Lively-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$77.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.14K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-31 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$7

Politics

20% 100% +$9

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	22	$8.5K	4,116	4,397	-281	open	—	05-23 13:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 29?	5	$4.4K	4,397	0	+4,397	open	—	05-29 14:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	1	$4.4K	4,393	0	+4,393	open	—	05-26 01:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	2	$4.4K	4,376	0	+4,376	open	—	05-18 08:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$4.4K	4,368	0	+4,368	open	—	05-16 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	1	$4.4K	4,359	0	+4,359	open	—	05-14 15:14
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$4.3K	4,355	0	+4,355	open	—	05-12 00:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	1	$4.3K	4,314	0	+4,314	Yes	+$7	05-09 08:25
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$4.3K	4,299	0	+4,299	No	+$9	05-04 08:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	1	$4.2K	4,196	0	+4,196	open	—	05-16 08:58
Will XRP dip to $0.90 April 27-May 3?	1	$3.6K	3,646	0	+3,646	open	—	05-01 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	1	$3.6K	3,582	0	+3,582	open	—	05-24 02:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$2.3K	1,360	1,360	+0	open	—	03-23 05:25
bitcoin above 78k on february 8	1	$1.3K	1,288	0	+1,288	open	—	02-08 01:15
bitcoin above 80k on february 7	1	$1.3K	1,284	0	+1,284	open	—	02-07 01:04
ethereum above 2600 on february 5	1	$1.3K	1,277	0	+1,277	open	—	02-05 01:08
bitcoin above 84k on february 4	1	$1.3K	1,276	0	+1,276	open	—	02-04 01:49
ethereum above 2800 on february 3	1	$1.3K	1,274	0	+1,274	open	—	02-03 02:47
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	1	$1.3K	1,277	0	+1,277	open	—	02-06 01:26
ethereum above 2800 on february 2	1	$1.3K	1,271	0	+1,271	open	—	02-02 01:36
will xrp reach 2pt8 in january 2026	1	$1.3K	1,267	0	+1,267	open	—	01-31 02:28
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$1.3K	1,269	0	+1,269	open	—	02-01 08:02
xrp above 1pt6 on january 29	1	$1.3K	1,266	0	+1,266	open	—	01-29 00:02
solana above 110 on january 28	1	$1.3K	1,265	0	+1,265	open	—	01-28 01:14
will the price of solana be between 140 150 on january 27	1	$1.3K	1,263	0	+1,263	open	—	01-27 01:03
will xrp dip to 1pt7 january 19 25	1	$1.3K	1,261	0	+1,261	open	—	01-26 01:33
xrp above 2pt1 on january 26	2	$1.2K	1,251	0	+1,251	open	—	01-26 08:11
will open close above 11 week january 30 2026	1	$1.2K	1,178	0	+1,178	open	—	01-30 01:10
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	1	$806	807	0	+807	open	—	05-24 02:44
Will XRP dip to $0.80 April 27-May 3?	1	$245	245	0	+245	open	—	05-01 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 06:16:20	Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	83¢	$44	0xd69e1f…
05-30 04:39:17	Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	87¢	$46	0xd8c085…
05-29 14:57:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x674247…
05-28 14:10:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1,120	100¢	$1,119	0xaa3b31…
05-28 14:06:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1,220	100¢	$1,219	0xac15c5…
05-28 14:05:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1,230	100¢	$1,229	0x2ced31…
05-28 14:01:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	753	100¢	$752	0x1e601f…
05-26 01:33:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4,393	100¢	$4,389	0x7ddccb…
05-24 02:44:01	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	807	100¢	$806	0x8401dd…
05-24 02:43:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3,582	100¢	$3,579	0x29ab04…
05-23 13:00:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x664883…
05-23 12:45:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	629	100¢	$627	0x85bfd0…
05-23 12:42:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x507d17…
05-23 12:41:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	740	100¢	$738	0xc9e3ce…
05-23 12:21:07	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x108467…
05-23 12:16:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3c05e4…
05-23 12:11:21	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	538	100¢	$537	0x781b2a…
05-23 12:07:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb65304…
05-23 11:57:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xe37fa3…
05-23 11:56:53	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xdf1967…
05-23 11:52:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	2,079	100¢	$2,073	0x781220…
05-23 03:46:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xbcf6aa…
