Cylindrical-Mutation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-16 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

69% 67% $-0

Crypto

25% 50% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	5	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-30 06:49
highest temperature in san francisco on april 4 2026 68 69f	1	$67	67	0	+67	open	—	04-04 02:12
solana above 70 on april 5	1	$66	66	0	+66	open	—	04-05 04:40
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 60 61f	1	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	03-28 06:51
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be less than 10m	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	03-29 07:01
highest temperature in miami on april 7 2026 88 89f	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	04-07 04:43
highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 64 65f	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	04-06 02:16
will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt8m 15m square kilometers	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	03-31 07:16
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	4	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	05-14 13:14
highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 64forhigher	3	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	04-13 15:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	05-15 07:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-08 02:07
will nvda close between 175 and 180 week april 3 2026	1	$53	53	0	+53	open	—	04-03 05:50
Will Carlos Espá finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$53	26	26	+0	open	—	04-12 23:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	2	$51	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 19:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 11:28
Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$-0	05-04 23:05
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	02-05 03:09
highest temperature in toronto on april 11 2026 16corhigher	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	04-11 03:54
will xrp reach 1pt65 on april 19	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-20 04:25
highest temperature in warsaw on april 19 2026 13c	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-18 22:14
highest temperature in denver on april 21 2026 56forhigher	2	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	04-21 16:13
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 2?	2	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 22:41
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 26?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-26 12:59
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 56 57f	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-20 04:27
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 22 2026 35c	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-22 17:45
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 14 be between 75 and 80	3	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-17 15:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-26 11:08
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 18c	3	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-18 09:38
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 19:27:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x296450…
05-16 07:37:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2a0061…
05-15 07:11:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa1ce15…
05-15 00:12:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x616a2b…
05-14 13:14:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2a990a…
05-14 13:08:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x56450c…
05-14 13:08:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x48e0af…
05-14 03:15:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaa0599…
05-10 18:20:44	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x37f006…
05-10 17:00:07	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xce899d…
05-10 12:23:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x62c138…
05-10 11:28:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x98f062…
05-10 07:30:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8b7aa8…
05-10 06:30:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xefde31…
05-10 03:08:33	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad06db…
05-10 02:54:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe871dc…
05-09 16:04:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x825641…
05-09 13:53:08	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x860377…
05-08 02:07:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x40bfa8…
05-07 09:42:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x894eff…
05-06 13:12:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa62e62…
05-06 10:14:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x427f52…
05-05 14:12:18	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe0e3d2…
05-05 10:37:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa6127b…
05-05 10:24:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4b0696…
05-05 06:12:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1fe74…
05-05 02:31:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x9c827f…
05-04 23:05:16	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xea586b…
05-04 21:30:22	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf1cd7f…
05-04 19:50:32	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x595b3c…
05-04 17:57:14	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 4?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x87dc09…
05-04 09:23:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6458e8…
05-02 22:41:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0f1d2c…
05-02 21:31:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xe97df5…
05-02 14:21:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x1a2f25…
05-02 07:45:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x88a971…
05-01 18:45:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7dfbcb…
05-01 14:47:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x357787…
05-01 00:00:32	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xebda34…
04-30 14:36:48	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8921b0…
04-30 09:24:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x525882…
04-30 06:49:16	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x48a0a8…
04-30 04:41:34	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7e34bb…
04-29 19:00:06	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xdb6b66…
04-29 18:39:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x67d860…
04-29 15:12:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe9b43d…
04-29 15:07:16	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1cc498…
04-29 14:22:58	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xac9601…
04-29 06:00:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xabd115…
04-29 04:54:26	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x094d29…
04-29 03:44:14	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x22503c…
04-29 03:27:50	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x57cbe1…
04-29 00:18:28	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4c6b27…
04-28 23:28:20	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf0f731…
04-28 21:47:16	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x10c2f7…
04-27 15:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x23e72b…
04-27 13:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on April 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xa976ea…
04-27 09:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xeff441…
04-27 08:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x957d6e…
04-27 06:08:50	Will "Untold: The Shooting at Hawthorne Hill" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb929ad…
04-27 05:02:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x017580…
04-26 22:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf4e4b8…
04-26 18:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 39°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3d1c97…
04-26 17:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on April 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7b2d06…
04-26 15:52:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xdac0c8…
04-26 15:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x55b4b9…
04-26 12:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x56eff5…
04-26 11:10:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 26?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x877b14…
04-26 11:08:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x12521f…
04-26 09:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xca06c1…
04-26 08:04:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x49da39…
04-26 04:19:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd948b5…
04-25 20:23:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7e1110…
04-25 19:37:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa7f676…
04-25 17:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe65dbe…
04-25 14:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4775bd…
04-25 08:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on April 25?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa035e0…
04-25 07:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 25?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5554c1…
04-25 00:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdf403c…
04-24 20:45:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on April 24?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb3114b…
04-24 14:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x459e2f…
04-24 13:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcc0c4e…
04-24 10:36:22	highest temperature in houston on april 24 2026 76forhigher	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8f9138…
04-24 00:03:54	highest temperature in dallas on april 24 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x086768…
04-23 23:13:40	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x516521…
04-23 19:45:00	will xrp reach 1pt55 on april 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x298753…
04-23 14:57:38	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be at least 90	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9b8051…
04-23 14:38:20	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 4c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdd823a…
04-23 09:31:14	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 20c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x26cf55…
04-23 06:11:06	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 23 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7033e4…
04-23 03:55:54	solana above 100 on april 23	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1c5f6f…
04-23 03:35:50	solana above 100 on april 23	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7974a3…
04-23 03:04:38	solana above 100 on april 23	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc5bbf7…
04-23 02:42:48	highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 23c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5648f6…
04-23 02:05:02	highest temperature in istanbul on april 23 2026 17corhigher	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6f2e7f…
04-22 22:48:10	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 25c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xceb4ef…
04-22 18:43:06	will drop dead olivia rodrigo be the 1 song on spotify this week	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb917b2…
04-22 17:49:46	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 10c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3bc79c…
04-22 17:48:26	highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 38corhigher	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc434f8…
04-22 17:45:48	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 22 2026 35c	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0x599b73…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	87	$10.3K	5,865	04-24 16:58
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	83	$9.12K	1,139	04-27 14:34
Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0	64	$2.04K	152	04-27 14:19
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	63	$1.96K	263	04-27 04:07
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	61	$60.4K	1,164	05-14 13:07
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	59	$15.5K	1,127	04-26 15:15
Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b	59	$874	354	05-03 06:42
(anonymous) 0x5aec…904b	55	$6.22K	537	04-27 18:24