Shocked-Halfbrother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$113

Unrealized P&L

-$521

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

585

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$77.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

$371

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-23 04:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

55% 98% +$145

Crypto

29% 96% +$148

Politics

15% 67% -$180

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,010	$457	22¢	$219	-$238	08-14 05:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+920	$434	16¢	$152	-$282	08-20 06:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will lighter reach 5pt00 in january	22	$16.9K	8,484	8,478	+6	No	+$0	01-28 14:04
nflx above 140 on february 20 2026	3	$2.8K	1,870	940	+930	No	+$1	02-18 07:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.2K	7,450	7,450	+0	No	-$298	05-21 07:00
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	2	$1.9K	951	951	+0	No	+$9	01-28 04:44
Over $1M committed to the Bitway public sale?	4	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	-$1	01-25 13:12
nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	1	$1.3K	1,320	0	+1,320	Yes	+$1	02-12 05:48
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	2	$1.3K	2,490	0	+2,490	No	$0	04-12 08:21
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$1	02-06 06:58
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	1	$1.3K	1,290	0	+1,290	India	+$1	03-08 18:45
nvda above 150 on march 20 2026	1	$1.3K	1,280	0	+1,280	Yes	+$1	03-20 13:21
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$1.3K	1,280	0	+1,280	No	+$1	05-01 08:11
msft close above 380 on march 17 2026	1	$1.3K	1,280	0	+1,280	Yes	+$1	03-17 13:45
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$1.3K	1,280	0	+1,280	No	+$1	03-24 15:31
crint nzl zaf 2026 03 19	40	$1.3K	1,270	0	+1,270	New Zealand	+$1	03-20 05:50
amzn close above 220 on march 16 2026	1	$1.3K	1,270	0	+1,270	No	+$1	03-16 14:25
msft close above 430 on march 12 2026	1	$1.3K	1,270	0	+1,270	No	+$1	03-12 13:54
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$1.3K	1,270	0	+1,270	Yes	+$9	05-04 06:13
nvda close above 190 on march 9 2026	7	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	No	+$3	03-09 13:35
amzn close above 225 on march 11 2026	1	$1.2K	1,164	0	+1,164	No	+$1	03-11 15:40
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,108	0	+1,108	No	+$1	02-28 18:53
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$1	02-02 13:54
will nflx close between 110 and 120 week march 13 2026	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	03-13 13:41
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$991	1,010	0	+1,010	No	+$19	02-23 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	1	$989	990	0	+990	No	+$1	05-16 15:22
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	1	$989	990	0	+990	No	+$1	05-17 05:14
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$979	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$21	02-24 07:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$972	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$28	03-04 04:17
bitcoin above 72k on february 7	2	$945	953	0	+953	No	+$9	02-07 14:49
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$899	900	0	+900	Yes	+$1	07-13 14:57
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$888	900	0	+900	No	+$12	02-01 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 04:01:40	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x503794…
08-23 04:01:31	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x503695…
08-23 04:01:22	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x2c8367…
08-23 04:01:12	Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	5¢	$4	0x696134…
08-20 06:40:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x029a91…
08-17 12:24:13	bitcoin above 66k on august 17 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6f3462…
08-17 12:24:00	bitcoin above 62k on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x56dbd8…
08-15 12:29:40	bitcoin above 62k on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x90cab4…
08-14 05:14:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	42¢	$46	0xe2dcd6…
08-14 05:13:16	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba46a3…
08-10 04:28:54	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x680b09…
08-08 11:27:03	bitcoin above 64k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d68aa…
08-07 11:19:25	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb66933…
08-06 12:11:41	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x45a19d…
08-02 09:56:57	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa0f348…
07-28 06:23:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa41abc…
07-27 06:55:18	bitcoin above 70k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x96fa3f…
07-25 06:57:12	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x29ecf7…
07-24 08:49:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7c2dc2…
07-22 14:07:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	41¢	$34	0x7f8bda…
07-22 07:48:19	bitcoin above 68k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x539627…
07-22 07:46:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf89d27…
07-22 07:46:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xec8083…
07-21 07:23:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	46¢	$55	0xf358c7…
07-19 07:51:37	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x46b3ad…
07-19 07:50:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xcd3325…
07-17 15:15:51	will nflx reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x183209…
07-17 15:15:31	will nflx reach 90 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xad152f…
07-16 08:44:58	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9da710…
07-16 08:44:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xa60e9b…