05-23 03:31:38	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x498862…
05-23 01:30:53	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0x1d699f…
05-23 00:15:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x23b728…
05-22 23:37:11	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x82451f…
05-22 21:58:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0xe1c747…
05-22 21:53:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$291	0x127640…
05-22 21:14:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x6ba38c…
05-22 21:03:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa41dd4…
05-22 19:20:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x76c304…
05-22 17:39:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0xdbade4…
05-18 08:08:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	4,241	100¢	$4,237	0x405b4a…
05-18 08:08:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x256ce9…
05-16 08:59:14	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$176	0xca0de1…
05-16 08:58:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	4,196	100¢	$4,192	0x21ff3f…
05-16 00:55:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	4,368	100¢	$4,360	0x8026ab…
05-14 15:14:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,359	100¢	$4,355	0x71d27c…
05-12 00:24:59	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,355	99¢	$4,311	0x304fc6…
05-09 08:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	4,314	100¢	$4,307	0x0382c5…
05-04 08:38:40	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	4,299	100¢	$4,290	0x159abb…
05-01 09:33:52	Will XRP dip to $1.00 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0x9d1c57…
05-01 09:30:42	Will XRP dip to $0.80 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x87a2fa…
05-01 09:30:42	Will XRP dip to $0.70 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x29a60e…
05-01 09:30:38	Will XRP dip to $0.90 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	3,646	100¢	$3,631	0x268c38…
03-24 09:23:03	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb6504b…
03-23 05:25:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1,360	86¢	$1,170	0xb47679…
03-23 05:18:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,360	86¢	$1,170	0x1e14d1…
02-09 01:46:29	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4547a5…
02-08 01:15:01	bitcoin above 78k on february 8	No	BUY	1,288	100¢	$1,286	0xaec2cf…
02-07 01:04:03	bitcoin above 80k on february 7	No	BUY	1,284	100¢	$1,281	0xed4e9c…
02-06 01:31:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 6	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xab788a…
02-06 01:26:09	bitcoin above 74k on february 6	No	BUY	1,277	99¢	$1,271	0x8f3366…
02-05 01:08:15	ethereum above 2600 on february 5	No	BUY	1,277	100¢	$1,276	0x07d4f3…
02-04 01:49:20	bitcoin above 84k on february 4	No	BUY	1,276	100¢	$1,275	0x22163a…
02-03 02:47:38	ethereum above 2800 on february 3	No	BUY	1,274	100¢	$1,272	0xe812a2…
02-02 01:36:22	ethereum above 2800 on february 2	No	BUY	1,271	100¢	$1,269	0xc2f344…
02-01 08:02:20	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	1,269	100¢	$1,266	0x6ce44e…
01-31 02:28:14	will xrp reach 2pt8 in january 2026	No	BUY	1,267	100¢	$1,266	0xd481d5…
01-30 01:10:34	will open close between 10 and 11 week january 30 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x71ba21…
01-30 01:10:08	will open close above 11 week january 30 2026	No	BUY	1,178	100¢	$1,176	0x4f5026…
01-29 00:02:10	xrp above 1pt6 on january 29	Yes	BUY	1,266	100¢	$1,265	0xe99c15…
01-28 01:14:01	solana above 110 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1,265	100¢	$1,263	0xb2d69e…
01-27 01:03:01	will the price of solana be between 140 150 on january 27	No	BUY	1,263	100¢	$1,262	0xa39c16…
01-26 08:12:25	solana above 140 on january 26	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x466b83…
01-26 08:11:53	xrp above 2pt1 on january 26	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8ea13d…
01-26 08:11:47	xrp above 2pt1 on january 26	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x809f8f…
01-26 01:33:34	will xrp dip to 1pt7 january 19 25	No	BUY	1,261	100¢	$1,259	0x69a70f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	26	$1.71K	523	06-01 15:42
Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c	17	$5.38K	141	05-24 07:43
Soulful-Midnight 0xe78d…9df7	16	$42.2K	16	05-18 08:09
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	16	$1.43K	751	05-30 16:36
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	15	$84.8K	1,111	06-07 19:04
Nutritious-Shred 0xcf73…7d25	15	$38.8K	16	05-18 08:09
(anonymous) 0x25af…bcaf	15	$721	296	03-26 19:35
Minor-Chorus 0x3a67…a192	14	$3.65K	80	03-29 06:58