Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?
open
Total volume
$16,269
$5,546 in 24h
Trades
52
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$24,901
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-18
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-17 04:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $28
vs crowd: 0% YES on $16.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $9 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $2 | $14.8K | $14.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 14 | $1 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 4 | — | $136 | $136 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| unranked | 28 | — | $13.6K | $13.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonstop-Bull 0xf265…3e9d | No | +4,565 | $4,560 | $4,560 | 1 | 05-16 08:56 |
| Total-Handover 0x9e9c…74df | No | +3,275 | $3,272 | $3,272 | 1 | 05-17 00:49 |
| Agile-Reboot 0x07f5…c763 | No | +3,050 | $3,047 | $3,047 | 1 | 05-17 00:49 |
| Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | No | +1,099 | $1,098 | $1,098 | 1 | 05-17 02:03 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +990 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 20:54 |
| Prize-Cellar 0x0e36…33ba | No | +804 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 05-14 14:58 |
| Spirited-Breakpoint 0x64f1…397a | No | +604 | $603 | $603 | 1 | 05-17 04:38 |
| Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 05-14 11:49 |
| Courteous-Texture 0x3c7f…a2cd | No | +136 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 05-14 22:05 |
| Whispered-Halloween 0x154e…0837 | No | +134 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 05-14 22:07 |
| Evil-Fireplace 0x7901…f089 | No | +129 | $129 | $129 | 1 | 05-14 22:07 |
| Content-Creation 0xce9b…da5a | No | +118 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 05-14 22:10 |
| Cultured-Marines 0x7282…bb91 | No | +115 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-14 22:12 |
| Loyal-Artichoke 0xfcd0…9b63 | No | +115 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-14 22:10 |
| Well-Informed-Paw 0x4a8e…3023 | No | +113 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 05-14 22:12 |
| Obvious-Plain 0xc6e7…e9be | No | +105 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 05-15 04:08 |
| Milky-Invoice 0x9f9a…c1f7 | No | +104 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 05-15 03:35 |
| Other-Stag 0x3d7d…1bfd | No | +104 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 05-15 03:32 |
| Unique-Daikon 0xa121…1da9 | No | +104 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 05-15 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | Yes | +71 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:55 |
| Dazzling-Vagrant 0x49f4…d324 | No | +69 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 05-16 05:10 |
| Dental-Carbon 0x8842…e0cd | No | +67 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 05-16 04:01 |
| Smug-Fraction 0x1781…e20a | No | +67 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 05-16 14:11 |
| Waterlogged-Loggia-Ravioli 0x51f2…71ec | No | +64 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-16 13:33 |
| Large-Chandelier 0x9659…1020 | No | +64 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-16 02:44 |
| Enchanting-Relay 0x7907…1bb0 | No | +63 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 05-14 09:39 |
| Joint-Ghost 0x63f1…abe3 | No | +63 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 05-14 11:05 |
| Vivid-Omission 0xec8a…c54e | No | +62 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-13 05:54 |
| Grateful-Kiosk 0x2edd…c128 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-16 14:17 |
| Timely-Ferret 0x49d1…12b7 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-16 12:35 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Billing 0xeb3c…740c | No | +58 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-16 04:46 |
| Pleasant-Obsession 0xa5eb…84db | No | +58 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-14 13:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 04:38:54 | Spirited-Breakpoint 0x64f1…397a | No | BUY | 604 | 100¢ | $603 | 0xe2fc46… |
| 05-17 02:03:37 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | No | BUY | 1,099 | 100¢ | $1,098 | 0x14f5b2… |
| 05-17 01:47:42 | Untrue-Monastery 0x0b84…f8c0 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xb53707… |
| 05-17 00:49:36 | Agile-Reboot 0x07f5…c763 | No | BUY | 3,050 | 100¢ | $3,047 | 0x8f2fa8… |
| 05-17 00:49:15 | Total-Handover 0x9e9c…74df | No | BUY | 3,275 | 100¢ | $3,272 | 0x0b47b4… |
| 05-17 00:07:30 | Jagged-Pioneer 0xc137…5eb0 | Yes | SELL | 393 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b8c5f… |
| 05-17 00:04:32 | Leafy-Lacquerware 0x5f86…de5a | Yes | SELL | 148 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0279ad… |
