Trivial-Radiosonde — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$74.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$752

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 09-03 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 97% +$58

Other

7% 100% +$13

Politics

4% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	1	$3.7K	3,691	0	+3,691	Yes	+$4	05-12 08:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	1	$3.7K	3,669	0	+3,669	Yes	+$4	05-13 00:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	1	$3.6K	3,586	0	+3,586	Yes	+$4	05-21 21:25
bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	1	$3.6K	3,570	0	+3,570	No	+$4	06-04 07:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?	2	$3.5K	3,522	0	+3,522	Yes	+$4	05-04 14:09
bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	1	$3.4K	3,453	0	+3,453	No	+$3	06-05 18:35
bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	1	$3.4K	3,450	0	+3,450	No	+$3	06-04 19:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	6	$3.2K	3,165	0	+3,165	Yes	+$3	05-28 22:09
bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	1	$2.9K	2,951	0	+2,951	No	+$3	06-06 18:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	5	$2.8K	2,811	0	+2,811	Yes	+$3	05-25 14:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	1	$2.8K	2,763	0	+2,763	No	+$3	05-27 19:58
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	5	$2.7K	2,693	0	+2,693	No	+$9	05-30 19:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$2.6K	2,598	0	+2,598	Yes	+$3	05-23 17:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 3?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$2	06-02 17:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	3	$2.4K	2,423	0	+2,423	Yes	+$2	05-10 20:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	2	$2.4K	2,365	0	+2,365	Yes	+$2	05-25 23:45
bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	2	$2.3K	2,338	0	+2,338	No	+$2	06-08 18:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	05-29 18:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$2	05-15 00:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$9	05-23 20:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	1	$2.0K	1,972	0	+1,972	Yes	+$2	05-27 08:08
bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	1	$2.0K	1,955	0	+1,955	No	+$2	06-07 18:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	1	$1.6K	1,649	0	+1,649	Yes	+$2	05-15 18:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	4	$1.2K	1,165	0	+1,165	Yes	+$1	05-29 22:10
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	No	+$1	05-26 18:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	No	+$1	06-02 18:24
will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 7	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	06-07 18:33
will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 8	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	06-08 15:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	1	$983	984	0	+984	Yes	+$1	05-23 20:40
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$854	750	133	+617	No	+$9	05-30 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 09:13:57	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	331	99¢	$328	0x53743a…
08-01 17:28:18	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	328	99¢	$325	0xadd570…
07-01 07:41:41	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	325	99¢	$322	0x296aed…
06-17 13:14:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb03d0d…
06-10 07:09:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x795aa3…
06-08 18:41:27	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1,946	100¢	$1,944	0x048c46…
06-08 18:39:39	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xedd994…
06-08 17:46:39	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	392	100¢	$392	0x5e1c25…
06-08 15:00:49	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 8	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x05fb62…
06-08 15:00:37	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 8	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x8ce9bb…
06-07 18:37:49	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	1,955	100¢	$1,953	0x2f1a60…
06-07 18:33:04	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 7	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9a1f8a…
06-06 18:28:09	bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,951	100¢	$2,948	0x3af1a0…
06-06 18:27:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xa40e01…
06-06 18:26:55	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa44670…
06-05 18:35:45	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	3,453	100¢	$3,450	0xd8a6df…
06-04 19:22:48	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	3,450	100¢	$3,447	0x57a1c0…
06-04 19:21:04	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x508a54…
06-04 19:20:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x399c06…
06-04 07:22:22	bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	3,570	100¢	$3,566	0x8ac667…
06-03 18:39:27	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x38af08…
06-02 18:24:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,083	0xc97a1a…
06-02 17:39:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,497	0xf63ed5…
06-02 15:47:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x250b6d…
05-30 19:21:41	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,168	100¢	$1,164	0x6369bd…
05-30 15:18:49	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x5ad92a…
05-30 15:12:45	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0xacd2fb…
05-30 15:12:24	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf1a23a…
05-30 14:13:50	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xfa4860…
