Worse-Crowd — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$551

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,022

lifetime

Volume

$115.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$17

Other

12% 100% +$3

Politics

8% 100% +$552

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% 33% $-21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	27	$2.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	06-06 00:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	10	$1.2K	713	713	+0	open	—	06-05 23:24
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	4	$1.2K	713	713	+0	open	—	06-30 23:57
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-09 13:18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	23	$1.0K	870	889	-19	open	—	06-02 20:15
lol red fxw7 2026 06 08	15	$930	500	500	+0	open	—	06-08 23:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$810	495	495	+0	open	—	03-30 19:42
val g21 xlg 2026 06 13	4	$734	517	624	-108	open	—	06-13 19:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	6	$561	600	24	+576	open	—	06-13 02:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	4	$401	201	201	+0	open	—	05-27 13:48
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	4	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	06-05 11:39
bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	4	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	06-05 15:30
will bitcoin reach 68k on june 11	6	$400	201	200	+0	open	—	06-11 17:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	10	$391	270	270	+0	open	—	06-15 01:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$388	266	266	+0	open	—	04-09 12:09
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	12	$385	386	386	+0	open	—	06-02 23:19
spx opens up or down on march 25 2026	5	$384	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 17:36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?	8	$381	684	0	+684	open	—	06-02 23:50
will spy reach 765 by june 1 2026	2	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 00:07
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	3	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	06-09 16:27
will spy dip to 745 by june 1 2026	2	$355	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 01:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	20	$352	474	338	+136	open	—	06-02 20:19
lol mcn dyn1 2026 04 09	6	$347	250	250	+0	open	—	04-09 18:58
mlbb srg1 btr 2026 06 04	3	$346	250	259	-9	open	—	06-04 14:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$330	557	0	+557	open	—	06-16 00:58
spy up or down on june 5 2026	13	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 11:24
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	2	$300	301	0	+301	open	—	03-16 12:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	3	$300	200	100	+100	open	—	05-27 13:48
bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	07-02 10:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 8?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-08 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 13:25:16	ethereum above 1800 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe24842…
07-02 13:25:02	ethereum above 1500 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8a7828…
07-02 10:58:41	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc9b3b6…
07-02 10:58:31	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9081f1…
07-02 10:58:22	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb51847…
06-30 23:57:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x576161…
06-30 23:56:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x18840e…
06-30 23:56:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	654	98¢	$641	0x9ccb61…
06-30 23:19:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	713	70¢	$500	0xc09d4b…
06-19 23:48:37	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x42a6bf…
06-19 23:39:40	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747249	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7d3db7…
06-19 23:02:44	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747249	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x875bb8…
06-19 22:59:11	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0x661da3…
06-19 22:45:55	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xbd1c1e…
06-19 22:45:08	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x5cb994…
06-19 22:45:05	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x3e7d74…
06-19 22:15:04	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x83beb5…
06-19 22:14:49	will ethereum reach 1800 on june 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe0e83a…
06-19 22:14:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbf509a…
06-19 22:14:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x71ce74…
06-18 10:37:14	ethereum above 1800 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x96601a…
06-18 10:37:02	ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3173fd…
06-18 10:36:44	bitcoin above 66k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0d930a…
06-18 10:36:31	bitcoin above 60k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xddf320…
06-17 09:55:32	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0aa166…
06-17 09:15:35	bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x57ec01…
06-17 09:08:38	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe265b6…
06-17 09:08:14	bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7b5c9a…
06-16 13:41:01	lucas digne 20260609174813068	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x30a985…
06-16 04:01:00	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xeed90c…
06-16 02:03:30	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9bfef2…
06-16 02:00:12	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x467058…
06-16 01:57:10	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x19059b…
06-16 01:53:39	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x7213d7…
