Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?
open
Total volume
$75,217
$3,708 in 24h
Trades
420
Unique wallets
192
Liquidity
$23,023
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-18
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-18 01:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.5¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $379
vs crowd: 0% YES on $63.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $28 | $40.6K | $40.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $20 | $13.2K | $13.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 53 | $84 | $6.4K | $6.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 104 | $125 | $3.4K | $3.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $3 | $376 | $372 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $15 | $34.6K | $34.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $9 | $7.9K | $7.9K |
| Median | 103 | $7 | $14.8K | $14.8K |
| Below median | 11 | $9 | $500 | $491 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $91 | $205 | $114 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $10 | $520 | $509 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $28 | $2.5K | $2.4K |
| unranked | 29 | $83 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal-Wage 0x9b8c…67c6 | Yes | +26,293 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-17 23:42 |
| Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | No | +24,999 | $24,974 | $24,974 | 1 | 05-17 23:42 |
| Noxious-Kendo 0x67d9…ab69 | Yes | +7,855 | $31 | $31 | 34 | 05-16 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x7317…c5a9 | Yes | +7,253 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-12 22:10 |
| Colorful-Maize 0xe073…18d9 | No | +6,000 | $5,934 | $5,934 | 1 | 05-12 22:10 |
| Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | +4,545 | $4,517 | $4,517 | 5 | 05-16 14:01 |
| Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | +3,793 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-17 21:54 |
| Selfish-Hydrocarbon 0xdc56…e898 | No | +3,000 | $2,997 | $2,997 | 5 | 05-17 21:54 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +2,991 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-15 02:31 |
| 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 0x503f…8989 | No | +2,511 | $2,506 | $2,506 | 1 | 05-17 06:44 |
| Muted-Bladder 0x6436…da96 | Yes | +1,667 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ecf…1147 | No | +1,602 | $1,600 | $1,600 | 1 | 05-17 07:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,092 | $4 | $4 | 14 | 05-17 06:44 |
| Legitimate-Fraudster 0x48f3…75ce | No | +1,087 | $1,086 | $1,086 | 1 | 05-17 10:19 |
| Severe-Tourism 0x9ac5…4e24 | Yes | +1,000 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 06:27 |
| Impure-Legging 0xf402…180f | No | +603 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 05-15 15:10 |
| Sneaky-Operator 0xe002…24b1 | No | +600 | $595 | $595 | 2 | 05-15 02:31 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | +544 | $531 | $2,515 | 9 | 05-14 14:46 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 18:32 |
| Musty-Pathology 0xb37b…da0c | No | +300 | $297 | $297 | 1 | 05-13 18:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8962…4812 | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 1 | 05-12 22:10 |
| Gloomy-Ocelot 0xa606…8273 | No | +280 | $279 | $279 | 4 | 05-18 01:58 |
| Nimble-Paddle 0x2563…1c37 | No | +272 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 05-17 06:57 |
| Meek-Chapter 0x00de…231f | No | +233 | $232 | $232 | 1 | 05-16 09:11 |
| Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | +223 | $215 | $3,985 | 15 | 05-17 23:42 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 05-14 06:14 |
| Incomparable-Native 0x444b…a31d | No | +190 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 05-17 10:20 |
| Those-Cannibal 0xfc29…1c34 | Yes | +173 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-13 13:35 |
| Flippant-Paperback 0xeef0…4394 | No | +157 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 05-17 07:07 |
| Imaginative-Saddle 0x41fe…1e9e | No | +136 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 05-17 06:46 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Itinerary 0xb8e4…b809 | No | +128 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 05-17 07:08 |
| Perfect-Wetbar 0x8213…61c7 | No | +127 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 05-17 07:02 |
| Humble-Forever 0xa1b5…b080 | No | +123 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 05-17 06:44 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | +120 | $118 | $118 | 2 | 05-13 21:49 |
| Greedy-Horse 0xd423…995a | No | +117 | $117 | $117 | 1 | 05-17 07:04 |
| Tense-Codepage 0xd805…52c2 | Yes | +111 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 13:05 |
| Helpful-Announcement 0x78c1…afd6 | No | +109 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 05-17 06:49 |
| Finished-Onion 0x39de…83c2 | No | +101 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 05-17 06:27 |
| Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | No | +101 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 05-17 07:24 |
| Worse-Crowd 0x7b52…589a | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-17 11:53 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $-0 | $2 | 5 | 05-17 11:16 |
| Jagged-Electronics 0xae4b…fd5b | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-17 05:45 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-17 06:46 |
