Unfortunate-Placebo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

337

Trades

641

lifetime

Volume

$7.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-25 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

82% 86% -$10

Crypto

11% 89% +$0

Politics

5% 80% +$0

Sports

2% 60% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	04-13 08:54
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	3	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	04-30 03:24
Will Anthony Slaughter be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-07 20:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 13?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-13 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	6	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-16 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 8?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-08 00:42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on May 11?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-11 13:34
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 16corhigher	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	03-29 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 14?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-13 23:11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 4?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-04 18:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	7	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-13 20:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-15 23:05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-16 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 6?	5	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-06 00:34
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-15 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 3?	5	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-03 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 16?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-15 17:59
will president trump sign 0 pieces of legislation into law in march	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	03-30 06:22
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	3	$50	33	17	+16	No	+$0	05-16 22:16
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 3?	6	$49	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-03 00:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-13 14:00
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 11?	4	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-11 14:01
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?	3	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-17 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on May 5?	3	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-05 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 2?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-01 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on May 10?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-09 20:50
highest temperature in atlanta on april 20 2026 88forhigher	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-20 09:47
Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:11
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-30 02:23
Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	$0	05-08 03:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:11:09	Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc45fda…
10-25 09:10:17	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaad682…
10-25 09:09:24	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xae178d…
10-25 09:08:33	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfa089e…
10-21 23:39:00	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf54004…
10-15 14:44:58	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a8904…
10-04 07:59:23	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x229cce…
10-04 07:58:28	Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x35ad04…
10-04 07:57:32	Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x468666…
10-04 07:56:40	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5a9a20…
10-04 07:55:47	Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x09c9b0…
10-04 07:54:58	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc697e2…
09-22 04:53:06	Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78255d…
09-17 21:15:46	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x2d46be…
09-06 01:38:30	Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1db058…
09-01 23:56:01	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x81da99…
08-13 13:12:40	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xec5fa4…
08-07 07:42:15	Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x970079…
07-27 17:20:33	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe74444…
07-27 17:19:42	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa2bdbb…
07-27 17:18:51	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7201de…
07-24 17:54:27	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbc2a40…
07-22 12:26:28	Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x40722a…
07-19 03:52:25	Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x217df1…
07-12 23:54:35	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x816b9f…
07-05 05:29:01	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe4b68…
06-29 00:53:35	Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x4c0bfe…
06-25 00:45:43	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd658e7…
06-21 21:57:08	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x24749f…
05-17 15:37:47	Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x9eb183…
05-17 14:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb7c0a3…
05-17 09:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38ae97…
05-17 06:40:02	Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x886896…
05-17 06:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 17?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x05a14c…
05-17 05:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xec109b…
05-17 05:36:32	Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x95b134…
05-17 05:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 17?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xd9b8a3…
05-17 04:53:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x479356…
05-17 04:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc0a06e…
05-17 04:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbdcd5a…
05-17 04:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6b6d5c…
05-17 02:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x562656…
05-17 00:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x034d75…
05-17 00:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe81d16…
05-16 23:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb932d4…
05-16 22:16:40	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7c08e0…
05-16 20:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xd96eb6…
05-16 19:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x30de7e…
05-16 17:04:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xaf61b6…
05-16 16:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb5f8ec…
05-16 12:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xefc4e0…
05-16 08:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xba498e…
05-16 08:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x00fbad…
05-16 08:08:55	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8e32e7…
05-16 07:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2927ce…
05-16 05:52:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa06ab4…
05-16 02:31:38	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe5a2cf…
05-16 00:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9818f6…
05-16 00:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x340d0c…
05-15 23:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 51°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xaaee0b…
05-15 23:05:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5cf5d1…
05-15 22:21:25	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdaf817…
05-15 20:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcf479a…
05-15 19:03:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf8ee9c…
05-15 17:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 16?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x553d12…
05-15 16:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 51°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x811348…
05-15 14:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 16?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9c3cd1…
05-15 12:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 15?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x961af0…
05-15 12:06:08	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6d6505…
05-15 11:01:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x57374c…
05-15 10:52:26	Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa3a9e3…
05-15 10:48:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0bf549…
05-15 10:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x59b90b…
05-15 09:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x924a47…
05-15 03:14:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a2082…
05-14 23:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb6cead…
05-14 15:11:13	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe900f8…
05-14 14:37:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x43672a…
05-14 12:23:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9a4a06…
05-14 11:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on May 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x420c93…
05-14 08:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6eb322…
05-14 07:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0697b2…
05-14 07:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd54f97…
05-14 07:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x14a6c9…
05-14 06:25:06	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb6e53e…
05-14 06:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on May 15?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x510580…
05-14 06:08:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 14?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xab9b7c…
05-14 06:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 14?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe57a3d…
05-14 05:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or below on May 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc3eb3d…
05-14 05:37:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb10f0a…
05-14 04:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on May 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe72d42…
05-14 03:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x40bcf3…
05-13 23:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 14?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x842a85…
05-13 23:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 14?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x0ac0bd…
05-13 22:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd8a210…
05-13 20:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe510f9…
05-13 20:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd91555…
05-13 20:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa623d9…
05-13 20:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9916fa…
05-13 20:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x43ccec…