Lumpy-Victory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$2.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-07 22:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 100% +$0

Other

41% 100% +$0

Politics

10% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	4	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	07-21 01:46
will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	4	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	04-19 15:01
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	07-31 00:36
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	07-26 19:54
bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	3	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	07-21 19:57
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-16 23:57
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-24 16:48
will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	4	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	07-30 20:45
bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	2	$53	26	26	+0	open	—	07-24 16:44
will pltr dip to 90 in july 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	07-31 15:19
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-30 01:26
bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	07-24 09:00
ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	07-26 08:47
ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	07-25 04:30
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 00:00
will russia capture myropillia by july 31	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	08-01 03:14
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	02-15 12:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-30 19:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	2	$36	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 22:31
highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 23c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-23 19:38
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 19 2026 36c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 14:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-21 11:36
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	07-26 03:38
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 23 2026 19c	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 19:39
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 19	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 14:50
highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 68 69f	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 07:49
highest temperature in atlanta on april 20 2026 82 83f	5	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C or below on April 25?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 21:01
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 22 2026 37corhigher	3	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 00:43
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 00:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 22:35:15	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2d071b…
08-01 03:14:26	will russia capture myropillia by july 31	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8cf657…
07-31 15:19:09	will pltr dip to 90 in july 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xb6b7f9…
07-31 00:36:53	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x2d3197…
07-30 20:45:54	will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x47dc1e…
07-30 19:24:48	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd93ad8…
07-30 19:20:12	will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa3e6bc…
07-30 19:02:57	will pltr dip to 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x1bb01a…
07-30 16:17:18	will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf6842e…
07-30 14:31:36	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x904f4c…
07-30 12:32:23	will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x49ecd5…
07-30 08:54:30	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xea7452…
07-30 01:30:54	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe2f0f5…
07-30 01:26:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xea4b24…
07-30 00:53:15	will russia capture myropillia by july 31	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x94f012…
07-29 22:23:15	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4f07a7…
07-29 17:09:15	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x85769e…
07-28 14:10:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf03fb3…
07-28 03:44:54	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x92017d…
07-26 19:54:28	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xae3f36…
07-26 18:19:43	bitcoin above 70k on july 27 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9b4e1b…
07-26 18:13:54	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc8f770…
07-26 15:11:09	bitcoin above 70k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd5e3ba…
07-26 10:43:57	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8e85af…
07-26 08:47:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf3e82f…
07-26 06:25:43	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x044a27…
07-26 03:38:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x347560…
07-26 00:02:15	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9acb95…
07-25 21:45:16	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe83c36…
07-25 04:30:25	ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x314928…
07-25 01:22:58	ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x24b762…
07-24 16:48:28	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x311554…
07-24 16:44:22	bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf10e7e…
07-24 15:41:54	bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x29100c…
07-24 11:58:42	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8e4b22…
07-24 09:00:24	bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x77b870…
07-24 08:02:39	bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd9d313…
07-23 22:00:49	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x965937…
07-23 17:59:45	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6511fa…
07-23 02:13:49	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x46e17c…
07-23 01:47:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c4f70…
07-21 19:57:09	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa3d2c3…
07-21 19:54:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2def50…
07-21 16:58:00	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb11e1d…
07-21 01:46:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x82a499…
07-20 23:43:16	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x6af593…
07-20 21:57:54	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1e3644…
07-20 18:16:27	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd1ab9b…
07-20 00:55:12	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xd2e127…
07-19 18:50:18	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xbbcc9f…
07-17 07:40:27	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xfe8b84…
07-17 05:54:07	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x32eb1d…
07-10 17:37:50	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa81374…
07-04 17:06:17	will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3429cd…
06-06 17:32:55	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd30eae…
06-05 17:40:00	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x24c3e6…
06-01 11:51:14	Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x84b720…
06-01 07:42:09	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe7269a…
06-01 01:11:44	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6d45a9…
05-31 13:17:07	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xfde8e9…
05-30 19:10:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6f8df1…
05-30 16:08:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa6491e…
05-30 14:49:46	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x5666c3…
05-30 04:54:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x87b6f9…
05-29 15:20:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc3fe52…
05-29 04:27:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3cb7bf…
05-29 04:13:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3b6619…
05-29 04:13:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x37f684…
05-29 04:06:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33f6da…
05-29 04:02:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe3bced…
05-29 00:16:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7e24df…
05-26 16:37:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xee2310…
05-26 03:35:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2d23a5…
05-26 03:11:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5bd62e…
05-25 20:45:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1fdc53…
05-25 12:55:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1777d0…
05-25 10:26:35	Will "Passenger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xabe339…
05-25 04:41:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x383bb6…
05-25 02:21:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcb564a…
05-24 23:00:05	Will "Passenger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb7f0c4…
05-21 11:36:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe99b20…
05-21 07:00:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xced328…
05-19 19:31:59	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1a68b4…
05-19 11:07:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2938ee…
05-18 22:20:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x11ba54…
05-18 19:56:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2a417c…
05-16 15:26:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3af1a1…
05-16 05:47:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x10d7e6…
05-15 02:46:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f191a…
05-13 09:44:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x02a994…
05-12 14:31:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x04d9b5…
05-11 03:14:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa59a39…
05-10 22:31:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfcc0e2…
05-10 17:33:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd07952…
05-10 06:53:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc359d2…
05-08 21:01:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x96ec25…
05-07 18:32:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8b68a6…
05-04 09:18:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa29b6d…
05-01 22:53:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf847bf…
05-01 10:23:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x44183d…