Loving-Guitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

436

Trades

813

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-19 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

80% 80% +$2

Crypto

16% 87% +$1

Politics

3% 77% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 33% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	8	$130	65	65	+0	No	$0	07-19 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 22?	4	$85	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-21 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 30?	7	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-30 01:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on July 28?	5	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-27 11:05
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	3	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	07-25 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C or higher on July 26?	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-26 00:28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	5	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 17:36
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-30 21:57
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-25 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:56
will russia capture stavky by july 31	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-29 20:35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on July 19?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	3	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-10 07:44
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	2	$63	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 03:06
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-26 17:47
will wti reach 125 by july 27 2026	2	$62	32	30	+2	No	$0	07-30 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-27 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-27 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 11?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-10 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 29?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-29 07:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-17 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on July 30?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-29 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 24?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-24 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 26?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-25 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 28?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-28 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 29?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 23?	3	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-23 01:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 26?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-26 08:10
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-30 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 25?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-25 00:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:20:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xad4aab…
10-18 20:54:00	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xd6f739…
10-16 10:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd271fe…
10-13 18:53:37	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x98245c…
10-13 02:07:53	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9dd2fc…
10-12 09:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x75e16b…
10-12 04:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x22aba2…
10-11 20:09:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaea939…
10-11 16:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde04b9…
10-10 07:56:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xfb15df…
10-10 00:57:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3e2926…
10-05 09:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on October 6?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9db6a6…
10-02 02:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xc48b0c…
10-01 21:25:39	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x06d769…
10-01 05:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xea6251…
09-28 04:26:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9c21fa…
09-27 19:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x665ffb…
09-23 10:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x53d0ba…
09-23 00:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c4a32…
09-22 23:27:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3cfd20…
09-22 18:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc8e60e…
09-22 13:00:13	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c1837…
09-21 21:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8fe6ff…
09-18 19:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x74dee9…
09-18 00:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 18?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xedd066…
09-17 13:27:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6a50ec…
09-13 04:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x562bd4…
09-13 02:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1defe…
09-11 20:28:25	Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4c7c8e…
09-10 19:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2b6fb6…
09-07 17:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa3a317…
09-06 21:23:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x243952…
09-06 05:47:06	Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x714344…
09-05 23:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 6?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x65d088…
09-05 07:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe0b752…
09-05 04:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x53ae78…
09-04 20:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc17a13…
09-04 14:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x05aa52…
09-04 07:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc0d2e8…
09-03 23:05:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x54eb4c…
09-03 10:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4dc8b5…
09-03 04:43:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf28ec9…
09-02 17:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3dee97…
09-02 10:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x14a912…
09-02 06:41:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x00de97…
09-01 12:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7ff6b1…
09-01 02:33:18	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdc9e38…
08-31 02:55:36	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfcca75…
08-30 22:41:43	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x39a3f9…
08-30 16:53:43	Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8823b2…
08-30 15:21:57	bitcoin above 80k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa7409c…
08-30 08:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7886d9…
08-29 19:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xbac19e…
08-29 10:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0a3a02…
08-28 14:45:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdaeb9c…
08-28 08:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on August 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25948b…
08-27 10:18:34	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x13048b…
08-27 06:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x329264…
08-26 22:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc1aa0f…
08-26 18:56:39	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7b234a…
08-26 16:20:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5e80fd…
08-26 03:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x572888…
08-25 09:27:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfce7d4…
08-25 05:41:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xce8267…
08-24 20:49:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf1df1f…
08-24 15:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x07ebe5…
08-24 10:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf5480b…
08-24 02:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x271932…
08-23 22:04:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf9fcdf…
08-14 20:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 15?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x459a04…
08-14 07:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd4067b…
08-13 18:43:01	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2f9df6…
08-13 16:17:22	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x574029…
08-13 09:16:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6c404…
08-13 06:43:31	ethereum above 2100 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xacd280…
08-12 21:36:22	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 12	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x054c95…
08-12 07:27:55	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x555329…
08-12 04:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd2d261…
08-11 23:24:01	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcbdf3f…
08-11 20:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x01a7af…
08-11 13:14:57	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x19af2b…
08-10 21:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3d7cb7…
08-10 19:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x05a3cc…
08-10 14:50:37	will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5353bf…
08-10 11:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x3da597…
08-09 11:51:49	will super troopers 3 score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011231498	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d3c8e…
08-09 10:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x610d31…
08-09 04:02:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7566f6…
08-09 01:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 9?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xebb953…
08-08 18:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe02568…
08-08 03:57:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x238c05…
08-08 01:38:15	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 7	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xeaaad8…
08-07 20:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xdda24c…
08-07 15:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7b0339…
08-07 13:08:57	Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc5fd5f…
08-07 08:23:33	will nvda dip to 192 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcd6747…
08-06 07:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x681a2e…
08-06 02:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1ee935…
08-06 01:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfae9e1…
08-05 20:53:12	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x0d956b…