Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$709
$1,929 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,560
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 05:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $305 | $305 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $1 | $404 | $403 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $303 | $303 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $50 | $50 |
| Median | 6 | — | $305 | $305 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $22 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $25 | $25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +303 | $303 | $303 | 2 | 05-14 02:02 |
| Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | +163 | $162 | $162 | 2 | 05-13 22:34 |
| Upbeat-Pricing 0xa579…6dbe | No | +58 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-14 02:05 |
| Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-13 22:27 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 05-13 07:01 |
| Lumpy-Fur 0x08b9…14d3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 22:42 |
| Keen-Ascent 0x4d75…d5a3 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:37 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 07:01 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 07:01 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 05:01 |
| Cylindrical-Mutation 0x4e8d…52a8 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 19:53 |
| Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 03:38 |
| Upright-Lambkin 0xae79…5322 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 07:01 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 07:01 |
| Overdue-Sovereignty 0x9fd6…5ab1 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 05:31 |
| Electric-Usher 0x9d0c…dff2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 05:31:04 | Overdue-Sovereignty 0x9fd6…5ab1 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x88ec92… |
| 05-14 05:01:19 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e99fa… |
| 05-14 05:01:17 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x72f1a3… |
| 05-14 02:05:14 | Upbeat-Pricing 0xa579…6dbe | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0xa26bff… |
| 05-14 02:02:10 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x3c5408… |
| 05-14 02:01:16 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 202 | 100¢ | $202 | 0xab849d… |
| 05-14 01:45:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x472328… |
| 05-13 23:39:47 | Upright-Lambkin 0xae79…5322 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1fc2e1… |
| 05-13 22:42:24 | Lumpy-Fur 0x08b9…14d3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x97bb3e… |
| 05-13 22:34:23 | Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xab2d3a… |
| 05-13 22:27:53 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xd7b39b… |
| 05-13 22:17:54 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd879c8… |
| 05-13 22:14:23 | Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | BUY | 157 | 100¢ | $156 | 0xdc41fb… |
| 05-13 22:12:41 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1fded… |
| 05-13 19:53:55 | Cylindrical-Mutation 0x4e8d…52a8 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x72677f… |
| 05-13 07:01:26 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4e9efc… |
| 05-13 07:01:24 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xd64009… |
| 05-13 07:01:22 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x2e4630… |
| 05-13 07:01:22 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xe7584b… |
| 05-13 07:01:22 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xceb6d4… |
| 05-13 07:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2f0ee3… |
| 05-13 07:01:22 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x09bc7c… |
| 05-13 07:01:22 | Electric-Usher 0x9d0c…dff2 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xff0a95… |
| 05-13 07:01:21 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x0c66e2… |
| 05-13 07:01:21 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xf76ceb… |
| 05-13 07:01:21 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7ef6f3… |
| 05-13 04:48:21 | Fat-Peer 0x3be5…ae59 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x97bf88… |
| 05-13 03:38:28 | Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x19c524… |
| 05-13 03:37:46 | Keen-Ascent 0x4d75…d5a3 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb846ac… |