Quarrelsome-Cake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$192

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

7,545

lifetime

Volume

$317.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

60% 39% $-114

Politics

24% — —

Crypto

13% 55% +$46

Sports

2% 50% $-124

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No		-1	$-1	78¢	$-1	+$0	06-01 10:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	144	$33.8K	20,449	20,423	+26	open	—	05-30 15:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	258	$19.3K	17,086	16,932	+154	open	—	05-26 11:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	358	$19.0K	54,664	11,629	+43,035	open	—	06-03 09:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	211	$10.2K	8,668	8,567	+101	open	—	04-14 09:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	120	$8.3K	7,950	7,346	+604	open	—	04-24 06:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	19	$8.2K	3,584	4,883	-1,299	open	—	05-01 00:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	142	$8.0K	8,800	7,631	+1,169	open	—	04-17 12:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	70	$5.3K	4,500	3,190	+1,310	Up	+$71	05-08 13:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	86	$5.3K	5,902	4,321	+1,581	open	—	04-23 15:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	75	$5.2K	5,835	4,002	+1,833	open	—	04-20 13:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	102	$4.8K	5,711	4,808	+903	open	—	04-17 09:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	116	$4.4K	3,663	3,663	+0	open	—	05-15 05:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	85	$4.0K	4,965	2,609	+2,356	open	—	04-24 10:28
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	44	$3.8K	7,446	1,443	+6,003	open	—	04-30 07:07
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	71	$3.6K	1,820	2,137	-317	open	—	05-18 07:44
spx up or down on april 22 2026	306	$3.4K	6,493	6,569	-76	open	—	04-22 11:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	73	$3.4K	4,482	3,617	+865	open	—	04-15 01:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	25	$3.3K	2,057	2,663	-606	open	—	05-01 07:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	24	$3.2K	4,043	3,324	+718	open	—	04-28 05:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	41	$3.2K	1,550	1,828	-279	open	—	05-31 15:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	44	$2.9K	3,735	3,135	+600	open	—	05-28 10:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	196	$2.9K	5,063	4,828	+235	open	—	06-26 16:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	49	$2.7K	1,983	1,961	+22	open	—	04-25 13:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	31	$2.6K	2,857	2,556	+301	open	—	05-01 07:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	40	$2.6K	2,160	1,994	+166	open	—	05-28 10:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	43	$2.5K	2,276	2,170	+106	open	—	04-20 07:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	43	$2.4K	13,216	2,700	+10,516	open	—	05-29 20:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	109	$2.3K	7,650	7,175	+475	open	—	04-12 11:45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	16	$2.3K	3,002	3,000	+2	Down	+$6	05-04 03:37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	52	$2.3K	1,938	1,554	+384	open	—	06-01 21:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 07:10:50	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0xee7c09…
07-01 07:07:04	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xdac38f…
07-01 07:01:55	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x9c4265…
07-01 07:01:53	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xdba1f5…
07-01 07:01:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xf60be4…
07-01 07:01:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x80f1a3…
07-01 05:49:31	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	163	67¢	$109	0x939b9f…
07-01 05:49:31	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x81311a…
07-01 05:23:20	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	57	66¢	$38	0xaaece6…
07-01 05:13:04	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	170	63¢	$107	0x2df00e…
07-01 05:07:19	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xdce135…
07-01 05:06:38	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xb9ee4c…
07-01 03:13:22	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	150	36¢	$54	0xdcc057…
07-01 03:13:22	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xc081ce…
07-01 03:13:16	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xb31a2e…
07-01 03:13:16	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xac11bf…
07-01 02:28:10	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x11c532…
07-01 02:28:05	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x2355cb…
07-01 02:28:01	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x77c00e…
07-01 02:27:58	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x52e22c…
07-01 02:01:25	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	184	38¢	$70	0x2ab8df…
07-01 01:57:38	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xe04e37…
07-01 01:52:31	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xb12ae0…
07-01 01:50:26	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xae551e…
07-01 01:49:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x11d423…
07-01 01:48:50	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x776f6d…
07-01 01:48:47	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x5fbd69…
07-01 00:32:40	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe5cbad…
07-01 00:25:14	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	SELL	499	100¢	$499	0x535713…
06-30 07:13:41	bitcoin above 60k on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	163	26¢	$42	0x4d29f9…
