Quarrelsome-Cake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$192

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

7,841

lifetime

Volume

$324.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

60% 39% $-114

Politics

23% — —

Crypto

14% 55% +$46

Sports

2% 50% $-124

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No		-1	$-1	78¢	$-1	+$0	06-01 10:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	144	$33.8K	20,449	20,423	+26	open	—	05-30 15:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	258	$19.3K	17,086	16,932	+154	open	—	05-26 11:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	358	$19.0K	54,664	11,629	+43,035	open	—	06-03 09:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	211	$10.2K	8,668	8,567	+101	open	—	04-14 09:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	120	$8.3K	7,950	7,346	+604	open	—	04-24 06:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	19	$8.2K	3,584	4,883	-1,299	open	—	05-01 00:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	142	$8.0K	8,800	7,631	+1,169	open	—	04-17 12:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	70	$5.3K	4,500	3,190	+1,310	Up	+$71	05-08 13:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	86	$5.3K	5,902	4,321	+1,581	open	—	04-23 15:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	75	$5.2K	5,835	4,002	+1,833	open	—	04-20 13:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	102	$4.8K	5,711	4,808	+903	open	—	04-17 09:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	116	$4.4K	3,663	3,663	+0	open	—	05-15 05:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	85	$4.0K	4,965	2,609	+2,356	open	—	04-24 10:28
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	44	$3.8K	7,446	1,443	+6,003	open	—	04-30 07:07
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	71	$3.6K	1,820	2,137	-317	open	—	05-18 07:44
spx up or down on april 22 2026	306	$3.4K	6,493	6,569	-76	open	—	04-22 11:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	73	$3.4K	4,482	3,617	+865	open	—	04-15 01:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	25	$3.3K	2,057	2,663	-606	open	—	05-01 07:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	24	$3.2K	4,043	3,324	+718	open	—	04-28 05:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	41	$3.2K	1,550	1,828	-279	open	—	05-31 15:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	44	$2.9K	3,735	3,135	+600	open	—	05-28 10:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	196	$2.9K	5,063	4,828	+235	open	—	06-26 16:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	49	$2.7K	1,983	1,961	+22	open	—	04-25 13:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	31	$2.6K	2,857	2,556	+301	open	—	05-01 07:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	40	$2.6K	2,160	1,994	+166	open	—	05-28 10:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	43	$2.5K	2,276	2,170	+106	open	—	04-20 07:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	43	$2.4K	13,216	2,700	+10,516	open	—	05-29 20:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	109	$2.3K	7,650	7,175	+475	open	—	04-12 11:45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	16	$2.3K	3,002	3,000	+2	Down	+$6	05-04 03:37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	52	$2.3K	1,938	1,554	+384	open	—	06-01 21:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 06:25:49	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	SELL	108	7¢	$8	0x850311…
07-21 06:09:36	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc8e374…
07-21 06:09:07	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0x151ed9…
07-21 06:08:43	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0xdfcebe…
07-21 05:58:34	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x966669…
07-21 05:45:49	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5d4dbc…
07-21 05:41:01	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xf246ea…
07-21 05:36:09	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2bf89b…
07-21 04:57:43	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x0df68b…
07-21 03:52:25	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	SELL	199	12¢	$24	0x354005…
07-21 03:50:45	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x038d0e…
07-21 03:50:27	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0xa0e8a5…
07-21 03:50:10	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0x64e963…
07-13 19:38:31	ethereum above 1600 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x6c09f0…
07-13 18:51:11	ethereum above 1600 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	370	2¢	$6	0x061037…
07-13 18:50:25	ethereum above 1600 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x787140…
07-13 18:19:52	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x916aea…
07-13 17:32:04	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xf2c6a6…
07-13 17:18:07	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xa2d036…
07-13 17:12:05	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x1cf7ef…
07-13 17:10:22	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x0e4e92…
07-13 17:08:49	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x119a8d…
07-13 17:06:34	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x69ed7c…
07-13 17:04:55	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xfdf6e4…
07-13 17:01:29	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe51bb4…
07-13 16:48:41	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	106	5¢	$6	0x39bf46…
07-13 07:34:23	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x0daba0…
07-13 07:34:02	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xf04811…
07-13 07:34:02	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x4e6a90…
07-13 07:34:02	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x0be5b0…
07-13 07:33:59	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x944a60…
07-13 07:28:55	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9844b3…
07-13 07:28:53	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc840e4…
07-13 07:08:11	bitcoin above 58k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x460e46…
07-13 06:56:23	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8e92e5…
07-13 06:55:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x996249…
07-13 06:55:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x8684bf…
07-13 06:44:38	bitcoin above 58k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	400	2¢	$6	0x41dec6…
07-13 06:14:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x4fb0c8…
07-13 06:00:43	bitcoin above 58k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x71eb5d…
07-13 05:59:31	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3bb185…
07-13 05:43:35	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xfbf2a5…
07-13 05:42:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb21f39…
07-13 05:41:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4d0403…
07-13 05:14:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	233	8¢	$18	0x4b5d95…
07-13 05:13:38	bitcoin above 60k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xa1d017…
07-13 05:13:28	bitcoin above 60k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x0f9528…
07-13 05:00:55	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x2f583b…
07-13 05:00:02	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x8cdf09…
07-13 04:58:52	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe6c94a…
07-13 04:58:52	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1fcbff…
07-13 04:58:52	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x1e6272…
07-13 04:58:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe2fe1a…
07-13 04:58:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xc698e9…
07-13 04:57:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x6cd9ba…
07-13 04:57:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3e6688…
07-13 04:56:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x7e5314…
07-13 04:56:26	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x7e978c…
07-12 05:23:07	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0xf98068…
07-12 04:29:38	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7a1b05…
07-11 23:01:59	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	112	43¢	$48	0x6a5a13…
07-11 13:19:53	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xbcd9c6…
07-11 13:19:53	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	95	14¢	$13	0xae432f…
07-11 08:03:10	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x18115e…
07-10 15:35:37	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xc31825…
07-10 15:35:37	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x7bd661…
07-10 15:35:35	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc26b46…
07-10 15:34:22	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	SELL	39	46¢	$18	0xbf41dd…
07-10 15:00:17	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x934abd…
07-10 09:44:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x220606…
07-10 07:23:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xba0c2b…
07-10 03:15:01	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	389	48¢	$187	0xd980ba…
07-10 02:55:19	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	359	52¢	$186	0x92a016…
07-10 02:48:08	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf1171a…
07-10 02:48:08	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x94d784…
07-10 02:48:08	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6d6232…
07-10 02:48:07	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf7b68c…
07-10 02:48:07	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xaef21f…
07-10 02:48:07	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x333bfc…
07-10 00:56:55	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd96444…
07-10 00:56:53	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1332df…
07-10 00:56:49	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2c264b…
07-10 00:56:44	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xdfa271…
07-10 00:56:44	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xde7ccd…
07-10 00:56:07	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xc5a9bd…
07-10 00:56:07	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x18a0b3…
07-10 00:56:05	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xa181aa…
07-10 00:56:05	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1f82cc…
07-10 00:56:01	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x79d1a7…
07-10 00:56:01	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x792d59…
07-10 00:55:59	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xd079d0…
07-10 00:55:59	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x2d7ede…
07-10 00:55:55	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xae4e0b…
07-10 00:55:55	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x42b5ab…
07-10 00:55:52	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x9dbc8f…
07-10 00:55:52	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x8227e3…
07-10 00:55:52	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x7c035f…
07-10 00:55:52	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x546ee3…
07-10 00:49:40	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x9e724b…
07-10 00:49:19	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x441a0f…