Cheap-Argument — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

183

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$35.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 08-29 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 18?	5	$455	228	228	+0	No	+$0	06-16 13:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?	4	$451	226	226	+0	No	+$1	07-06 05:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 28?	4	$440	221	221	+0	No	+$0	05-27 18:50
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 14	4	$403	202	202	+0	No	$0	04-13 05:27
will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	3	$356	238	119	+119	No	+$0	07-31 15:24
bitcoin above 70k on august 19 2026	3	$240	120	120	+0	No	+$0	08-18 16:14
bitcoin above 70k on august 17 2026	3	$240	120	120	+0	No	+$0	08-15 16:53
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 15?	2	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$0	08-14 15:08
bitcoin above 72k on august 14 2026	2	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$0	08-12 23:59
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on August 12?	2	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$0	08-11 01:55
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on August 10?	2	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$0	08-09 19:20
will ethereum reach 2300 august 3 9 2026	2	$239	119	119	+0	No	+$0	08-08 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 8?	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	+$0	08-06 18:44
will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	2	$238	120	120	+0	Yes	-$2	08-19 17:44
bitcoin above 56k on august 5 2026	2	$238	119	119	+0	Yes	+$0	08-04 08:42
will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	+$0	08-02 22:06
will ethereum reach 2200 july 27 august 2 2026	2	$237	119	119	+0	No	+$0	08-01 09:05
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	2	$237	119	119	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:45
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	2	$237	119	119	+0	No	+$0	07-27 11:54
will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	7	$236	118	118	+0	No	+$0	07-26 02:19
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 25?	2	$236	118	118	+0	No	+$0	07-24 16:56
ethereum above 2200 on july 22 2026	2	$235	118	118	+0	No	+$1	07-21 06:38
bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	10	$234	117	117	+0	No	+$0	07-21 05:04
solana above 90 on july 20 2026	2	$234	117	117	+0	No	+$0	07-19 08:59
will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	3	$234	117	117	+0	No	+$0	07-18 05:40
will bitcoin dip to 54k july 13 19 2026	2	$233	117	117	+0	No	+$0	07-17 07:38
bitcoin above 72k on july 16 2026	5	$233	117	117	+0	No	+$0	07-14 22:30
bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	2	$232	116	116	+0	No	+$0	07-07 01:21
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 14?	4	$232	116	116	+0	No	+$0	07-13 16:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 7?	2	$231	116	116	+0	No	+$0	07-05 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 14:27:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x560dbb…
08-19 17:44:15	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	No	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0x054d02…
08-19 08:33:06	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x88acb3…
08-18 22:29:06	ethereum above 2200 on august 20 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe66e24…
08-18 16:14:39	bitcoin above 70k on august 19 2026	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x284a62…
08-18 12:26:13	ethereum above 2200 on august 20 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x91a795…
08-18 10:08:03	bitcoin above 70k on august 19 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x55e832…
08-16 10:31:58	bitcoin above 70k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x1638d4…
08-15 16:53:30	bitcoin above 70k on august 17 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x2691fe…
08-15 16:04:46	bitcoin above 70k on august 17 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xeef40a…
08-15 07:49:28	bitcoin above 70k on august 17 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x98a1fb…
08-14 15:08:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 15?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xceb61c…
08-13 08:57:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 15?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x1663a0…
08-12 23:59:37	bitcoin above 72k on august 14 2026	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x5542c6…
08-11 08:23:46	bitcoin above 72k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x647b70…
08-11 01:55:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on August 12?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xc82609…
08-10 07:26:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on August 12?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x3be95e…
08-09 19:20:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on August 10?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0x53d9e2…
08-08 17:12:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on August 10?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xc4ddc5…
08-08 03:07:18	will ethereum reach 2300 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x7acaff…
08-07 10:00:52	will ethereum reach 2300 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x252c11…
08-06 18:44:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 8?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x440c14…
08-05 14:10:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 8?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xdae251…
08-04 11:54:05	will solana reach 95 on august 4	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x2ce059…
08-04 08:42:32	bitcoin above 56k on august 5 2026	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x18f6b6…
08-03 20:21:45	bitcoin above 56k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xd37920…
08-02 22:06:11	will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x818c3f…
08-01 19:22:09	will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x114763…
08-01 09:05:33	will ethereum reach 2200 july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x881377…
08-01 08:09:20	will ethereum reach 2200 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc6a8ad…
07-31 15:24:20	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x9de749…
07-30 22:27:17	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x27439a…
