Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$663
$55 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$452
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 22:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $213 | $213 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $1 | $304 | $303 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 11 | — | $212 | $212 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $289 | $289 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +159 | $158 | $158 | 3 | 05-14 21:32 |
| Neighboring-Prior 0x9a0d…c5e9 | Yes | +111 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:32 |
| Incredible-Tweezers 0xc576…3f04 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-16 15:31 |
| Constant-Knife 0xf7a8…9f68 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 13:21 |
| Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-16 00:55 |
| Shabby-Ginger 0x4d36…cbfa | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-15 18:49 |
| Cylindrical-Mutation 0x4e8d…52a8 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-16 03:40 |
| Lumpy-Victory 0x0eeb…c424 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-16 05:24 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-16 13:11 |
| Unfolded-Inhibitor 0x3880…3649 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-16 06:10 |
| Jaded-Weapon 0x16ac…9d43 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-16 08:26 |
| Fake-Blackbird 0xfb74…2970 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 09:31 |
| Dual-Recession 0x9680…f6a8 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 17:51 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 04:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Miniature-Flight 0x5dac…7d8c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 09:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 22:04:18 | Tender-Scarf 0x19f4…cdcc | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xf78a0a… |
| 05-16 21:25:59 | Well-To-Do-Patent 0xefa3…2350 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x0ce45a… |
| 05-16 15:31:35 | Incredible-Tweezers 0xc576…3f04 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x8448a3… |
| 05-16 13:21:49 | Constant-Knife 0xf7a8…9f68 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbfe6cb… |
| 05-16 13:11:00 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe21754… |
| 05-16 13:11:00 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac4ac1… |
| 05-16 13:05:43 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x806e31… |
| 05-16 10:55:47 | Rough-Spec 0x993b…6e90 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x265a6a… |
| 05-16 09:46:25 | Miniature-Flight 0x5dac…7d8c | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4fe3a5… |
| 05-16 09:31:24 | Fake-Blackbird 0xfb74…2970 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xce120a… |
| 05-16 08:26:18 | Jaded-Weapon 0x16ac…9d43 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x78b706… |
| 05-16 06:10:58 | Unfolded-Inhibitor 0x3880…3649 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xb84810… |
| 05-16 05:24:23 | Lumpy-Victory 0x0eeb…c424 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x9aa13b… |
| 05-16 04:49:21 | Tender-Scarf 0x19f4…cdcc | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x06fdea… |
| 05-16 04:25:51 | Well-To-Do-Patent 0xefa3…2350 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x09f7a0… |
| 05-16 03:40:59 | Cylindrical-Mutation 0x4e8d…52a8 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x5d313a… |
| 05-16 00:55:40 | Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xc3b719… |
| 05-15 18:49:48 | Shabby-Ginger 0x4d36…cbfa | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x32d2bc… |
| 05-15 17:51:55 | Dual-Recession 0x9680…f6a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x039fbe… |
| 05-15 14:14:32 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa143f0… |
| 05-15 14:07:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6473c… |
| 05-14 21:32:27 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 140 | 100¢ | $139 | 0xca4930… |
| 05-14 21:32:17 | Neighboring-Prior 0x9a0d…c5e9 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x777ef4… |
| 05-14 21:18:46 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7f34c8… |
| 05-14 21:17:14 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8f4899… |
| 05-14 20:42:01 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf675af… |
| 05-14 19:21:59 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 55 | 99¢ | $55 | 0xb94ec7… |
| 05-14 16:31:41 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x7c9064… |
| 05-14 06:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x54af1a… |
| 05-14 04:26:26 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xb83ae2… |