05-30 14:04:18	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5bba57…
05-30 13:49:57	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0x49db83…
05-30 12:59:05	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	98¢	$129	0x855928…
05-30 12:58:42	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x691195…
05-30 12:57:37	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	290	98¢	$285	0x167c26…
05-29 22:10:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	448	100¢	$448	0x5fd4f7…
05-29 21:17:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9fc185…
05-29 19:36:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6dccbb…
05-29 19:03:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	690	100¢	$689	0x653769…
05-29 18:45:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0x5c9f46…
05-29 16:09:45	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x15b124…
05-29 16:09:15	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	133	92¢	$123	0xc5c967…
05-29 08:03:54	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf1e8ac…
05-28 22:09:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,432	100¢	$1,431	0xdbcf8e…
05-28 21:46:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x7f3faa…
05-28 21:44:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x6ec05a…
05-28 21:33:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xcb5ad3…
05-28 21:17:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x860dde…
05-28 21:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb46de…
05-28 18:52:08	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x236ea2…
05-27 19:58:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	2,763	100¢	$2,760	0x6841d5…
05-27 19:00:21	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x08ec07…
05-27 08:08:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,972	100¢	$1,970	0x3600f5…
05-27 07:20:33	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb6e2d1…
05-27 07:16:26	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	93¢	$97	0xa64eb9…
05-27 07:14:46	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf9a3c7…
05-26 18:36:59	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0x96e676…
05-25 23:45:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	411	100¢	$411	0x1aec59…
05-25 23:37:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,954	100¢	$1,952	0xe7c31c…
05-25 19:22:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	449	100¢	$447	0xef5f16…
05-25 19:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	696	100¢	$696	0x2adf1d…
05-25 17:36:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81d525…
05-25 17:09:31	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5deee6…
05-25 14:24:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xdd61bb…
05-25 11:40:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	402	100¢	$402	0xf3f7a2…
05-25 08:49:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x59aee4…
05-24 23:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcc53b6…
05-24 21:44:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	403	100¢	$403	0x7a69e8…
05-24 19:22:27	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd166c2…
05-23 20:40:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	984	100¢	$983	0x4a4c4b…
05-23 20:39:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$982	0xaee720…
05-23 17:21:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,598	100¢	$2,595	0x24b819…
05-23 17:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0xdb6d4d…
05-21 21:25:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	3,586	100¢	$3,582	0x84fbdb…
05-21 18:26:40	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbd9793…
05-15 18:24:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,649	100¢	$1,647	0x731224…
05-15 18:12:28	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x015d6d…
05-15 00:11:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	474	100¢	$474	0xcf6ab9…
05-15 00:08:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,526	100¢	$1,524	0xd97469…
05-14 20:16:32	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x68c14c…
05-13 00:05:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3,669	100¢	$3,665	0xcf90d3…
05-12 19:53:41	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb16b57…
05-12 08:52:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3,691	100¢	$3,687	0x31c1a3…
05-11 20:25:24	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf997dd…
05-10 20:43:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	950	100¢	$949	0xc53ee3…
05-10 18:03:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf5de8c…
05-10 17:39:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	473	100¢	$472	0x960926…
05-05 19:14:06	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x17eb68…
05-04 14:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,822	100¢	$1,820	0x83e9d1…
05-04 14:02:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,700	100¢	$1,698	0x1948e5…
05-04 07:05:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5ea483…
05-04 05:31:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xcbb28d…
05-03 20:39:04	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc31ec8…
04-17 19:24:30	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0x4a7ef4…
03-06 13:10:39	will gold gc settle over 7000 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x5d5193…
02-27 08:18:09	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xb867e7…
02-27 08:14:47	Hyperlend FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xefc714…
02-18 15:20:46	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x968b2d…
02-18 15:19:56	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xae02fb…
01-27 04:32:05	Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf6b2e0…