| 05-16 23:22:51 | Quarrelsome-Cake 0xa61b…9d74 | Yes | SELL | 5,126 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x5e60c3… |
| 05-16 14:59:07 | Equal-University 0xf7c3…cd94 | No | SELL | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0x45d676… |
| 05-16 14:17:52 | Grateful-Kiosk 0x2edd…c128 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x17a240… |
| 05-16 14:11:43 | Smug-Fraction 0x1781…e20a | No | BUY | 67 | 100¢ | $67 | 0x5b4fb8… |
| 05-16 13:33:55 | Waterlogged-Loggia-Ravioli 0x51f2…71ec | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x9b28ba… |
| 05-16 13:31:46 | Gregarious-Batter 0x9688…2993 | No | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x00ed69… |
| 05-16 12:35:46 | Timely-Ferret 0x49d1…12b7 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x0f984a… |
| 05-16 11:11:37 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3b957… |
| 05-16 08:56:13 | Nonstop-Bull 0xf265…3e9d | No | BUY | 4,565 | 100¢ | $4,560 | 0xa884b3… |
| 05-16 07:36:20 | Enormous-Indigence 0x23b9…d352 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xee7279… |
| 05-16 06:44:58 | Jagged-Pioneer 0xc137…5eb0 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5435c2… |
| 05-16 05:10:55 | Dazzling-Vagrant 0x49f4…d324 | No | BUY | 69 | 100¢ | $68 | 0x2483f4… |
| 05-16 04:46:14 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Billing 0xeb3c…740c | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0x3bbd9b… |
| 05-16 04:14:00 | Impractical-Neighbour 0xb2ba…c20c | No | BUY | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x370e36… |
| 05-16 04:01:03 | Dental-Carbon 0x8842…e0cd | No | BUY | 67 | 100¢ | $67 | 0xacab8d… |
| 05-16 02:44:19 | Large-Chandelier 0x9659…1020 | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x073a65… |
| 05-15 09:30:06 | Female-Robotics 0x8daa…a2cd | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xfc3809… |
| 05-15 08:19:47 | Scarce-Barracks 0x1be6…3473 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcd772e… |
| 05-15 08:09:24 | Unusual-Survival 0x2814…61ba | No | BUY | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x93fd4d… |
| 05-15 07:44:48 | Overdue-Lookout 0x5832…2d18 | No | BUY | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x8ba149… |
| 05-15 04:08:55 | Obvious-Plain 0xc6e7…e9be | No | BUY | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0x5aa538… |
| 05-15 03:35:45 | Milky-Invoice 0x9f9a…c1f7 | No | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x25030e… |
| 05-15 03:32:33 | Other-Stag 0x3d7d…1bfd | No | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x2537db… |
| 05-15 03:20:32 | Unique-Daikon 0xa121…1da9 | No | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $103 | 0xebffeb… |
| 05-14 22:12:33 | Well-Informed-Paw 0x4a8e…3023 | No | BUY | 113 | 100¢ | $113 | 0x3fe29f… |
| 05-14 22:12:21 | Cultured-Marines 0x7282…bb91 | No | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $115 | 0x83ed38… |
| 05-14 22:10:24 | Content-Creation 0xce9b…da5a | No | BUY | 118 | 100¢ | $118 | 0xc71893… |
| 05-14 22:10:10 | Loyal-Artichoke 0xfcd0…9b63 | No | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $115 | 0x8df903… |
| 05-14 22:07:31 | Whispered-Halloween 0x154e…0837 | No | BUY | 134 | 100¢ | $134 | 0x9a80e9… |
| 05-14 22:07:18 | Evil-Fireplace 0x7901…f089 | No | BUY | 129 | 100¢ | $129 | 0x6900f6… |
| 05-14 22:05:39 | Courteous-Texture 0x3c7f…a2cd | No | BUY | 136 | 100¢ | $136 | 0x928821… |
| 05-14 14:58:37 | Prize-Cellar 0x0e36…33ba | No | BUY | 804 | 99¢ | $800 | 0x14020d… |
| 05-14 13:49:12 | Pleasant-Obsession 0xa5eb…84db | No | BUY | 58 | 99¢ | $57 | 0xae0df1… |
| 05-14 13:49:12 | Portly-Conservation 0x95e4…e4e3 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xf4720d… |
| 05-14 11:49:21 | Proud-Chops 0x763c…25b2 | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $199 | 0x6811c0… |
| 05-14 11:05:20 | Joint-Ghost 0x63f1…abe3 | No | BUY | 63 | 99¢ | $63 | 0x600c3c… |
| 05-14 09:39:20 | Enchanting-Relay 0x7907…1bb0 | No | BUY | 63 | 99¢ | $63 | 0xa0f53a… |
| 05-14 01:45:29 | Superficial-Savings 0x0026…cd72 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x45a68e… |
| 05-13 20:55:31 | (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | Yes | BUY | 71 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xda730b… |
| 05-13 20:54:26 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 990 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x70b0a3… |
| 05-13 08:44:43 | Imaginative-Monk 0xa37e…8b53 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x700e10… |
| 05-13 07:24:30 | (anonymous) 0xe72b…3c9c | No | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x50f5c3… |
| 05-13 07:24:28 | Authentic-Crush 0xc758…c173 | No | SELL | 86 | 99¢ | $85 | 0xd1d8a5… |
| 05-13 05:54:21 | Vivid-Omission 0xec8a…c54e | No | BUY | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0xe5aa12… |
| 05-12 06:21:13 | Gaseous-Humidity 0xd1f2…6c26 | No | SELL | 136 | 99¢ | $135 | 0x52f458… |