07-16 08:38:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0xeb5656…
07-16 08:36:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	49¢	$294	0x9010bc…
07-15 11:46:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3dd652…
07-14 06:59:01	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe878a8…
07-14 06:58:55	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x886de9…
07-13 14:57:05	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0xf5a4e0…
07-12 10:46:13	bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xba120e…
07-12 10:46:04	bitcoin above 62k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe89a1e…
07-11 10:56:04	bitcoin above 66k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8b7373…
07-11 10:55:55	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x86ddc4…
07-10 12:38:46	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xcac1ed…
07-09 08:41:56	bitcoin above 60k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3df4b5…
07-07 08:04:41	bitcoin above 66k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbcb49f…
07-07 08:04:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc25e13…
07-07 08:04:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x498be6…
07-06 08:49:20	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x25a51f…
07-05 06:51:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff9eb9…
07-05 06:51:32	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb57bd5…
07-04 12:37:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x53e972…
07-03 08:09:02	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf0ebad…
07-03 08:08:53	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3e9436…
07-03 08:08:41	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x28c14b…
07-03 08:08:17	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x52fc89…
07-03 08:08:08	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xed8aae…
07-03 08:07:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcfee80…
07-02 12:49:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0c51ab…
07-02 12:10:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x166278…
07-02 11:59:17	will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x80c4c9…
07-02 11:59:08	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3d3cd2…
07-02 11:58:56	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x487b63…
07-02 11:58:38	will bitcoin dip to 52k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x68cb78…
07-02 11:58:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe7bc92…
07-02 11:57:40	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b8200…
07-02 11:57:31	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xb644ae…
07-02 11:57:22	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6078c5…
07-01 10:55:40	will krakens valuation hit high 15b by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8c60d…
07-01 10:55:31	will krakens valuation hit high 17pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f68de…
07-01 10:54:37	will bitcoin reach 70k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc0545…
07-01 10:54:25	will bitcoin reach 72k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe1a06…
07-01 10:53:32	will bitcoin dip to 48k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb9a494…
07-01 10:53:23	will bitcoin dip to 46k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4365d4…
07-01 10:52:29	will bitcoin reach 74k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe54732…
07-01 10:48:46	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x60983e…
06-27 04:23:22	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcae1f4…
06-27 04:22:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a444e…
06-27 04:22:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77068f…
06-27 04:22:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8e83bd…
06-27 04:22:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c7188…
06-27 04:21:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed216e…
06-27 04:21:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa316ee…
06-27 04:21:41	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x242285…
06-27 04:20:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a73f4…
06-27 04:20:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x295779…
06-27 04:20:11	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ed91e…
06-24 08:05:16	will bnb dip to 300 in june	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf741f5…
06-24 08:05:07	will bnb dip to 400 in june	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0764d7…
06-24 08:04:59	will bnb reach 800 in june	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf4fb2a…
06-24 08:04:52	will bnb reach 900 in june	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x979f2e…
06-24 08:04:08	will chainlink dip to 4 in june	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x76dd8b…
06-24 08:03:59	will chainlink reach 10 in june	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c6bed…
06-24 08:03:49	will chainlink reach 12 in june	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7a3e50…
06-24 08:03:40	will chainlink reach 14 in june	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42d550…
06-24 08:03:32	will chainlink reach 18 in june	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a5b08…
06-24 08:03:22	will chainlink reach 20 in june	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc51fbf…
06-24 08:02:40	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7cbc78…
06-24 08:02:31	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83a2dc…
06-24 08:02:23	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x133a94…
06-24 08:01:46	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3970a0…
06-24 08:01:38	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7739f…
06-24 08:01:31	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x49e0be…