Selfish-Hydrocarbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

2,214

Trades

4,227

lifetime

Volume

$2.13M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$503

Open exposure

$101

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 99% -$879

Other

2% 66% -$40

Politics

2% 100% +$842

Tech

0% 100% +$32

Sports

0% 100% +$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+100	$99	99¢	$99	+$0	08-29 20:49
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+80	$14	3¢	$3	-$11	08-12 09:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	24	$23.6K	12,053	12,053	+0	No	+$524	05-23 04:03
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	9	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$5	04-26 00:54
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	3	$8.0K	4,034	4,034	+0	Yes	+$20	02-28 19:58
bitcoin above 84k on february 5	2	$6.8K	6,789	0	+6,789	No	+$14	02-04 20:44
will bitcoin reach 74k february 23 march 1	2	$6.3K	6,320	0	+6,320	No	+$6	03-01 20:46
bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	5	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	+$6	07-04 15:29
bitcoin above 54k on july 5 2026	4	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	+$6	07-05 16:06
ethereum above 1600 on february 22	3	$6.0K	3,001	3,001	+0	Yes	+$3	02-22 20:11
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$3	03-01 03:26
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 20	2	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$3	03-20 01:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 18	2	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$6	02-18 02:41
bitcoin above 78k on march 11	3	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$9	03-11 01:00
solana above 130 on march 3	2	$6.0K	5,988	0	+5,988	No	+$6	03-02 19:55
ethereum above 2500 on march 19	93	$5.8K	2,921	2,921	+0	No	+$5	03-19 04:28
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on march 1	2	$5.7K	2,862	2,862	+0	No	+$6	02-28 11:23
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	20	$5.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$3	04-30 13:16
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$5.3K	2,656	2,656	+0	No	+$6	03-31 19:06
will bitcoin reach 84k march 9 15	3	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	03-15 06:36
bitcoin above 82k on june 4 2026	5	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	06-04 06:38
will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	04-19 19:38
bitcoin above 76k on february 12	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	02-12 03:00
will bitcoin reach 76k august 3 9 2026	3	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	08-09 19:53
bitcoin above 58k on february 20	5	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	02-20 15:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	05-17 23:44
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 4?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	05-04 14:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	04-27 17:03
bitcoin above 54k on august 6 2026	4	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	08-05 15:10
ethereum above 1800 on april 22	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	04-21 19:07
bitcoin above 72k on june 14 2026	3	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	06-14 00:27
bitcoin above 88k on april 24	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	04-23 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:33:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0901d1…
10-24 16:28:33	Will the price of Solana be above $75 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x04e8b9…
10-24 16:27:06	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on October 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf4ce25…
10-24 16:26:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on October 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x02fd99…
10-24 16:25:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on October 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0c0ab9…
10-24 16:25:35	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe65c47…
10-24 15:35:41	Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3ea2e0…
10-23 22:32:29	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x98d4c4…
10-23 21:15:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	711	100¢	$710	0xc6a0cf…
10-23 15:19:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0x708e19…
10-23 15:18:26	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22a190…
10-23 15:15:44	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.70 on October 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfeade4…
10-23 15:15:26	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on October 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x17c3e2…
10-23 15:15:12	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.80 on October 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x67e050…
10-23 15:14:15	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on October 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf38366…
10-23 15:13:56	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8df66f…
10-23 15:13:39	Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf8a62f…
10-22 17:01:02	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	397	100¢	$397	0x6adff8…
10-15 16:19:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0x49e1aa…
10-15 16:16:37	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on October 16?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xf279dd…
10-15 16:12:04	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x40b8a0…
10-15 10:59:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1a6a21…
10-14 18:08:48	bitcoin above 92k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xe12fca…
10-14 16:18:15	ethereum above 1900 on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xb0276f…
10-14 13:31:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on October 15?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xcd23e4…
10-14 13:31:36	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3def54…
10-14 13:31:14	xrp above 0pt8 on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf3378d…
10-09 15:57:12	Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on October 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe12783…
10-09 15:57:12	Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on October 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x959044…
10-09 15:57:12	Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24e802…
