Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$423

Unrealized P&L

-$777

Hit rate

7.3%

Resolved

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$133

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-26 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 0% -$8,964

Other

30% 0% -$4,505

Politics

14% 50% +$13,048

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+10,000	$500	1¢	$80	-$420	09-20 22:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,561	$137	1¢	$34	-$103	10-21 15:55
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+5,472	$143	0¢	$19	-$123	10-25 12:15
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	+0	$130	5¢	$0	-$130	10-05 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	57	$7.0K	33,999	0	+33,999	No	-$7,000	05-13 11:50
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	8	$1.6K	3,296	0	+3,296	No	-$1,590	07-18 19:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$1.4K	18,987	0	+18,987	No	-$1,430	05-11 18:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	14,538	0	+14,538	Yes	+$13,448	04-29 23:28
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	73	$1000	40,000	0	+40,000	No	-$1,000	05-13 01:55
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	10	$820	1,406	0	+1,406	Yes	-$820	07-18 18:25
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?	1	$500	18,220	0	+18,220	No	-$500	05-11 18:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	1	$500	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	09-20 22:01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	36	$451	28,173	0	+28,173	No	-$451	05-13 13:46
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	2	$448	675	675	+0	open	—	10-15 16:08
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	4	$400	200,000	0	+200,000	No	-$400	07-23 05:59
us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	5	$327	2,045	271	+1,774	open	—	10-26 14:47
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	14	$270	2,320	2,320	+0	open	—	10-05 17:40
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	4	$251	14,776	0	+14,776	Yes	-$251	07-18 22:13
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	3	$234	8,651	0	+8,651	No	-$234	07-19 20:48
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	6	$199	11,164	5,692	+5,472	open	—	10-25 12:15
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	4	$152	2,698	97	+2,601	open	—	10-18 16:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	6	$137	3,561	0	+3,561	open	—	10-21 15:55
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	1	$100	4,348	0	+4,348	No	-$100	07-18 19:28
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$40	593	0	+593	Yes	-$40	04-29 23:47
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$40	607	0	+607	No	-$40	04-29 23:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	10	$13	1,070	0	+1,070	Down	-$13	10-09 16:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$11	0	13	-13	Yes	-$2	04-29 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:47:05	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	203	10¢	$20	0xe51841…
10-25 12:15:45	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	305	0¢	$2	0xff5758…
10-22 18:42:44	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x3200fc…
10-22 18:42:41	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	10¢	$5	0xb89e60…
10-21 15:55:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,025	3¢	$31	0xfb456a…
10-21 15:54:39	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc95025…
10-21 05:38:53	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,143	0¢	$26	0xf28c4c…
10-18 18:24:41	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	0¢	$1	0x0879da…
10-18 16:19:18	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Yes	SELL	97	2¢	$2	0x446ec3…
10-15 16:08:49	Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes	SELL	675	22¢	$148	0x317997…
10-13 14:30:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	4¢	$9	0x6196e5…
10-13 14:21:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x64d8d0…
10-13 14:21:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	984	4¢	$39	0xad1e2e…
10-13 14:21:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	4¢	$8	0x53c214…
10-12 21:39:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,136	4¢	$50	0xdbe78d…
10-09 16:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb22cd1…
10-09 16:03:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe9e891…
10-09 16:02:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x21ca49…
10-09 16:02:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfe6028…
10-09 16:02:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x3eb179…
10-09 16:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdcd8e6…
10-09 16:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd20275…
10-09 16:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x729316…
10-09 16:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x043816…
10-09 16:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9037de…
10-05 17:40:20	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	280	3¢	$8	0x078932…
10-05 01:02:47	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x41e729…
10-04 16:14:20	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	123	3¢	$4	0xf47726…
10-04 11:36:19	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xb2e08b…
10-04 07:39:43	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	93	3¢	$3	0xf332a6…
09-30 18:48:09	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	154	3¢	$5	0xd08880…
09-28 18:25:08	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x791944…
09-28 10:28:09	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xaafa95…
