Realized P&L
-$904
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved
1,761
Trades
3,961
lifetime
Volume
$178.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$317
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-08 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Crypto
62% 97% +$146
Other
24% 57% -$2,461
Politics
11% 62% +$1,309
Tech
2% 57% +$188
Sports
1% 48% -$86
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +79 $66 94¢ $74 +$8 05-17 10:59
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +61 $60 99¢ $60 +$0 06-15 21:57
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -59 -$35 79¢ $-47 -$11 05-09 14:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +38 $36 96¢ $36 +$0 06-15 21:56
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +130 $25 19¢ $25 $0 06-09 00:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -29 -$29 82¢ $-24 +$6 10-08 19:19
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -23 -$22 98¢ $-23 -$1 06-04 07:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -22 -$15 86¢ $-19 -$4 05-09 14:22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -11 -$10 97¢ $-10 -$1 06-09 00:05