Realized P&L
+$551
Unrealized P&L
-$324
Hit rate
99.3%
Resolved
54
Trades
2,022
lifetime
Volume
$115.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$214
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 13:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 100% +$17
Other
12% 100% +$3
Politics
8% 100% +$552
Tech
3%
Sports
1% 33% $-21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +66 $60 94¢ $62 +$2 06-15 21:56
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +61 $60 98¢ $60 +$0 06-15 21:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -33 $-31 97¢ $-32 $-1 06-09 00:07
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -23 $-22 95¢ $-22 $-0 06-04 07:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -25 $-20 88¢ $-22 $-2 06-10 07:44
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-10 $-0 06-09 00:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +557 $330 $6 $-324 06-16 00:58