Realized P&L
+$551
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
99.3%
Resolved
54
Trades
1,744
lifetime
Volume
$101.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$233
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
80% 100% +$17
Other
10% 100% +$3
Politics
8% 100% +$552
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 33% $-21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-1 06-01 12:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -33 $-31 95¢ $-31 $-0 06-09 00:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +88 $30 30¢ $27 $-3 06-04 21:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +136 $30 16¢ $22 $-8 06-08 22:14
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -23 $-22 94¢ $-22 $-0 06-04 07:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +225 $30 10¢ $21 $-9 06-08 22:12
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-10 $-0 06-09 00:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 02:52