Past-Zinc — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$263

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

139

Trades

554

lifetime

Volume

$9.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 09-20 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

51% 42% -$253

Crypto

27% 97% +$4

Politics

16% 45% -$14

Sports

6% 58% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	18	$413	207	207	+0	No	+$0	04-24 19:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 10:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	2	$398	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 06:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	4	$396	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:42
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	12	$313	157	157	+0	No	+$0	03-30 06:29
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	8	$198	99	99	+0	No	+$0	03-26 01:28
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	8	$195	455	455	+0	No	-$177	05-25 03:13
will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	10	$167	84	84	+0	No	+$0	03-30 06:32
italy nordio reform referendum passes	3	$166	200	200	+0	No	-$2	03-23 08:11
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	8	$166	83	83	+0	No	+$0	04-02 02:46
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	6	$166	83	83	+0	No	$0	03-16 03:36
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	8	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	06-10 12:42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	7	$156	178	178	+0	No	-$3	05-24 13:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	9	$154	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	04-02 06:29
Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	6	$152	76	76	+0	No	+$0	04-28 12:53
will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	6	$145	73	73	+0	No	+$0	03-15 21:48
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	6	$134	67	67	+0	No	+$0	03-26 01:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	15	$127	800	800	+0	open	—	05-16 14:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$119	156	156	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 11:31
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	4	$118	59	59	+0	No	+$0	06-02 00:39
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	7	$114	2,700	2,700	-0	open	—	09-20 14:07
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$112	56	56	+0	No	+$0	05-27 02:11
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	16	$111	2,342	2,342	+0	No	-$1	05-19 11:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$108	150	150	+0	No	-$3	03-23 10:03
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$106	53	53	+0	No	+$0	02-27 04:18
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	4	$102	51	51	+0	No	+$0	04-06 08:33
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	03-22 16:55
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	4	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	02-27 04:13
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	4	$87	279	0	+279	No	-$87	05-06 06:39
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	2	$84	100	150	-50	No	+$40	04-02 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 14:07:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	779	2¢	$16	0x5a78d8…
09-18 15:50:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	421	2¢	$9	0x86d44c…
09-03 19:49:09	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	3¢	$10	0x5c6701…
08-19 21:48:58	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xc5d495…
08-13 19:50:18	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x29842c…
08-13 17:28:09	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xab7e06…
07-29 23:32:18	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	SELL	550	1¢	$3	0xada852…
07-28 15:57:38	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	7¢	$4	0xfbd781…
06-29 13:10:32	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	6¢	$3	0x9eaa08…
06-29 13:09:29	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xa151d9…
06-25 01:12:25	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	2¢	$4	0xce8e73…
06-23 00:05:19	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x6821c0…
06-23 00:03:23	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x0c30a7…
06-23 00:03:17	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	107	2¢	$2	0x3a9c34…
06-22 23:56:20	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0x5b6c09…
06-22 23:52:16	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0x606b2c…
06-22 23:50:40	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	81	2¢	$2	0x2b2951…
06-22 23:48:47	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x5ba669…
06-22 23:45:29	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	233	2¢	$5	0xc8e5ca…
06-20 12:43:52	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	780	1¢	$8	0xa43e1b…
06-18 12:44:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	550	1¢	$8	0xdf3a1c…
06-14 21:55:31	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0x25206a…
06-14 15:40:43	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0x54ecfc…
06-14 08:54:19	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x097708…
06-14 08:54:01	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x6df8c6…
06-14 08:18:28	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x513d46…
06-14 06:26:21	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9c55b2…
06-14 06:25:18	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xf85bac…
06-14 06:25:10	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa5907c…
06-14 06:24:57	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xe425f8…
06-14 05:38:24	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x0e5017…
06-14 05:20:30	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb07e32…
06-14 05:17:52	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x0eed1c…
06-14 03:35:30	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa91574…
06-14 02:35:34	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb8a240…
06-14 00:32:18	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x4154c9…
06-13 23:19:01	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x5b3ee4…
06-13 21:39:15	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x7058d0…
06-13 21:28:48	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x08378a…
06-13 19:22:10	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x84d576…
06-13 18:52:30	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2c1372…
06-13 18:51:00	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x691f56…
06-13 17:06:36	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xf91013…
06-13 15:40:42	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd458f8…
06-13 14:04:48	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x335816…
06-13 13:34:54	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x89edab…
06-13 13:32:15	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xe33b5e…
06-13 11:28:40	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xf10591…
06-13 10:30:51	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x5732e1…
06-13 09:58:03	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	115	1¢	$1	0x38747e…
06-13 09:31:42	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x71f93a…
06-13 09:22:58	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd44158…
06-13 08:45:21	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x089f70…
06-13 08:28:03	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x317b8b…
06-13 08:27:58	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xaffe7c…
06-13 08:22:21	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb50884…
06-13 07:59:36	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x30aa1d…
06-13 05:29:49	Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	1¢	$2	0x7aa215…
06-13 05:14:48	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1c6e31…
06-13 02:32:51	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x4df4f4…
06-13 02:32:46	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xb74c06…
06-13 01:23:39	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xc2f502…
06-13 01:23:34	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xc643a8…
06-13 01:23:01	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x3c88d4…
06-13 00:50:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,314	1¢	$11	0x516007…
06-12 23:37:07	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9531f5…
06-12 23:16:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x79a638…
06-12 22:53:57	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb4d127…
06-12 22:16:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x11e187…
06-12 22:02:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xc09de2…
06-12 20:00:06	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x07d788…
06-12 19:44:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xe7ee87…
06-12 19:36:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x5ef34c…
06-12 17:42:48	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xfb332d…
06-12 15:40:36	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd15ae5…
06-12 15:10:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x61e3ab…
06-12 14:40:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd13a8d…
06-12 12:05:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x7631f7…
06-12 06:52:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xb06a47…
06-12 06:28:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xdb25cf…
06-12 04:27:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	371	1¢	$4	0x111551…
06-11 22:50:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x32fb46…
06-11 22:50:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x81e6e3…
06-11 20:57:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb5cba0…
06-11 20:57:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xbc66fa…
06-11 20:57:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf86870…
06-11 20:54:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xdee57b…
06-11 20:54:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3ef14f…
06-11 20:54:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc83e81…
06-11 20:54:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x95fdd0…
06-11 17:50:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$2	0xe3634e…
06-11 17:07:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	476	1¢	$5	0x220c5b…
06-11 17:00:57	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	880	1¢	$9	0xa2c4dc…
06-11 09:50:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	660	1¢	$5	0x79777e…
06-11 04:38:49	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	716	1¢	$6	0xa2b183…
06-10 13:00:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,800	1¢	$14	0xfdfbc7…
06-10 12:59:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,074	1¢	$11	0x55d7fd…
06-10 12:56:07	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	3¢	$10	0x3825b4…
06-10 12:52:51	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	990	2¢	$21	0x4552a5…
06-10 12:51:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,200	2¢	$26	0xb0a0e2…