Cylindrical-Mutation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

352

Trades

696

lifetime

Volume

$9.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-22 16:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

82% 84% -$11

Crypto

13% 81% +$0

Politics

3% 67% $0

Sports

1% 33% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+8	$7	100¢	$8	+$0	10-22 16:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$101	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-11 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on May 3?	5	$93	46	46	+0	No	+$0	05-02 18:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 9?	4	$89	44	44	+0	No	$0	05-08 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 53°F or below on May 8?	4	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	05-07 18:25
Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	5	$81	41	41	+0	No	$0	05-15 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 42°F or higher on May 8?	5	$71	36	36	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:28
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	04-30 06:49
highest temperature in san francisco on april 4 2026 68 69f	1	$67	67	0	+67	No	+$0	04-04 02:12
solana above 70 on april 5	1	$66	66	0	+66	Yes	+$0	04-05 04:40
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 60 61f	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	03-28 06:51
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 11?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	05-10 18:24
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be less than 10m	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	03-29 07:01
highest temperature in miami on april 7 2026 88 89f	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	04-07 04:43
highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 64 65f	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	04-06 02:16
will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt8m 15m square kilometers	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	03-31 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C or below on May 7?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-06 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 13?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-13 08:27
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-16 22:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 14?	6	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-13 23:11
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 6?	6	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-06 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 17?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-17 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	6	$57	37	20	+17	No	+$0	05-16 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 14?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-13 23:05
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	4	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 13:14
highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 64forhigher	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	04-13 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 4?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-04 06:03
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on May 6?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 6?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 15?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-14 13:23
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on May 7?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-06 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 16:32:59	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x2bca9d…
10-15 07:48:59	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7fd023…
10-13 04:46:02	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6c1244…
10-13 04:45:12	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x058a4d…
10-13 04:44:17	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1aa988…
10-13 04:43:21	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf2d3cd…
10-13 04:42:27	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7c01b8…
10-13 04:41:38	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd27784…
10-13 04:40:42	Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb1552d…
09-26 13:04:48	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf62120…
09-19 16:45:33	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x005a48…
09-13 02:16:55	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbd9488…
08-30 19:11:45	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7b115…
08-29 19:58:07	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8f40ad…
08-29 19:57:01	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xedc6e3…
08-29 19:55:51	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2fd073…
08-24 06:00:55	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5b2765…
08-10 00:33:03	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x33f8c9…
08-06 14:02:12	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xacdaae…
07-24 05:16:43	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa1b318…
07-20 18:56:37	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57b614…
07-10 23:42:59	Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1d5599…
07-04 17:23:01	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6640ca…
07-04 17:22:04	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6655ed…
07-04 17:21:07	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc6d900…
07-02 20:51:16	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0f8501…
06-30 13:47:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb98b19…
06-24 06:04:07	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0ff426…
06-22 13:28:25	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6145d1…
06-18 06:49:23	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3fba46…
05-29 17:07:16	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe3e8f7…
05-17 16:13:51	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64e895…
05-17 14:38:22	Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x949917…
05-17 12:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 17?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1f36e5…
05-17 12:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on May 17?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x9b9e43…
05-17 11:38:47	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5c00f3…
05-17 09:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x73f229…
05-17 07:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on May 17?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9119cd…
05-17 02:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21427d…
05-17 02:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1c3597…
05-17 02:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x89853e…
05-17 01:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf74f28…
05-16 22:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x91c928…
05-16 22:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbfe30b…
05-16 22:05:09	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3e5c1e…
05-16 21:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x65e259…
05-16 21:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x474c0a…
05-16 21:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc72061…
05-16 21:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 17?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x68b937…
05-16 21:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1c775a…
05-16 19:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa4ae59…
05-16 19:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd92712…
05-16 19:27:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x296450…
05-16 13:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x63dca9…
05-16 11:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1cdc7b…
05-16 08:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaccde6…
05-16 07:37:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2a0061…
05-16 06:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x6d8382…
05-16 03:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5d313a…
05-16 01:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa19112…
05-16 00:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x386dcd…
05-16 00:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf7471e…
05-15 20:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x01c474…
05-15 17:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3d0b8d…
05-15 17:16:25	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x1f422e…
05-15 16:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 16?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x005552…
05-15 14:17:58	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb5915c…
05-15 12:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x961af0…
05-15 12:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 16?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd61033…
05-15 10:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x588909…
05-15 10:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 15?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa9d9d4…
05-15 08:40:08	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa830f4…
05-15 07:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1de897…
05-15 07:21:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x352dfe…
05-15 07:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x485a71…
05-15 07:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xece9dd…
05-15 07:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe098ff…
05-15 07:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9f93cb…
05-15 07:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x986867…
05-15 07:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7bfcca…
05-15 07:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x788569…
05-15 07:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc0700c…
05-15 07:11:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa1ce15…
05-15 07:09:24	Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x0bb39d…
05-15 04:40:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcd97e4…
05-15 02:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x01dd50…
05-15 02:05:52	Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6b9de5…
05-15 01:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9d0b2f…
05-15 01:22:14	Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcfedd4…
05-15 00:12:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x616a2b…
05-14 23:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x142c32…
05-14 21:10:14	Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x580624…
05-14 17:40:22	Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa1a7de…
05-14 14:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbe8a74…
05-14 13:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf60ec3…
05-14 13:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd9d38d…
05-14 13:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x60820b…
05-14 13:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5d351d…
05-14 13:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2c355b…
05-14 13:14:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2a990a…