| Made-Up-Ecclesia 0xc75f…a311 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:31 |
| Pointless-Bed 0xcf74…17b2 | Yes | +83 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:22 |
| Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | Yes | +83 | $0 | $4 | 10 | 05-17 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ceb…7b4e | Yes | +79 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 18:32 |
| Overlooked-Summit 0x9b6b…9a8a | Yes | +72 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-17 18:14 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +58 | $0 | $2 | 5 | 05-14 05:47 |
| Hateful-Howard 0x88a1…a17b | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-11 19:16 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 06:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 01:58:51 | Gloomy-Ocelot 0xa606…8273 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x77520b… |
| 05-18 01:58:51 | Superficial-Type 0xcaf0…5c88 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x77520b… |
| 05-17 23:42:26 | Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | No | BUY | 24,999 | 100¢ | $24,974 | 0x5e78d6… |
| 05-17 23:42:26 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | BUY | 1,111 | 100¢ | $1,110 | 0x5e78d6… |
| 05-17 23:42:26 | Royal-Wage 0x9b8c…67c6 | Yes | BUY | 26,293 | 0¢ | $26 | 0x5e78d6… |
| 05-17 23:42:26 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e78d6… |
| 05-17 23:42:26 | Gloomy-Ocelot 0xa606…8273 | No | BUY | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0x5e78d6… |
| 05-17 22:47:52 | Lumpy-Fur 0x08b9…14d3 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x5e3a9e… |
| 05-17 22:47:52 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e3a9e… |
| 05-17 22:09:20 | Disastrous-Base 0x2400…4afb | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xc1a208… |
| 05-17 22:09:20 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1a208… |
| 05-17 21:54:12 | Mysterious-Lanai 0x62d8…6783 | Yes | SELL | 631 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcfe5be… |
| 05-17 21:54:12 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 2,662 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xcfe5be… |
| 05-17 21:54:12 | Selfish-Hydrocarbon 0xdc56…e898 | No | BUY | 1,559 | 100¢ | $1,558 | 0xcfe5be… |
| 05-17 21:54:12 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfe5be… |
| 05-17 21:54:12 | Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | Yes | SELL | 152 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfe5be… |
| 05-17 21:54:12 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfe5be… |
| 05-17 21:54:12 | Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfe5be… |
| 05-17 21:16:49 | Selfish-Hydrocarbon 0xdc56…e898 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x07425f… |
| 05-17 21:16:49 | Testy-Citron 0xc0dc…1f35 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x07425f… |
| 05-17 20:09:56 | Selfish-Hydrocarbon 0xdc56…e898 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xf24047… |
| 05-17 20:09:56 | Accomplished-Kimono 0x1d56…be85 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xf24047… |
| 05-17 20:04:18 | Svelte-Server 0xf25d…9d7a | No | SELL | 1,406 | 100¢ | $1,404 | 0x11acfb… |
| 05-17 20:04:18 | Selfish-Hydrocarbon 0xdc56…e898 | No | BUY | 1,406 | 100¢ | $1,404 | 0x11acfb… |
| 05-17 19:16:44 | Plain-Deviance 0x71be…473d | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xce1a25… |
| 05-17 19:16:44 | Selfish-Hydrocarbon 0xdc56…e898 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xce1a25… |
| 05-17 18:14:31 | Overlooked-Summit 0x9b6b…9a8a | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b9a9f… |
| 05-17 18:14:31 | Nocturnal-Hazelnut 0xa7e3…31df | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x3b9a9f… |
| 05-17 17:51:30 | Overlooked-Summit 0x9b6b…9a8a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6429d4… |
| 05-17 17:51:30 | Lumpy-Fur 0x08b9…14d3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x6429d4… |
| 05-17 17:21:23 | Overlooked-Summit 0x9b6b…9a8a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4af049… |
| 05-17 17:21:23 | Skinny-Centimeter 0x4473…95f1 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x4af049… |
| 05-17 14:13:15 | Junior-Eagle 0xef01…1359 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf9282a… |
| 05-17 14:13:15 | Medical-Mutton 0x4572…34bf | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf9282a… |
| 05-17 13:20:10 | (anonymous) 0xd900…81ab | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xd88128… |
| 05-17 13:20:10 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd88128… |
| 05-17 13:04:32 | Plain-Deviance 0x71be…473d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xce7e79… |
| 05-17 13:04:32 | Junior-Eagle 0xef01…1359 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xce7e79… |
| 05-17 12:26:51 | Blushing-Cake 0x7a8e…68ec | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1162ad… |
| 05-17 12:26:51 | (anonymous) 0x3035…1f37 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1162ad… |
| 05-17 12:04:31 | Twin-Woodshed 0x1bf8…4b52 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x48bc3a… |
| 05-17 12:04:31 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48bc3a… |
| 05-17 11:54:16 | Reflecting-Oeuvre 0x8217…e647 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x853d2d… |
| 05-17 11:54:16 | (anonymous) 0x3035…1f37 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x853d2d… |
