Gullible-Rib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

821

lifetime

Volume

$72.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$70

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 100% +$5

Other

9% 43% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No		+50	$42	82¢	$41	$-1	07-19 15:24
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		+30	$28	96¢	$29	+$1	07-19 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 94000 on february 5	2	$1.1K	550	550	+0	open	—	02-04 18:42
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 11?	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$1	05-11 16:45
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	2	$1.1K	541	541	+0	open	—	03-09 07:55
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	3	$1.0K	1,012	0	+1,012	open	—	05-03 19:10
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	05-16 20:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 27?	15	$985	494	494	+0	open	—	04-27 16:00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	2	$980	981	0	+981	open	—	04-30 21:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	3	$801	802	0	+802	open	—	05-31 19:54
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 8 14 2026	1	$711	713	0	+713	open	—	06-14 08:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	3	$705	504	203	+301	open	—	02-23 11:11
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 2?	2	$700	701	0	+701	open	—	06-02 15:03
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 8	14	$673	388	287	+101	open	—	01-08 06:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on february 19	3	$658	360	299	+61	open	—	02-18 20:19
will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 24	1	$602	603	0	+603	open	—	06-24 22:40
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 16	2	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	01-16 08:23
will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 6	1	$580	581	0	+581	open	—	04-06 20:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 2	1	$578	579	0	+579	open	—	04-01 20:18
will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 7	2	$566	568	0	+568	open	—	04-07 18:34
will ethereum reach 2500 february 9 15	1	$560	561	0	+561	open	—	02-15 21:03
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	1	$558	559	0	+559	open	—	03-02 18:59
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 26	1	$553	554	0	+554	open	—	03-26 21:42
will ethereum reach 2400 march 16 22	1	$550	551	0	+551	open	—	03-22 21:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 13	1	$543	544	0	+544	open	—	03-13 06:56
will solana dip to 65 on march 12	1	$542	543	0	+543	open	—	03-12 19:08
will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	1	$540	540	0	+540	open	—	03-08 07:30
will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 23	1	$539	540	0	+540	open	—	03-23 15:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	3	$502	503	0	+503	open	—	05-15 11:07
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	03-17 19:27
ethereum above 1800 on march 17	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	03-16 18:46
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 14	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	01-14 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 17:41:15	gmgn fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x782798…
07-21 17:25:49	will tsla dip to 315 in july 2026	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x253c50…
07-21 17:25:09	will tsla dip to 285 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x222e42…
07-21 11:40:39	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xbbaced…
07-19 17:54:18	will tsla dip to 315 in july 2026	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x40e627…
07-19 15:24:37	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x9aac84…
07-19 14:35:21	will tsla dip to 315 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x2490a3…
07-19 08:08:13	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x9d539f…
07-18 20:35:09	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x56bd6e…
07-18 20:34:46	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x16418d…
07-18 20:30:57	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xd4cdad…
07-18 20:30:21	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x494951…
07-18 19:30:45	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd2eddd…
07-18 19:30:42	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x160aa6…
07-18 14:45:28	will nflx reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9a44a3…
07-18 07:30:15	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4220b0…
07-17 13:15:55	will tsla dip to 315 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xb8fd08…
07-17 06:02:55	will nvda dip to 184 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x0ebc02…
07-17 06:01:21	will mu reach 1170 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9edc68…
07-16 06:03:29	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe5b26e…
07-16 06:03:11	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x995eec…
07-14 17:42:49	will abnb dip to 136 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xc81302…
07-14 15:47:56	will nvda dip to 184 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x072223…
07-14 13:53:07	will mu dip to 780 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xdb8c89…
07-13 16:42:14	will tsla reach 465 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x6a412d…
07-13 14:17:46	will mu reach 1170 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc58138…
07-13 14:08:05	will abnb dip to 136 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x63c07b…
07-13 12:40:34	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x0f1fae…
07-13 11:55:56	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x279fc5…
07-13 04:28:11	will mu dip to 780 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x269ccf…
07-11 10:52:52	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x248635…
07-10 20:17:05	will nvda reach 220 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x91cf54…
07-10 20:15:50	will nvda reach 220 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x74b98f…
07-10 19:36:16	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xf1164d…
07-10 19:36:13	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x69c8c8…