10-09 15:07:06	Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on October 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x715786…
10-09 15:07:06	Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on October 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x527490…
10-09 15:07:06	Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01b8df…
10-09 09:02:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb2cee2…
10-09 00:00:47	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,100 on October 9?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xb7e6c6…
10-08 19:24:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	995	100¢	$994	0x6b451c…
10-08 18:09:17	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x88694f…
10-08 18:09:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x45dcd9…
10-08 15:26:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	495	100¢	$494	0x5983a3…
10-08 14:55:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x8262ab…
10-08 14:38:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc49f8a…
10-08 14:38:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53c39e…
10-08 14:38:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c22c3…
10-08 14:38:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf58daa…
10-08 14:35:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe547d4…
09-13 09:01:15	Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on September 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8e934…
09-12 17:54:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on September 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ea082…
09-07 08:23:57	Will the price of Solana be above $75 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x1f1369…
09-07 08:21:36	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x020dd9…
09-07 08:20:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on September 8?	No	BUY	396	100¢	$395	0x8592c0…
09-07 08:20:00	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on September 8?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0x956dcb…
09-07 08:19:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on September 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe2e403…
09-05 20:06:54	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on September 6?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x029fb5…
09-05 20:06:18	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 6?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xd4437b…
09-05 20:05:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on September 6?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0xe63a80…
09-05 20:05:00	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xf3392d…
09-05 20:04:24	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6cb0e0…
09-05 19:39:19	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x8dfd96…
08-31 19:49:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5d320b…
08-31 18:45:45	Will Solana reach $160 in August?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xe245e3…
08-31 18:15:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5fc469…
08-31 18:15:24	Will Solana dip to $70 in August?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x039eee…
08-31 17:47:36	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1bbb73…
08-31 16:54:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x69a9ca…
08-31 16:47:39	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x578754…
08-31 16:19:46	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	601	100¢	$600	0x77746a…
08-31 15:42:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?	No	BUY	383	100¢	$383	0xc1cc5a…
08-31 15:29:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x360c57…
08-31 14:09:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	319	100¢	$319	0x5807fa…
08-31 13:54:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf065a7…
08-31 13:38:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	459	100¢	$459	0xf751ae…
08-31 13:17:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe5f9e6…
08-31 12:52:57	Will Solana dip to $70 in August?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5cfb03…
08-31 12:30:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	1,869	100¢	$1,867	0x54e44b…
08-31 12:20:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xf78cf4…
08-31 11:54:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5f5d4e…
08-31 11:52:28	Will Solana dip to $60 in August?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd865a9…
08-31 11:50:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x136956…
08-31 11:11:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf95c22…
08-31 11:10:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa6f11e…
08-31 10:51:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef628f…
08-31 06:20:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9b99a6…
08-31 06:08:21	Will Chainlink reach $18 in August?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf8f9c2…
08-31 06:08:03	Will Chainlink reach $20 in August?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83a680…
08-31 06:05:07	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	No	BUY	818	100¢	$817	0x423b52…
08-31 05:59:25	Will Solana dip to $70 in August?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc4d31e…
08-31 05:58:12	Will Solana reach $140 in August?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xb99083…
08-31 05:56:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x6efe56…
08-30 19:04:40	will ethereum reach 3100 august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0x13df43…
08-30 03:02:57	will bitcoin reach 90k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xafeb7d…
08-30 01:10:54	will ethereum reach 3100 august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	714	100¢	$713	0xbc371f…
08-30 01:10:06	will ethereum reach 3000 august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8f975b…
08-29 20:50:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xba7239…
08-29 20:49:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe23fa1…
08-29 20:39:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x4ef068…
08-29 20:31:06	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	601	97¢	$582	0xa8f75b…
08-29 20:25:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	459	99¢	$455	0x0f94e1…
08-29 20:21:51	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xee985f…
08-29 20:21:00	will bitcoin reach 90k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0xf69f44…
08-29 20:20:28	will bitcoin reach 92k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0x3eb97c…