Rough-Spec — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

443

Trades

798

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-19 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

72% 80% -$28

Crypto

20% 88% +$1

Politics

5% 68% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 60% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	5	$144	72	72	+0	No	+$0	07-25 15:18
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 22?	3	$98	49	49	+0	No	$0	07-21 23:45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$98	49	49	+0	No	+$0	07-21 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 20?	4	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-20 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 26?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-26 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 21?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-20 16:33
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:28
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-28 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 27?	2	$63	32	31	+1	No	$0	07-26 06:01
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?	3	$63	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 21?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-21 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-19 15:19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 22?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 104°F or higher on July 20?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-20 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 29?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-29 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 30?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-30 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 22?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 19:46
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 27?	5	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-27 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 17:11
solana above 90 on july 28 2026	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-28 02:24
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-30 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 23:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-20 14:23
will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-18 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 25?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-24 18:30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	10-02 01:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-11 06:07
bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-26 18:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfe0ae7…
10-18 22:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xfc3285…
10-16 09:51:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x81a47f…
10-14 13:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc36b51…
10-14 13:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 14?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x72aaaf…
10-14 13:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x75292f…
10-14 12:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1ef61b…
10-14 12:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 14?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x201b73…
10-13 09:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9d02bf…
10-12 09:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1898e1…
10-12 06:31:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x82ca57…
10-12 05:38:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x147c0e…
10-12 01:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xad12be…
10-11 14:29:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x91813c…
10-10 05:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x583415…
10-10 01:46:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0d4d28…
10-05 09:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x6e6b3f…
10-02 01:44:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xaf0df5…
10-01 22:22:51	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa24c3b…
10-01 05:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x403b5c…
09-28 04:02:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5e31fa…
09-27 21:25:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x013965…
09-23 04:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9a763e…
09-23 01:11:40	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xfa5e76…
09-23 00:37:40	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x527ba3…
09-22 23:45:55	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xff68af…
09-22 23:24:08	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8bfdae…
09-21 21:49:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x324c9f…
09-18 02:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf23d76…
09-17 15:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb6d34b…
09-13 03:38:43	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe72ed5…
09-11 18:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on September 11?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2311bc…
09-11 02:09:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdda0dc…
09-10 20:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x17cf58…
09-07 17:30:49	Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x47f899…
09-06 14:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd7e952…
09-06 08:40:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x70fd3a…
09-06 01:11:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc03f9…
09-05 13:30:48	bitcoin above 78k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa843f7…
09-05 11:25:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80e9d9…
09-04 20:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe0d2d1…
09-04 16:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x18ebb7…
09-04 13:15:55	bitcoin above 86k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x22390f…
09-04 04:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc25d33…
09-03 21:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4e01e0…
09-03 12:58:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d0f16…
09-03 04:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1e4363…
09-03 02:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x22f090…
09-02 13:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb2d192…
09-02 09:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6b8a57…
09-01 08:05:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x7bd7df…
09-01 02:02:06	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x21871b…
08-31 03:49:12	Lecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x358014…
08-31 00:25:28	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6c267b…
08-30 20:02:25	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf9965…
08-30 19:14:15	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9f1c5e…
08-30 17:40:27	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x28bdc5…
08-29 17:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0afd81…
08-29 15:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdbe5e1…
08-29 14:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x62b9b9…
08-29 09:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9bb563…
08-27 14:12:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb97418…
08-27 07:30:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7b82ba…
08-27 03:29:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6c1793…
08-26 20:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9be735…
08-26 16:11:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x2cb08a…
08-26 03:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6ab37a…
08-25 12:35:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3b2944…
08-25 04:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5c7fe9…
08-24 21:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x485cf8…
08-24 14:31:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa45d8e…
08-24 10:11:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31f924…
08-23 23:06:46	Will Baytaq win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4e429a…
08-23 19:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4f2ea…
08-14 16:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x383f15…
08-14 07:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3cf4b3…
08-13 19:01:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcdaf82…
08-13 16:17:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x464556…
08-13 10:04:49	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1da8f8…
08-13 06:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x75af74…
08-12 21:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4afa5c…
08-12 06:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1fa982…
08-12 02:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf15dd9…
08-12 00:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x24445a…
08-11 15:00:46	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f0c85…
08-11 13:32:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3cb39b…
08-10 21:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x46e6ad…
08-10 19:49:57	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbee2f…
08-10 13:54:15	will super troopers 3 score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011231497	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x04031f…
08-10 12:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1fbcbd…
08-09 11:46:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x586da9…
08-09 10:35:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8e3f09…
08-09 03:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9c273a…
08-09 01:27:25	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd7ba42…
08-08 19:06:22	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc1925a…
08-08 06:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6e5192…
08-08 00:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x61e104…
08-07 22:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2620e3…
08-07 19:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9faedb…
08-07 12:45:36	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x91b1f7…