07-30 11:49:53	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0xe5b3dd…
07-30 00:45:15	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0xcea67d…
07-28 11:14:59	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0xb3fe8c…
07-27 11:54:07	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0x34a1eb…
07-27 08:51:33	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x5b04a2…
07-27 02:58:15	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 29?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x041c85…
07-27 02:58:10	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on July 29?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x82f1d7…
07-26 06:53:49	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on July 29?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x0b4a28…
07-26 06:53:33	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 29?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$80	0x86ba91…
07-26 02:19:13	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x704647…
07-25 19:09:30	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd29458…
07-25 16:59:25	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa31b60…
07-25 16:31:09	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xae4b4e…
07-25 16:27:18	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7e8720…
07-25 15:50:49	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdf4d34…
07-24 21:50:43	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x6b2f4c…
07-24 16:56:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 25?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xef06c1…
07-23 10:06:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 25?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xef56bb…
07-22 10:46:57	will ethereum reach 2250 on july 22	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xfcc585…
07-21 13:36:42	will solana dip to 60 on july 21	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3118f3…
07-21 13:36:25	will solana dip to 55 on july 21	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe00001…
07-21 06:38:22	ethereum above 2200 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x7b97c6…
07-21 05:56:43	ethereum above 2200 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x97caf7…
07-21 05:04:55	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x134693…
07-21 05:03:52	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x7686ec…
07-21 04:48:34	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x36f0b6…
07-21 03:52:00	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6b76c4…
07-21 03:51:04	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x8cb9b1…
07-21 03:29:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 22?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x651d8f…
07-21 03:27:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 22?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x47c065…
07-20 15:29:39	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x705ba4…
07-19 09:57:42	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfbaf84…
07-19 09:57:27	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6d0d82…
07-19 08:59:36	solana above 90 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xa737e0…
07-18 09:30:30	solana above 90 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x07f92b…
07-18 05:40:24	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcde9bd…
07-18 05:40:09	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x275a88…
07-17 09:27:19	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xb7144d…
07-17 07:38:52	will bitcoin dip to 54k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xefafe1…
07-16 07:06:13	will bitcoin dip to 54k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x4ca46e…
07-15 07:54:44	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 15	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0xb9af40…
07-14 22:30:08	bitcoin above 72k on july 16 2026	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0x389ad0…
07-14 16:53:02	bitcoin above 72k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3a2278…
07-14 16:51:38	bitcoin above 72k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x090efc…
07-14 16:51:19	bitcoin above 72k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x907b6d…
07-14 16:51:19	bitcoin above 72k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x346777…
07-14 07:00:11	solana above 100 on july 15 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xc71df5…
07-13 16:16:13	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 14?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe0787e…
07-13 16:14:11	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 14?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x43b5b1…
07-13 12:52:50	solana above 100 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xe1f282…
07-13 04:51:29	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 14?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x00464b…
07-12 15:05:17	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 14?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x60ae06…
07-07 01:21:04	bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x766bec…
07-06 15:10:08	bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x032c08…
07-06 05:20:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x060484…
07-05 21:58:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x1eb7e2…
07-05 21:57:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xe1c364…
07-05 07:19:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x231201…
07-05 02:30:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 7?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x1653ef…
07-04 10:29:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x58d331…
07-02 09:51:29	bitcoin above 70k on july 4 2026	No	SELL	97	100¢	$96	0x4ce5a3…
07-02 09:38:44	bitcoin above 70k on july 4 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbe7e8b…
07-02 09:18:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 4 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0a94f2…
07-02 08:38:32	bitcoin above 70k on july 4 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4f528e…
07-01 21:53:25	bitcoin above 70k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x712f32…
06-30 17:03:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 1?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf68cba…
06-30 17:01:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 1 2026	No	SELL	85	100¢	$84	0xb7638f…
06-29 11:47:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x095e45…