df…
06-07 00:54:43	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	5,214	100¢	$5,209	0x2e2323…
06-07 00:54:36	will bitcoin reach 76k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0x1d2fd8…
06-06 05:26:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5,521	99¢	$5,458	0x638cfb…
06-05 23:32:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	7,841	99¢	$7,729	0xccd970…
06-05 13:39:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,866	98¢	$2,800	0x848c3d…
06-05 13:37:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,296	98¢	$2,240	0xf85e32…
06-05 12:02:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1,207	97¢	$1,175	0x6a1454…
06-05 10:39:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xc8dbdb…
06-05 10:12:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa62701…
06-05 10:09:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x0fc433…
06-05 09:41:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x64b658…
06-05 09:36:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x7c53ab…
06-05 09:21:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	342	97¢	$333	0xfc6197…
06-05 09:15:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbe0b99…
06-05 09:11:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x565c56…
06-05 09:05:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	328	97¢	$319	0x557661…
06-05 09:04:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8f5f18…
06-05 08:54:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1c49c8…
06-05 08:53:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x008120…
06-05 08:53:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x67d6c3…
06-05 08:28:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1,109	98¢	$1,087	0x6b1c1d…
06-05 06:06:55	will ethereum reach 2100 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	1,670	99¢	$1,650	0xe81157…
06-05 05:59:43	will ethereum reach 2100 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	1,296	99¢	$1,280	0xf232b7…
06-05 05:26:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1,117	98¢	$1,093	0x37f75d…
06-05 04:58:16	will ethereum reach 2200 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	430	99¢	$426	0x1a881f…
06-05 04:21:22	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	1,400	99¢	$1,386	0x7331fa…
06-04 22:24:49	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0x037930…
06-04 20:42:45	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xedf523…
06-04 20:21:52	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xe92712…
06-04 19:59:21	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	1,096	99¢	$1,085	0x93fe1d…
06-04 13:20:10	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x8ef781…
06-04 13:01:03	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x2fec0b…
06-04 12:56:15	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	249	99¢	$247	0x9fb2e5…
06-04 11:48:48	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xd92a02…
06-04 11:46:43	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe3b29c…
06-04 11:14:15	ethereum above 1900 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	844	100¢	$841	0x983f0b…
06-04 11:13:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1,115	98¢	$1,095	0xfbf189…
06-04 11:13:06	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	182	98¢	$178	0xea0180…
06-04 10:17:34	will bitcoin reach 76k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	333	100¢	$331	0x9bc795…
06-04 04:05:25	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	136	98¢	$133	0x7b6b50…
06-04 03:07:36	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0x854cfb…
06-03 21:35:55	will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	2,933	100¢	$2,925	0xea7813…
06-03 11:13:30	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd6b7d8…
06-03 11:11:22	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd1f243…
06-03 09:18:40	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xddee63…
06-03 09:12:08	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb7778d…
06-03 09:05:12	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa1c8a8…
06-03 08:52:08	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	1,358	98¢	$1,329	0xb510d7…
06-03 08:48:13	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xffb8a4…
06-03 08:35:23	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x91cc35…
06-03 08:35:11	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	733	99¢	$722	0xa7d8a9…
06-03 08:35:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	2,410	99¢	$2,381	0x57b830…
06-03 08:31:52	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6ec7d…
06-03 08:31:46	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	397	99¢	$393	0xbd908b…
06-03 08:31:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$991	0xbbf196…
06-03 08:31:04	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	1,509	99¢	$1,497	0xe2ce8a…
06-03 05:04:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x532189…
06-03 05:01:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xd1519e…
06-03 05:00:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	1,842	90¢	$1,653	0xc2402b…
06-03 05:00:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	No	SELL	651	89¢	$581	0x14711f…
06-03 04:30:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	95¢	$4,750	0xce23ae…
06-02 20:13:25	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	4,760	98¢	$4,674	0x83a311…
06-02 18:42:58	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	3,153	99¢	$3,121	0xf76114…
06-02 03:45:33	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$978	0x4229eb…
06-02 03:38:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	397	98¢	$389	0x416eff…
06-02 01:33:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	824	98¢	$812	0xf06d96…
06-01 23:48:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	1,676	98¢	$1,651	0x67a22e…
06-01 22:19:38	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x567d88…
06-01 22:19:29	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9efcf7…
06-01 22:19:14	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	1,250	97¢	$1,212	0xc171eb…
06-01 12:19:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	151	93¢	$140	0xc12a28…
06-01 12:17:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	4,849	93¢	$4,510	0xa68692…
06-01 12:05:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,942	44¢	$2,165	0x356201…
06-01 12:01:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	44¢	$28	0xf0d157…
06-01 12:01:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,153	44¢	$943	0xa82d35…
06-01 12:01:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2c1b4a…
06-01 12:01:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0xd9bdae…
06-01 12:01:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	44¢	$30	0xd96885…
06-01 12:01:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	44¢	$29	0xbfc2af…
06-01 12:01:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaa8d19…
06-01 12:01:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x97f125…
06-01 12:01:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8d61d4…