Far-Off-Manipulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$45.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$187

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 09-22 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 97% -$277

Other

3% 100% +$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	8	$1.6K	788	788	+0	No	+$8	05-24 13:00
will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	14	$1.4K	730	730	+0	No	+$24	08-14 07:39
will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	23	$1.4K	690	690	+0	No	+$18	08-08 05:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$42	08-04 12:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	5	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$5	05-21 02:56
will ethereum reach 2000 july 20 26 2026	3	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$18	07-27 02:29
will ethereum reach 2300 july 20 26 2026	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$17	07-24 14:16
will bitcoin reach 80k april 6 12	5	$1.2K	588	588	+0	No	+$7	04-11 11:29
will ethereum reach 2100 july 13 19 2026	5	$1.2K	588	588	+0	No	+$20	07-19 07:40
will ethereum reach 2200 july 6 12 2026	2	$1.1K	559	559	+0	No	+$12	07-07 20:33
will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	4	$1.1K	540	540	+0	No	+$11	07-05 01:47
will bitcoin dip to 52k june 22 28 2026	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	+$6	06-28 00:27
will ethereum dip to 1400 june 8 14 2026	6	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	+$3	06-14 10:37
will bitcoin reach 72k june 8 14 2026	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$5	06-12 15:34
will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	8	$987	517	517	+0	No	+$26	06-07 22:40
will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	2	$953	480	480	+0	No	+$6	06-06 01:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2?	2	$815	410	410	+0	No	+$1	06-03 02:17
will bitcoin reach 78k june 1 7 2026	2	$811	410	410	+0	No	+$0	06-04 02:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	8	$784	400	390	+10	No	+$4	05-30 09:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	3	$756	380	380	+0	No	+$2	05-16 00:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	2	$733	370	370	+0	No	+$3	05-14 14:46
will ethereum reach 2200 august 17 23 2026	1	$733	756	0	+756	Yes	-$733	08-19 15:07
Will Solana reach $130 May 11-17?	3	$723	370	370	+0	No	+$12	05-12 18:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	6	$717	360	360	+0	No	+$2	05-09 08:57
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	3	$714	360	360	+0	No	+$2	05-08 07:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	4	$696	356	356	+0	No	+$11	04-30 15:09
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	2	$695	350	350	+0	No	+$2	05-06 15:03
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	2	$680	343	343	+0	No	+$3	04-24 15:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$678	340	340	+0	No	+$1	05-03 01:06
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26?	4	$672	341	340	+1	No	+$3	04-25 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 08:37:24	will ethereum reach 3100 september 21 27 2026	No	SELL	110	94¢	$103	0x77bf78…
09-21 08:39:53	will ethereum reach 3100 september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0x887799…
09-18 09:18:22	will ethereum reach 2800 september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7580c7…
08-27 08:55:04	will ethereum reach 2900 august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x2a9be7…
08-20 16:41:16	will ethereum reach 2600 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0xeabd73…
08-19 15:07:31	will ethereum reach 2200 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	756	97¢	$733	0x0c9254…
08-14 13:13:39	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	233	99¢	$230	0x562437…
08-14 07:39:15	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	706	100¢	$705	0xbc3600…
08-13 12:48:37	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6d3cb4…
08-13 12:35:21	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b5bae…
08-13 12:25:34	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9630f4…
08-13 12:15:19	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe74fde…
08-13 11:48:13	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xabc016…
08-13 11:29:10	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3803c1…
08-13 11:18:40	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x901bff…
08-13 11:04:36	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6dfa5b…
08-13 10:53:07	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x168c84…
08-13 10:41:40	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6deefe…
08-13 05:44:37	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3faa86…
08-13 05:39:27	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb3608d…
08-11 10:53:49	will ethereum reach 2200 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	730	97¢	$704	0x7ee648…
08-09 09:42:13	will solana reach 80 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	320	96¢	$306	0x697811…
08-08 05:45:51	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdfffe2…
08-08 05:45:45	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xdaac62…
08-08 05:45:39	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xc0892f…
08-08 05:45:31	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x04b75a…
08-08 05:45:27	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2ccd48…
08-08 05:45:21	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0x63098d…
08-08 05:45:15	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x03e50c…
08-08 05:45:10	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x21632a…
08-08 05:45:03	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x1ab0e4…
08-08 05:44:55	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x6a74a7…
08-08 05:44:49	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x56e147…
08-08 05:44:37	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xa3e4ae…