| 05-17 11:53:13 | Worse-Crowd 0x7b52…589a | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xcb3ad3… |
| 05-17 11:53:13 | (anonymous) 0x3035…1f37 | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xcb3ad3… |
| 05-17 11:24:51 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbfe368… |
| 05-17 11:24:51 | Exotic-Providence 0xbc9a…d338 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xbfe368… |
| 05-17 11:16:18 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2014a0… |
| 05-17 11:16:18 | (anonymous) 0x3035…1f37 | No | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $115 | 0x2014a0… |
| 05-17 11:16:18 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2014a0… |
| 05-17 11:10:47 | Narrow-Menopause 0xd805…b047 | No | BUY | 89 | 100¢ | $89 | 0xf548f6… |
| 05-17 11:10:47 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf548f6… |
| 05-17 10:36:13 | Distorted-Contention 0x966f…9b72 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb0df0c… |
| 05-17 10:36:13 | Gloomy-Ocelot 0xa606…8273 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb0df0c… |
| 05-17 10:36:13 | Unhappy-Barbeque 0x8df3…6fab | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb0df0c… |
| 05-17 10:20:46 | Incomparable-Native 0x444b…a31d | No | BUY | 190 | 100¢ | $190 | 0xfd5559… |
| 05-17 10:20:46 | Ripe-Attorney 0x2ee8…f785 | No | SELL | 190 | 100¢ | $190 | 0xfd5559… |
| 05-17 10:19:38 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 777 | 100¢ | $777 | 0x743173… |
| 05-17 10:19:38 | Ripe-Attorney 0x2ee8…f785 | No | SELL | 310 | 100¢ | $309 | 0x743173… |
| 05-17 10:19:38 | Legitimate-Fraudster 0x48f3…75ce | No | BUY | 1,087 | 100¢ | $1,086 | 0x743173… |
| 05-17 09:50:19 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x3185e2… |
| 05-17 09:50:19 | Fancy-Sonar 0xffa5…0dce | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x3185e2… |
| 05-17 09:43:28 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x38411e… |
| 05-17 09:43:28 | Testy-Citron 0xc0dc…1f35 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x38411e… |
| 05-17 09:09:22 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x55b117… |
| 05-17 09:09:22 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x55b117… |
| 05-17 09:03:20 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5b58c3… |
| 05-17 09:03:20 | Stable-Broccoli 0xd44b…f081 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5b58c3… |
| 05-17 08:27:39 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5cd0c3… |
| 05-17 08:27:39 | Crafty-Lane 0x4eb6…fd8e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5cd0c3… |
| 05-17 08:04:28 | Minty-Gaffer 0x8048…5c85 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xf2ae49… |
| 05-17 08:04:28 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xf2ae49… |
| 05-17 08:01:19 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x343c87… |
| 05-17 08:01:19 | Unhappy-Barbeque 0x8df3…6fab | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x343c87… |
| 05-17 07:49:09 | Disastrous-Base 0x2400…4afb | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x2556f3… |
| 05-17 07:49:09 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x2556f3… |
| 05-17 07:37:33 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | No | SELL | 565 | 100¢ | $564 | 0x6c346a… |
| 05-17 07:37:33 | (anonymous) 0x8ecf…1147 | No | BUY | 1,602 | 100¢ | $1,600 | 0x6c346a… |
| 05-17 07:37:33 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | SELL | 921 | 100¢ | $920 | 0x6c346a… |
| 05-17 07:37:33 | Wide-Eyed-Trim 0xde16…cb5c | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x6c346a… |
| 05-17 07:37:29 | Junior-Eagle 0xef01…1359 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x3dc084… |
| 05-17 07:37:29 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x3dc084… |
| 05-17 07:26:45 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x368c5a… |
| 05-17 07:26:45 | Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x368c5a… |
| 05-17 07:24:52 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x820e62… |
| 05-17 07:24:52 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | SELL | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x820e62… |
| 05-17 07:15:58 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x274acd… |
| 05-17 07:15:58 | Mysterious-Lanai 0x62d8…6783 | Yes | SELL | 852 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x274acd… |
| 05-17 07:15:58 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x274acd… |
| 05-17 07:13:24 | Twin-Woodshed 0x1bf8…4b52 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x647043… |
| 05-17 07:13:24 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x647043… |
| 05-17 07:13:08 | Accomplished-Kimono 0x1d56…be85 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xdad2e2… |
| 05-17 07:13:08 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xdad2e2… |
| 05-17 07:08:44 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Itinerary 0xb8e4…b809 | No | BUY | 128 | 100¢ | $128 | 0x0c4e96… |
| 05-17 07:08:44 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | SELL | 128 | 100¢ | $128 | 0x0c4e96… |
| 05-17 07:07:20 | Flippant-Paperback 0xeef0…4394 | No | BUY | 157 | 100¢ | $157 | 0x2da889… |
| 05-17 07:07:20 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | SELL | 157 | 100¢ | $157 | 0x2da889… |
| 05-17 07:05:54 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xeda956… |
| 05-17 07:05:54 | Exotic-Providence 0xbc9a…d338 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xeda956… |