06-30 04:27:43	bitcoin above 60k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	174	30¢	$52	0xd3a1d3…
06-30 03:06:20	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	SELL	384	99¢	$381	0xde75a8…
06-30 00:53:50	bitcoin above 60k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xa2d844…
06-30 00:50:19	ethereum above 1600 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x7ffbb9…
06-30 00:30:32	ethereum above 1600 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xabc500…
06-29 23:45:53	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe10d55…
06-29 23:07:34	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x6acbee…
06-29 22:11:53	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	93	9¢	$8	0xc6282c…
06-29 22:11:53	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x2edb22…
06-29 22:11:49	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf4af71…
06-29 22:07:50	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x18fa67…
06-29 21:49:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	113	67¢	$75	0x45ed98…
06-29 21:48:46	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9e2397…
06-29 08:24:05	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0x251561…
06-29 02:27:11	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	SELL	175	98¢	$172	0xc1ac15…
06-29 01:17:32	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	66	41¢	$27	0x1c5617…
06-29 01:17:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xd7713b…
06-29 01:17:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x6ff2a5…
06-29 00:39:47	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	71	50¢	$36	0xda82ce…
06-28 23:45:52	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x99a117…
06-28 15:22:16	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xa3628f…
06-28 10:46:56	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x79f80f…
06-28 10:31:11	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x95eac6…
06-28 10:04:37	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	85	67¢	$57	0xf4aaa2…
06-28 09:26:04	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xc1d9f9…
06-28 09:09:58	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x50b79e…
06-28 09:01:56	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	85	75¢	$64	0x371aa0…
06-28 08:39:44	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xd97b9c…
06-27 21:09:35	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xfd3b0a…
06-27 21:06:52	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x9eb3c2…
06-27 20:47:07	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xf67a7d…
06-27 14:16:50	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe1489f…
06-27 07:09:29	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x6e0e3e…
06-26 16:10:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x5ad7a3…
06-26 15:28:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	234	20¢	$48	0xcfec3c…
06-26 14:27:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$29	0x786eb0…
06-26 14:26:26	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	49	22¢	$11	0xdf52a6…
06-26 14:05:24	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x0064e1…
06-26 13:57:40	bitcoin above 56k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	3,065	0¢	$12	0x1bd7f0…
06-26 13:56:58	bitcoin above 56k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	430	0¢	$2	0x5829fe…
06-26 13:55:06	bitcoin above 56k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2b8a0a…
06-26 13:04:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa053fa…
06-26 09:58:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x5a11c6…
06-26 09:29:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	54	23¢	$12	0xdf18e9…
06-26 09:29:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	46	23¢	$11	0xea9ba5…
06-26 07:19:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x64470d…
06-26 06:32:07	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x1f55b1…
06-26 05:03:05	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x5874e1…
06-26 04:26:52	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x25214e…
06-26 03:57:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x0ca751…
06-26 03:56:10	bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	1,300	3¢	$35	0x38bcb0…
06-26 03:56:08	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa164ff…
06-26 03:44:46	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x715b3d…
06-26 03:27:16	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xde7cca…
06-26 03:26:50	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	34	72¢	$25	0xce82af…
06-26 03:06:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	201	46¢	$92	0xe4f1c7…
06-26 02:55:01	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xc532d9…
06-26 02:47:20	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8eface…
06-26 02:47:04	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xd4e106…
06-26 02:37:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xd73ea1…
06-26 02:31:29	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x53c596…
06-26 02:29:22	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x7beab2…
06-26 02:26:35	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc187f4…
06-26 02:21:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x8e371d…
06-26 02:19:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd116ba…
06-26 01:53:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	105	54¢	$56	0xfbf403…
06-25 15:53:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	82	58¢	$47	0x3e1eab…
06-25 15:18:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc8817d…
06-25 15:17:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3ebbeb…
06-25 15:14:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0xfbadc4…