09-27 10:01:14	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0x509bd8…
09-26 20:49:20	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	124	3¢	$4	0x05de7e…
09-25 21:35:02	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x065dba…
09-23 15:47:46	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	624	3¢	$19	0x3dfa4d…
09-20 22:03:53	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	673	3¢	$20	0xaff9b6…
09-20 22:01:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	5¢	$500	0xff0a91…
07-23 05:59:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	199,009	0¢	$398	0x6d225e…
07-20 00:37:27	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	89	0¢	$0	0x44537e…
07-20 00:22:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	721	0¢	$1	0xfba80b…
07-19 23:10:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	181	0¢	$0	0x9593b8…
07-19 20:48:30	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	2,318	0¢	$4	0x45c27e…
07-19 20:11:52	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$30	0x35a997…
07-19 18:06:01	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	3,333	6¢	$200	0x91dc00…
07-18 22:13:30	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	3,451	1¢	$50	0x2f23fb…
07-18 22:07:58	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	7,300	1¢	$101	0x563c5a…
07-18 19:48:13	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	2,045	15¢	$300	0x9af0bc…
07-18 19:30:15	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	4,000	2¢	$100	0xf52f5f…
07-18 19:28:51	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	Yes	BUY	4,348	2¢	$100	0x637924…
07-18 19:08:16	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	43¢	$90	0x60162c…
07-18 19:01:07	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x4b3ce6…
07-18 18:32:39	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	809	50¢	$405	0xd18e3f…
07-18 18:32:37	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe9bd40…
07-18 18:32:37	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0x8b3234…
07-18 18:32:37	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x4f7113…
07-18 18:25:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x094151…
07-18 18:22:03	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	244	57¢	$139	0x34fc1e…
07-18 18:21:55	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	149	57¢	$85	0x078d4c…
07-18 17:55:18	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x5f7b91…
07-18 17:54:22	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	51	57¢	$29	0x580119…
07-18 17:53:46	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	89	57¢	$51	0x0acb75…
07-18 17:53:19	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x1c630e…
07-18 17:52:51	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	269	57¢	$153	0xb19553…
07-18 17:52:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xe37da2…
07-18 17:50:31	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	406	62¢	$250	0xd0b60f…
07-18 17:48:13	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x7a878c…
07-18 17:47:13	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Yes	BUY	384	3¢	$10	0x13d769…
07-18 17:42:22	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	675	44¢	$300	0x6a1a11…
07-18 16:39:31	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3dea66…
07-18 16:37:45	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,023	2¢	$20	0x00e93d…
07-17 15:10:33	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,088	55¢	$600	0x6ec0f5…
07-17 12:35:40	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,320	9¢	$200	0x537325…
07-17 12:33:30	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	998	40¢	$400	0x08061a…
07-17 12:32:51	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,129	1¢	$150	0x6e2456…
05-13 13:46:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xc4e40f…
05-13 13:41:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xefbe8e…
05-13 13:31:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$32	0x199bbb…
05-13 13:25:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x826a0e…
05-13 12:39:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	335	2¢	$5	0x35aafc…
05-13 12:36:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	2,155	2¢	$34	0xb25ead…
05-13 12:36:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x63691f…
05-13 12:07:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xddcd94…
05-13 11:50:53	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	2,329	10¢	$233	0xfa3b17…
05-13 11:50:53	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0xc96cad…
05-13 11:50:53	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c0e1b…
05-13 11:50:51	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	6,000	10¢	$600	0x07930a…
05-13 11:43:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x302157…
05-13 11:15:27	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$11	0xe4b408…
05-13 11:15:25	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	67	10¢	$7	0x6cf5c0…
05-13 11:15:21	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	107	10¢	$11	0x3922ac…
05-13 11:10:50	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd020f3…
05-13 11:10:50	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	165	10¢	$16	0xba55b7…
05-13 11:03:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x04019c…
05-13 10:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$11	0x670b14…
05-13 10:42:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x18afeb…
05-13 10:41:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x658d6a…
05-13 10:40:06	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x0e1e1f…
05-13 10:22:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x4f6da4…