Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?
open
Total volume
$1,251
$3,708 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$23,023
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-18
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-17 06:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $280 | $280 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $6 | $951 | $945 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $62 | $62 |
| Median | 15 | $5 | $624 | $619 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $217 | $217 |
| unranked | 5 | — | $326 | $326 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe-Tourism 0x9ac5…4e24 | Yes | +1,000 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 06:27 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 05-14 06:14 |
| Exalted-Opposite 0x5bee…31ca | No | +112 | $112 | $112 | 1 | 05-16 08:16 |
| Finished-Onion 0x39de…83c2 | No | +101 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 05-17 06:27 |
| Wide-Eyed-Trim 0xde16…cb5c | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-15 23:05 |
| Made-Up-Ecclesia 0xc75f…a311 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:31 |
| Sneaky-Operator 0xe002…24b1 | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-14 21:32 |
| Alive-Discount 0x4cc4…5157 | No | +69 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 05-16 13:39 |
| Thankful-Laundry 0x3959…5b53 | No | +65 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-16 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | No | +64 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-13 21:04 |
| Scholarly-Cabbage 0x91c5…4c3c | No | +63 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 05-13 09:15 |
| Abandoned-Hobby 0x514d…42f9 | No | +57 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-13 04:47 |
| Superior-Quadrant 0x19ed…c6c5 | No | +57 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-16 10:11 |
| Late-Optimisation 0x4672…5c76 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-13 12:18 |
| Graceful-Blame 0x91b7…e389 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-13 03:08 |
| Proud-Condor 0xefe4…d4fd | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-16 04:13 |
| Sympathetic-License 0x28b0…7732 | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-16 21:57 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-13 21:49 |
| Corny-Quotation 0x5f95…01a8 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-17 05:17 |
| Messy-Recipient 0xc616…2961 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-15 07:59 |
| Improbable-Detour 0x9d8a…1f2e | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-16 14:11 |
| Sinful-Fort 0x6eed…c75b | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 15:32 |
| Determined-Fog 0x58ce…ce5e | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 12:50 |
| Winding-Software 0xf831…ce13 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 06:27:54 | Finished-Onion 0x39de…83c2 | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x536563… |
| 05-17 06:27:26 | Severe-Tourism 0x9ac5…4e24 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x7a76d1… |
| 05-17 05:17:29 | Corny-Quotation 0x5f95…01a8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xba40e1… |
| 05-16 21:57:38 | Sympathetic-License 0x28b0…7732 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x9a1396… |
| 05-16 20:47:04 | Jagged-Pioneer 0xc137…5eb0 | Yes | SELL | 927 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xb7189e… |
| 05-16 15:32:34 | Sinful-Fort 0x6eed…c75b | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xadde4b… |
| 05-16 14:11:34 | Improbable-Detour 0x9d8a…1f2e | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xd0016f… |
| 05-16 13:39:08 | Alive-Discount 0x4cc4…5157 | No | BUY | 69 | 100¢ | $69 | 0xa0de5b… |
| 05-16 12:50:59 | Determined-Fog 0x58ce…ce5e | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x91f28b… |
| 05-16 12:20:57 | Thankful-Laundry 0x3959…5b53 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x784aec… |
| 05-16 10:11:37 | Superior-Quadrant 0x19ed…c6c5 | No | BUY | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x9d66f4… |
| 05-16 08:16:18 | Exalted-Opposite 0x5bee…31ca | No | BUY | 112 | 100¢ | $112 | 0x6ca014… |
| 05-16 04:13:59 | Proud-Condor 0xefe4…d4fd | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x841104… |
| 05-15 23:05:36 | Wide-Eyed-Trim 0xde16…cb5c | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x059fac… |
| 05-15 07:59:29 | Messy-Recipient 0xc616…2961 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x231a01… |
| 05-14 21:32:13 | Sneaky-Operator 0xe002…24b1 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $99 | 0x7495ba… |
| 05-14 14:46:27 | Guilty-Start 0x7333…57a0 | Yes | SELL | 2,024 | 1¢ | $12 | 0x130466… |
| 05-14 06:14:33 | Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x0b3bb7… |
| 05-13 21:49:09 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xa6de41… |
| 05-13 21:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…c059 | No | BUY | 64 | 98¢ | $62 | 0x9b9ff4… |
| 05-13 12:18:25 | Late-Optimisation 0x4672…5c76 | No | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0x91f1aa… |
| 05-13 09:15:20 | Scholarly-Cabbage 0x91c5…4c3c | No | BUY | 63 | 99¢ | $63 | 0x022667… |
| 05-13 04:47:26 | Abandoned-Hobby 0x514d…42f9 | No | BUY | 57 | 99¢ | $57 | 0xd4b3a7… |
| 05-13 04:24:27 | Winding-Software 0xf831…ce13 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x81d65d… |
| 05-13 03:08:50 | Graceful-Blame 0x91b7…e389 | No | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0x69f1a8… |
| 05-12 19:31:23 | Made-Up-Ecclesia 0xc75f…a311 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8e692c… |