Paltry-Keyboarding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

441

Trades

824

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-19 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

72% 84% +$3

Crypto

21% 87% -$17

Politics

5% 59% $0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Sports

1% 75% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	3	$122	61	61	+0	No	+$0	07-28 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 26?	9	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$0	07-25 18:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	3	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on July 31?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-31 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 26?	5	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-25 07:00
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of July 20 2026?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-23 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 28?	5	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-28 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 24?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-24 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on July 29?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-28 18:18
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	5	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-19 15:17
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-26 00:06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 30?	3	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-30 02:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 25?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-25 00:06
ethereum above 2100 on july 29 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-29 16:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 20?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-20 10:10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	5	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-15 00:23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:27
will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-31 19:15
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on May 7?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-07 12:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-28 03:19
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 28?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-28 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-17 08:47
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 23	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-24 03:39
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	7	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 10:32
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-23 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 28?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-27 23:15
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 19?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-19 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7bdbb1…
10-18 15:16:51	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdf08e6…
10-16 12:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd61abf…
10-13 10:00:14	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 13?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc0e28c…
10-13 08:22:22	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xefa672…
10-12 09:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd87732…
10-12 09:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x21c06e…
10-12 07:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xcb69d3…
10-12 06:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbd5df5…
10-12 05:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7ed031…
10-11 23:37:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xad81fc…
10-10 06:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7a81d0…
10-07 18:50:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x67cdcc…
10-05 09:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x159cfd…
10-02 02:21:35	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x05aff7…
10-01 21:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb3a450…
10-01 05:05:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 1?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x876c6b…
09-28 05:15:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb511fe…
09-27 19:20:42	Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xddc7c8…
09-23 04:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbe0289…
09-23 03:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd4442…
09-23 01:27:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb8f233…
09-22 22:04:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0ce632…
09-22 16:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8997b6…
09-21 21:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x375517…
09-19 04:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa29b31…
09-18 01:46:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe0c68f…
09-17 11:45:16	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1e8b1c…
09-13 03:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xef895a…
09-11 20:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1e77e7…
09-11 20:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x353ac3…
09-11 02:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdaac8f…
09-10 19:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3444ff…
09-07 14:03:27	bitcoin above 76k on september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe380b5…
09-06 21:07:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9fd234…
09-06 05:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x7711e3…
09-05 23:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed1239…
09-05 09:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca3d20…
09-04 23:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1b6637…
09-04 20:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2363ca…
09-04 16:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x75b8f3…
09-04 12:02:55	bitcoin above 76k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0835cc…
09-04 02:05:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x93bb74…
09-03 13:34:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x938bae…
09-03 08:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x33ba2e…
09-03 00:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x38c1b6…
09-02 16:17:51	Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xbfcf54…
09-02 14:47:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 2?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xeef591…
09-02 12:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x80a6fc…
09-01 13:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x435d1e…
09-01 07:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x82ced4…
09-01 06:33:21	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x071395…
08-31 05:15:03	Will MrBeast hit 139.5 billion views by August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x775408…
08-30 22:35:40	Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Violent Typhoon"?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x602260…
08-30 17:07:37	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbb0171…
08-30 16:00:42	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x98f146…
08-30 06:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7ce814…
08-29 21:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdb199b…
08-29 10:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x42f1c2…
08-28 15:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe331c5…
08-28 07:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9c8df5…
08-27 13:27:13	bitcoin above 84k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb761ae…
08-27 06:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0c6bba…
08-26 21:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x709090…
08-26 19:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc6af65…
08-26 12:13:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x846843…
08-25 13:40:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdb64fd…
08-25 12:41:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe32c40…
08-25 03:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x097ae3…
08-25 00:31:13	will bitcoin dip to 74k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaba53d…
08-24 20:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5c76c8…
08-24 09:02:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf88ac1…
08-24 03:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb164f5…
08-23 19:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x794654…
08-14 08:20:40	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x34fa8d…
08-13 21:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa3ee85…
08-13 16:45:21	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7aa5e7…
08-13 09:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa01c7c…
08-13 07:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x18e691…
08-12 21:42:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe33a32…
08-12 05:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x487dc1…
08-12 04:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x27bf9a…
08-12 00:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9412b5…
08-11 20:09:24	Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–$3.25 in July?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2c36cf…
08-11 12:29:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x51b1d2…
08-10 23:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x216f5b…
08-10 19:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x45f684…
08-10 14:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4470c8…
08-10 12:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4e505e…
08-09 14:25:52	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabf779…
08-09 06:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71013e…
08-09 04:56:49	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x23b2b9…
08-09 01:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9c9676…
08-08 17:20:31	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb46f1a…
08-08 06:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5a7c4f…
08-08 02:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x41d5f2…
08-07 23:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x085bf9…
08-07 15:53:46	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xed6f2d…
08-07 11:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x378e48…
08-07 08:05:33	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x98ef5e…