08-08 05:44:33	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xd8755a…
08-08 05:44:25	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x899a6d…
08-08 05:44:18	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0x41aece…
08-08 05:44:10	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x57ea88…
08-08 05:43:39	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xd9816d…
08-08 05:43:33	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x540797…
08-08 05:43:27	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x612eba…
08-08 05:25:54	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x84df86…
08-08 05:25:45	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x732f8f…
08-08 05:25:34	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x55d8b4…
08-05 08:50:06	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	690	97¢	$671	0x8467fb…
08-04 12:46:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,400	46¢	$644	0xb0e675…
07-31 13:56:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,400	43¢	$602	0x0f9409…
07-27 02:29:34	will ethereum reach 2000 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	620	100¢	$619	0xb74e34…
07-26 11:19:55	will ethereum reach 2000 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	280	97¢	$272	0xe2cd3a…
07-26 09:56:45	will ethereum reach 2000 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	340	97¢	$330	0xc2e728…
07-24 14:16:30	will ethereum reach 2300 july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xa6accc…
07-20 19:40:04	will ethereum reach 2300 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	600	97¢	$582	0x9f3a48…
07-19 07:40:58	will ethereum reach 2100 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1190dc…
07-19 07:38:06	will ethereum reach 2100 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	564	100¢	$563	0xfea44b…
07-14 13:00:01	will ethereum reach 2100 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	440	96¢	$425	0xe4e8ec…
07-14 12:57:01	will ethereum reach 2100 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x457243…
07-14 12:56:17	will ethereum reach 2100 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x636450…
07-12 16:55:29	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xa022ce…
07-12 15:59:11	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0x3cca44…
07-11 23:34:41	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc9d0ac…
07-11 14:28:59	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	179	96¢	$171	0xc6e5bc…
07-11 10:46:13	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	256	99¢	$253	0x77a8ba…
07-07 20:33:01	will ethereum reach 2200 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	559	100¢	$558	0x9ac9f7…
07-06 22:41:38	will ethereum reach 2200 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	559	98¢	$546	0x2d1e13…
07-05 01:47:40	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	409	100¢	$409	0xfbd568…
07-05 01:29:59	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xf0213d…
07-04 18:24:40	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe97963…
07-04 00:09:34	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	540	98¢	$528	0x9d0dd8…
06-28 13:09:46	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb3a8c3…
06-28 00:27:02	will bitcoin dip to 52k june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	520	100¢	$519	0x3144af…
06-23 08:51:58	will bitcoin dip to 52k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	520	99¢	$514	0x13865b…
06-20 01:17:47	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0x7e5482…
06-19 18:27:25	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbeb751…
06-19 10:57:17	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xc5d6e0…
06-18 21:52:50	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	320	99¢	$316	0x22c63c…
06-16 19:18:52	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x08029c…
06-14 10:37:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xd83de1…
06-14 10:36:45	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x8d9ef6…
06-14 10:29:57	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x0391e1…
06-14 10:02:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x19f93e…
06-14 09:30:27	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xc8a730…
06-13 09:04:01	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	515	99¢	$511	0x611f03…
06-12 15:34:43	will bitcoin reach 72k june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0x475387…
06-10 13:31:10	will bitcoin reach 72k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	510	99¢	$504	0xb21205…
06-07 22:40:09	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	465	98¢	$456	0x9c7ddc…
06-07 22:05:10	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb9a452…
06-07 20:06:09	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x2e83d6…
06-07 19:52:06	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc25174…
06-07 19:09:28	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x150fe0…
06-07 18:20:46	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x2a7edd…
06-07 08:50:30	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	317	93¢	$294	0xfdfb07…
06-07 08:45:40	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x421586…
06-06 01:33:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5?	No	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0x992311…
06-05 13:53:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	480	99¢	$473	0xff5b4b…
06-05 12:18:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 5	No	SELL	200	95¢	$189	0xf3b9fd…
06-05 11:59:10	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 5	No	BUY	200	91¢	$181	0xb721f6…
06-04 02:36:21	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	No	BUY	468	87¢	$406	0xe35709…
06-04 02:35:37	will bitcoin reach 78k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	410	99¢	$405	0xf3ddcc…
06-03 08:35:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	410	99¢	$405	0x57b830…
06-03 02:17:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	410	100¢	$408	0xa71a6c…