07-10 18:18:58	will tsla dip to 360 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xab20ac…
07-10 13:48:55	will nflx reach 100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x782bcf…
07-10 13:47:40	will nflx reach 100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xa80b34…
07-09 20:14:07	will tsla dip to 352 50 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf7342d…
07-09 20:12:28	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x9f412f…
07-09 20:11:43	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5c773c…
07-09 17:29:31	will tsla dip to 315 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x58a8f2…
07-09 17:27:32	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x9e19e9…
07-09 13:36:58	will tsla dip to 315 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x2be7a8…
07-08 00:15:43	will ink launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x08d666…
07-07 17:32:31	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x47a2af…
07-07 12:00:01	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x7051d0…
07-06 21:46:17	will nvda reach 220 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f8025…
07-06 21:31:07	will tsla dip to 345 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1ab48b…
07-05 16:44:19	will nflx dip to 40 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x5d93c9…
07-05 10:13:08	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x5a052c…
07-05 04:06:04	will perplexitys valuation hit high 50b by december 31	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$3	0x0f4875…
07-04 16:48:17	will perplexitys valuation hit high 50b by december 31	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x74b478…
07-04 08:12:52	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	SELL	80	86¢	$69	0x18b382…
07-04 07:46:59	will perplexitys valuation hit high 50b by december 31	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xc5b139…
07-04 04:15:13	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	SELL	20	88¢	$17	0x1eb9e5…
07-03 22:12:40	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x8add40…
07-03 22:03:01	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x7a5660…
07-03 21:13:59	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xade038…
07-03 14:46:17	will perplexitys valuation hit high 50b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xde4f1d…
07-03 10:06:49	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x6ca1da…
07-03 08:26:25	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x646eb8…
07-02 18:52:29	will perplexitys valuation hit low 12pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	60	33¢	$20	0x74c02f…
07-02 18:48:35	will perplexitys valuation hit low 12pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x2108ac…
07-02 18:18:08	will nflx reach 100 in july 2026	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xeda57e…
07-02 18:07:43	will perplexitys valuation hit low 12pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x033836…
07-02 17:11:40	will nflx reach 100 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xe734cc…
07-02 15:36:34	will tsla dip to 270 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x6d6652…
07-02 14:17:31	will tsla dip to 285 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xaf7914…
07-02 10:21:04	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xc36b2d…
07-02 05:00:31	will perplexitys valuation hit high 50b by december 31	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xf2d6a0…
07-02 04:55:28	will perplexitys valuation hit high 50b by december 31	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xf7ac28…
07-02 04:34:31	will perplexitys valuation hit high 50b by december 31	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x0adcd4…
07-02 04:32:01	will perplexitys valuation hit high 50b by december 31	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xa90e15…
07-02 04:24:29	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	SELL	50	85¢	$43	0x960d38…
07-01 23:15:02	will perplexitys valuation hit low 12pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x67b6ed…
07-01 21:49:26	will tsla dip to 285 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdfa694…
07-01 20:56:52	will perplexitys valuation hit low 12pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xb15d5d…
07-01 20:56:52	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0xac184c…
07-01 06:50:23	will tsla dip to 270 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$0	0xf4a96c…
07-01 06:49:28	will tsla dip to 270 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xe5f35c…
07-01 06:11:35	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x4b1fa3…
07-01 06:04:14	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa96e4e…
06-30 22:17:23	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x154d99…
06-30 21:16:34	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9edbaa…
06-30 21:07:10	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x7bdfb6…
06-30 21:07:08	will nflx reach 100 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xa0721d…
06-30 19:58:22	will tsla reach 465 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa23b89…
06-30 19:52:16	will perplexitys valuation hit low 12pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x0e1a4c…
06-30 19:51:05	will perplexitys valuation hit low 12pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x1bbb59…
06-30 19:47:04	will perplexitys valuation hit low 12pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x9b2184…
06-30 19:46:16	will perplexitys valuation hit high 19b by june 30	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf3f4cd…
06-30 13:10:10	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x010da8…
06-30 08:31:28	will msft dip to 315 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf6022c…
06-29 15:03:14	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xc45bbf…
06-28 18:36:22	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xc1340b…
06-28 07:32:19	will bitcoin reach 66k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x91143d…
06-28 07:28:10	will bitcoin reach 66k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x6ae7ed…
06-27 11:32:35	will tsla reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x882a0c…
06-26 22:37:58	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf387e2…