Jaded-Weapon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

432

Trades

871

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-16 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

76% 79% -$4

Crypto

17% 79% +$1

Politics

4% 61% +$0

Sports

1% 33% -$1

Tech

1% 80% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on July 25?	9	$124	62	62	+0	No	$0	07-25 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 26?	4	$117	58	58	+0	No	$0	07-26 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	5	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$0	07-20 06:46
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	4	$86	43	43	+0	No	$0	07-31 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	4	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-22 23:44
bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	2	$69	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-20 23:45
solana above 90 on july 23 2026	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-23 00:08
bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	3	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-29 11:09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 26?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-25 22:12
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	4	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-18 23:54
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	-$1	04-17 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 29?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-28 22:43
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 27?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-27 00:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-21 04:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-24 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	3	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-17 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?	6	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-27 08:57
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-19 05:53
ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	3	$62	44	17	+27	Yes	+$0	07-28 14:10
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	4	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-27 15:46
bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 04:47
will spy dip to 715 by july 20 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-24 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on July 24?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-23 15:30
will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-26 17:11
bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 24?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-24 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 17:11
bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-24 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 27?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-27 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	10-12 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 20:44:17	Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x06338e…
10-13 10:31:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7116c9…
10-13 08:30:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0dc19b…
10-12 20:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x418410…
10-12 09:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc7ece9…
10-12 09:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb9b8f9…
10-12 05:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6861aa…
10-12 01:03:00	Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x025a93…
10-11 19:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x031bae…
10-10 05:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc91fce…
10-07 18:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 36°C on October 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x73c0a1…
10-05 10:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x10cf65…
10-02 00:06:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x938fd8…
10-01 21:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xae3789…
10-01 04:30:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x406403…
09-28 04:21:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 28?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf673a5…
09-27 22:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x20c44e…
09-23 22:07:35	ethereum above 3000 on september 24 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfd3ee2…
09-23 20:52:38	will xi jinping visit us by september 23	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x704d6a…
09-23 07:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x551c08…
09-22 21:04:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x585ad4…
09-22 16:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8123bd…
09-21 23:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x69941e…
09-18 16:26:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x90faa2…
09-18 01:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7cfe65…
09-11 01:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1c7973…
09-10 20:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0f2a18…
09-07 15:11:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdd45a2…
09-06 12:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x59a89e…
09-06 06:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa80a46…
09-06 00:57:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x689fcf…
09-05 23:38:58	Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8a7e26…
09-04 23:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d1f9d…
09-04 23:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x185ce6…
09-04 17:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9af59e…
09-04 10:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xecae25…
09-04 04:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xbf2213…
09-03 14:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x14b8ba…
09-03 09:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8b2c85…
09-03 00:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdebd2f…
09-02 21:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4513e3…
09-02 12:49:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xde0685…
09-02 05:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa56687…
09-01 13:07:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cca57…
09-01 06:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd00979…
08-31 02:41:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb76855…
08-31 00:19:21	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc5efe4…
08-30 17:11:49	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf7768a…
08-30 11:26:36	bitcoin above 80k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd20a89…
08-30 05:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x82f949…
08-30 02:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf3988e…
08-29 07:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x6de776…
08-28 18:03:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x788e6c…
08-28 05:02:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x55e187…
08-27 11:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb8fa6f…
08-27 06:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x893def…
08-26 21:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x72b186…
08-26 21:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0e95a1…
08-26 17:05:30	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x167ae8…
08-26 08:08:25	ethereum above 2700 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xea4926…
08-25 10:48:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x612398…
08-25 05:10:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd6be7b…
08-24 20:56:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbf9c86…
08-24 20:22:36	will bitcoin dip to 72k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xe44d2a…
08-24 10:33:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x2277ff…
08-23 23:26:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x834bb3…
08-23 20:02:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xafe589…
08-14 15:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xfbde12…
08-14 06:40:01	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xe5d817…
08-13 18:39:43	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf15780…
08-13 16:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x909e2b…
08-13 08:06:48	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x455a1b…
08-12 23:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc671a1…
08-12 21:25:39	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1dc00…
08-12 06:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 67°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x963f99…
08-12 03:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc3b3bf…
08-12 01:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x17a3a0…
08-11 15:02:15	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0b3374…
08-11 13:13:30	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5aae5b…
08-10 22:30:07	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 10	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x691753…
08-10 20:06:36	wti closes above 79 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7514d5…
08-10 13:42:13	wti closes above 73 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2aebcd…
08-10 10:41:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf99a39…
08-10 02:21:25	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0518fc…
08-09 10:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x157b94…
08-09 03:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xee5c0e…
08-09 01:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x25c962…
08-08 18:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa863e5…
08-08 05:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbcafc0…
08-08 05:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x305e1d…
08-07 20:52:45	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 7	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x40fdc8…
08-07 18:01:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x32b9e9…
08-07 11:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd9a001…
08-07 09:58:28	ethereum above 2100 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0f21f5…
08-06 16:22:26	Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdf7894…
08-05 21:50:38	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb7e533…
08-05 19:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3160f6…
08-05 15:20:48	Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x23acd6…
08-05 12:47:29	xrp above 1pt2 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbb2e04…
08-01 10:57:12	Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x977f21…