Vain-Operation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

44.0%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$494

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-04 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

44% 36% $-17

Crypto

38% 25% $-2

Sports

12% 44% $-7

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes		-5	$-3	50¢	$-3	+$0	06-24 15:10
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes		-2	$-1	50¢	$-1	$-0	06-24 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	30	$32	972	907	+66	open	—	07-01 03:59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic	10	$28	34	20	+14	Hamad Medjedovic	$-12	05-11 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	7	$27	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 13:58
Thunder vs. Lakers	6	$27	51	10	+41	Thunder	$-5	05-12 02:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$21	5	20	-15	open	—	06-24 15:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	5	$14	29	21	+7	open	—	06-26 11:46
btc updown 15m 1782728100	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-29 10:18
Zagreb: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Luka Pavlovic	2	$12	24	0	+24	Joao Lucas Da Silva	+$12	05-11 13:51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	4	$11	10	10	+0	Spirit	+$3	05-11 16:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	6	$9	25	5	+20	Down	+$9	05-11 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$8	10	5	+5	Down	$-1	05-11 13:57
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	05-11 13:51
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$8	13	0	+13	San Francisco Giants	$-8	05-12 02:06
Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkova	3	$8	10	5	+5	Dominika Salkova	$-1	05-11 13:52
Oeiras 4: Henrique Rocha vs Roman Safiullin	2	$8	10	0	+10	Roman Safiullin	$-8	05-11 16:51
will bitcoin reach 61k on june 29	4	$8	100	100	+0	open	—	06-30 01:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-21 09:09
will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	7	$7	30	30	+0	open	—	07-03 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	3	$7	10	5	+5	Up	+$4	05-11 13:53
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	2	$7	10	0	+10	1win	+$3	05-11 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	$-7	05-11 16:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$7	60	60	+0	open	—	06-24 15:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$6	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 05:50
Avalanche vs. Wild	2	$6	5	5	+0	Avalanche	+$0	05-11 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$6	10	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 20:28
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5	2	$6	10	0	+10	Over	+$4	05-11 23:16
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	3	$5	339	0	+339	open	—	05-15 16:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 05:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$5	60	60	+0	open	—	05-26 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 01:16:55	bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x346c65…
07-04 00:52:55	bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x223326…
07-04 00:44:02	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x4ae820…
07-04 00:35:08	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x99eebf…
07-04 00:30:43	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xc835d5…
07-04 00:28:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb4c733…
07-04 00:21:04	bitcoin above 62k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6a3e71…
07-03 20:35:25	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x26e587…
07-03 20:19:17	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xfe15d6…
07-03 20:19:16	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x5ee773…
07-03 15:06:22	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xfcbf06…
07-03 15:06:22	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xb0f719…
07-03 14:54:50	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x652db7…
07-01 13:22:28	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xa04f85…
07-01 09:11:16	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x116cff…
07-01 09:03:56	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xec2e88…
07-01 03:59:40	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2a9902…
07-01 01:13:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x2de3ac…
06-30 04:16:43	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0xe52fdc…
06-30 02:26:05	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfc2328…
06-30 01:46:07	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xb8c8d8…
06-30 01:39:04	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x109954…
06-30 01:38:58	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xbf96a6…
06-30 01:38:58	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x97796b…
06-30 01:38:35	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x9a1551…
06-30 01:38:35	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0a7ea5…
06-30 01:38:17	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9c4085…
06-30 01:38:17	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x493425…
06-30 01:25:46	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x328268…
06-30 01:19:46	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xde9f1a…
06-30 01:19:34	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 29	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xf06d38…
06-30 01:19:14	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 29	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xc383d7…
06-30 00:58:16	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 29	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x76a9dc…
06-30 00:50:22	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 29	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x43abee…
06-29 18:10:35	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xa13245…
06-29 18:10:35	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x32e460…
06-29 18:10:35	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x182c97…
06-29 18:08:40	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeed41b…
06-29 18:08:40	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xba6255…
06-29 10:18:26	btc updown 15m 1782728100	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xbe4993…
06-29 10:07:14	btc updown 15m 1782728100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x69cf96…
06-29 10:00:56	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x2e3fc5…
06-27 13:57:19	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x3185da…
06-26 11:46:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x04674b…
06-26 07:00:32	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0x351e7a…
06-26 06:18:23	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xb8ef19…
06-26 03:00:34	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	222	1¢	$2	0x5fe6b5…
06-26 02:41:17	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0xab928c…
06-25 23:41:05	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0xd98aef…
06-25 23:00:26	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$1	0x27ecb2…
06-25 22:41:02	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0x0391bf…
06-25 21:40:58	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0xf75e3b…
06-25 19:00:26	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0xddbe26…
06-25 18:58:05	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0xba392d…
06-25 18:40:47	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x420263…
06-25 14:09:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x8b945f…
06-25 14:08:58	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x4cadce…
06-25 14:07:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x135e1f…
06-25 11:00:26	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	241	2¢	$5	0x4a34dd…
06-25 10:40:23	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x62c69b…
06-25 09:45:40	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7fa1c4…
06-25 09:41:56	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x673e03…
06-25 09:40:19	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xe114c6…
06-25 08:40:14	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x389493…
06-24 23:42:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa1267b…
06-24 23:39:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef4698…
06-24 16:14:50	bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0d9195…
06-24 16:14:04	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc87db3…
06-24 16:08:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf0c4ca…
06-24 15:53:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9f762d…
06-24 15:14:53	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x3923f7…
06-24 15:14:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x42a4ac…
06-24 15:14:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xee2793…
06-24 15:13:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb98b10…
06-24 15:10:59	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x7502df…
06-24 14:23:31	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x23a466…
06-24 14:22:55	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x635a34…
06-21 12:20:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x858bec…
06-21 09:09:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x34e1ab…
06-21 04:20:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4da8c1…
06-19 00:20:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3dabf0…
06-17 16:43:47	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4d41bc…
06-15 04:22:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb62e22…
06-15 03:00:19	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x295670…
06-12 12:20:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x213770…
06-12 12:20:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4912b8…
06-12 11:24:54	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xd4c6f3…
06-12 03:10:21	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x09de01…
06-09 20:20:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x95641a…
06-09 16:20:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x4f09b0…
06-02 11:15:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x04aeeb…
06-01 09:44:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xe64933…
05-27 23:00:53	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x21fda9…
05-27 19:00:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xad363e…
05-27 08:20:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xbcb0ad…
05-26 19:00:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xa7f2b1…
05-26 14:32:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd24465…
05-26 08:20:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xbb1724…
05-26 08:20:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf01275…
05-26 08:20:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8d7d40…