06-16 01:39:13	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4c9891…
06-16 01:18:42	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x124166…
06-16 00:58:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x3afaee…
06-16 00:58:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x22d71b…
06-16 00:57:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x1c5e79…
06-16 00:49:09	francisco conceicao 20260609175357538	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x58851e…
06-16 00:48:45	francisco trincao 20260609175357528	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc8f1c2…
06-16 00:47:01	will ghana reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149756	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe0dc51…
06-16 00:45:52	lionel messi 20260609174518093	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x221431…
06-16 00:41:12	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	No	SELL	94	81¢	$76	0xdb030e…
06-15 23:22:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0402af…
06-15 23:17:33	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe0c0f4…
06-15 22:45:36	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x53192a…
06-15 22:35:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0xe31416…
06-15 22:17:33	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5755eb…
06-15 22:03:45	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0xa5aa48…
06-15 21:57:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x25cbd3…
06-15 21:56:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xb3f151…
06-15 19:53:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0xfbbab6…
06-15 19:53:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	55	95¢	$53	0xdd5024…
06-15 19:52:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	39	98¢	$39	0x85b110…
06-15 19:50:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x48f283…
06-15 17:36:42	will spain be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003081	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa93801…
06-15 17:36:42	will spain be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003081	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x6c2041…
06-15 15:07:54	ousmane dembele 20260609174813072	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x6f0f99…
06-15 09:24:57	warren zaire emery 20260609174813083	No	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0xb3c829…
06-15 07:13:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x6d90db…
06-15 05:03:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xfb3f90…
06-15 05:02:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x97b369…
06-15 02:18:15	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7837a0…
06-15 01:35:49	will ethereum reach 1850 on june 14	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0b8382…
06-15 01:10:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	SELL	220	86¢	$189	0x09e92c…
06-15 00:53:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x2924b2…
06-15 00:48:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xcf8a92…
06-15 00:48:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xfb74d6…
06-15 00:48:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	80	86¢	$68	0x900d7a…
06-15 00:47:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xaab66d…
06-15 00:47:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x0ba283…
06-15 00:47:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x182bd3…
06-15 00:09:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x482dab…
06-14 23:48:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xead330…
06-14 23:48:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x7c3c33…
06-14 23:39:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x65b972…
06-14 23:38:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0x28652c…
06-14 23:37:33	will solana dip to 60 on june 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x93373b…
06-14 23:36:43	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd1d09a…
06-14 23:36:34	will ethereum reach 1900 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2cfa09…
06-14 23:36:07	will ethereum dip to 1450 on june 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc44225…
06-14 23:35:33	will ethereum reach 1850 on june 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x87e987…
06-14 23:34:00	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6a8646…
06-14 21:38:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xfc4323…
06-14 21:38:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x913b03…
06-14 21:32:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	205	55¢	$112	0x1da498…
06-14 16:35:36	cristian romero 20260609174518096	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x06cc9e…
06-14 16:33:58	cristiano ronaldo 20260609175357519	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x8c4d20…
06-14 16:11:19	ko itakura 20260609171501486	Yes	SELL	55	84¢	$46	0x23bd65…
06-14 16:10:58	cs2 mouz fut 2026 06 14	FUT Esports	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x6441f0…
06-14 16:00:27	emiliano martinez 20260609174518106	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x1644d6…
06-14 15:37:49	jamal musiala 20260609173253878	No	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0xa702e3…
06-14 13:58:39	cs2 mouz fut 2026 06 14	MOUZ	SELL	51	44¢	$22	0xdc0068…
06-14 13:48:40	cs2 mouz fut 2026 06 14	MOUZ	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xd58eb2…
06-14 12:32:03	ko itakura 20260609171501486	Yes	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x478a5c…
06-14 12:25:39	rodri 20260609173616769	Yes	SELL	180	93¢	$168	0x1a023b…
06-14 12:09:06	eric garcia 20260609173616757	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x762963…
06-14 10:27:03	rodri 20260609173616769	Yes	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0x6e80b5…
06-14 10:21:45	emiliano martinez 20260609174518106	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xad01d9…