Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?
open
Total volume
$4,481
$42,760 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$28,406
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-14 09:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1.3K | — | +$1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $3.2K | — | +$3.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1.3K | — | +$1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 10 | $2.4K | — | +$2.4K |
| Below median | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 7 | $768 | — | +$768 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | Yes | +1,283 | $1,277 | $1,277 | 1 | 05-14 01:47 |
| Straight-Tick 0x1646…eb12 | Yes | +1,278 | $1,276 | $1,276 | 1 | 05-14 03:10 |
| Good-Natured-Setting 0x5bda…1aa0 | Yes | +571 | $570 | $570 | 1 | 05-14 07:39 |
| Hard-To-Find-Mask 0xdd57…c169 | Yes | +352 | $352 | $352 | 1 | 05-14 09:59 |
| Shallow-Consulting 0x25d0…f1e9 | Yes | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-13 01:52 |
| Satisfied-Support 0xa124…14c1 | Yes | +103 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 05-14 07:28 |
| Frizzy-Supermarket 0x7d45…fcf8 | Yes | +101 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 05-14 09:14 |
| Optimal-Greatgrandmother 0xda01…ca76 | Yes | +84 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-14 01:50 |
| Kindhearted-Inhibitor 0x3a40…9310 | Yes | +84 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 05-14 08:59 |
| Empty-Humour 0x2c7d…64e6 | Yes | +78 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 05-14 08:34 |
| Flustered-Floor 0xee7b…527e | Yes | +75 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Nice-Design 0x5360…1e26 | Yes | +72 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 05-14 05:51 |
| Taut-Obstacle 0x431f…bcf9 | Yes | +63 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 05-14 06:48 |
| Present-Conception 0xb272…c6ca | Yes | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-14 07:33 |
| That-Pressroom 0xfa66…b1f7 | Yes | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-14 02:23 |
| Expensive-Bumper 0x0ce6…3f56 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 03:21 |
| Queasy-Yarn 0xb5c2…61af | Yes | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 09:49 |
| Hot-Nail 0xa2ff…4f66 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 03:08 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 09:59:59 | Hard-To-Find-Mask 0xdd57…c169 | Yes | BUY | 352 | 100¢ | $352 | 0xd97b62… |
| 05-14 09:49:13 | Queasy-Yarn 0xb5c2…61af | Yes | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xf87017… |
| 05-14 09:29:26 | Flustered-Floor 0xee7b…527e | Yes | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0x387e72… |
| 05-14 09:14:27 | Frizzy-Supermarket 0x7d45…fcf8 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0xce9faa… |
| 05-14 08:59:26 | Kindhearted-Inhibitor 0x3a40…9310 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 100¢ | $83 | 0x6c18fd… |
| 05-14 08:34:05 | Empty-Humour 0x2c7d…64e6 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 100¢ | $78 | 0xbe97ec… |
| 05-14 07:39:20 | Good-Natured-Setting 0x5bda…1aa0 | Yes | BUY | 571 | 100¢ | $570 | 0x29f1eb… |
| 05-14 07:33:58 | Present-Conception 0xb272…c6ca | Yes | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xfe1ece… |
| 05-14 07:28:40 | Satisfied-Support 0xa124…14c1 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 100¢ | $103 | 0xe18bda… |
| 05-14 06:48:56 | Taut-Obstacle 0x431f…bcf9 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0xc04c2e… |
| 05-14 05:51:36 | Nice-Design 0x5360…1e26 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x1f929b… |
| 05-14 03:21:30 | Expensive-Bumper 0x0ce6…3f56 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x370a9b… |
| 05-14 03:10:37 | Straight-Tick 0x1646…eb12 | Yes | BUY | 1,278 | 100¢ | $1,276 | 0xe3d412… |
| 05-14 03:08:23 | Hot-Nail 0xa2ff…4f66 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc0cbb6… |
| 05-14 02:23:40 | That-Pressroom 0xfa66…b1f7 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x3b3ca0… |
| 05-14 01:50:37 | Optimal-Greatgrandmother 0xda01…ca76 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 100¢ | $84 | 0xe97458… |
| 05-14 01:47:12 | Pertinent-Subcomponent 0x5ab3…43ab | Yes | BUY | 1,283 | 100¢ | $1,277 | 0xee4e1b… |
| 05-13 20:02:45 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe31df9… |
| 05-13 07:09:32 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | No | SELL | 12,000 | 0¢ | $12 | 0x94b149… |
| 05-13 01:52:58 | Shallow-Consulting 0x25d0…f1e9 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xc95e7e… |
| 05-10 06:17:36 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x83134d… |