Lumpy-Victory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$2.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-21 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$0

Crypto

40% 100% +$0

Politics

7% — —

Sports

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	4	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	07-21 01:46
will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	4	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	04-19 15:01
bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	3	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	07-21 19:57
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-16 23:57
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 00:00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	02-15 12:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-30 19:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	2	$36	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 22:31
highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 23c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-23 19:38
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 19 2026 36c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 14:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-21 11:36
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 23 2026 19c	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 19:39
highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 68 69f	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 07:49
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 19	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 14:50
highest temperature in atlanta on april 20 2026 82 83f	5	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C or below on April 25?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 21:01
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 22 2026 37corhigher	3	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 00:43
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 00:02
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 33corhigher	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 14:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-08 21:01
will babydoll dominic fike be the 1 song on us spotify this week 488	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-17 02:51
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 19c	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-20 02:34
Will "Passenger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-25 10:26
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-31 13:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 15:26
highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 18corbelow	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 08:02
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 92 93f	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 01:05
bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	07-20 00:55
will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	07-17 07:40
bitcoin above 80k on april 21	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-21 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 19:57:09	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa3d2c3…
07-21 19:54:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2def50…
07-21 16:58:00	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb11e1d…
07-21 01:46:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x82a499…
07-20 23:43:16	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x6af593…
07-20 21:57:54	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1e3644…
07-20 18:16:27	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd1ab9b…
07-20 00:55:12	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xd2e127…
07-19 18:50:18	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xbbcc9f…
07-17 07:40:27	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xfe8b84…
07-17 05:54:07	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x32eb1d…
07-10 17:37:50	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa81374…
07-04 17:06:17	will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3429cd…
06-06 17:32:55	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd30eae…
06-05 17:40:00	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x24c3e6…
06-01 11:51:14	Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x84b720…
06-01 07:42:09	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe7269a…
06-01 01:11:44	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6d45a9…
05-31 13:17:07	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xfde8e9…
05-30 19:10:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6f8df1…
05-30 16:08:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa6491e…
05-30 14:49:46	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x5666c3…
05-30 04:54:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x87b6f9…
05-29 15:20:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc3fe52…
05-29 04:27:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3cb7bf…
05-29 04:13:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3b6619…
05-29 04:13:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x37f684…
05-29 04:06:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33f6da…
05-29 04:02:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe3bced…
05-29 00:16:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7e24df…
05-26 16:37:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xee2310…
05-26 03:35:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2d23a5…
05-26 03:11:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5bd62e…
05-25 20:45:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1fdc53…
05-25 12:55:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1777d0…
05-25 10:26:35	Will "Passenger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xabe339…
05-25 04:41:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x383bb6…
05-25 02:21:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcb564a…
05-24 23:00:05	Will "Passenger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb7f0c4…
05-21 11:36:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe99b20…
05-21 07:00:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xced328…
05-19 19:31:59	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1a68b4…
05-19 11:07:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2938ee…
05-18 22:20:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x11ba54…
05-18 19:56:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2a417c…
05-16 15:26:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3af1a1…
05-16 05:47:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x10d7e6…
05-15 02:46:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f191a…
05-13 09:44:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x02a994…
05-12 14:31:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x04d9b5…
05-11 03:14:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa59a39…
05-10 22:31:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfcc0e2…
05-10 17:33:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd07952…
05-10 06:53:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc359d2…
05-08 21:01:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x96ec25…
05-07 18:32:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8b68a6…
05-04 09:18:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa29b6d…
05-01 22:53:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf847bf…
05-01 10:23:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x44183d…
04-30 22:52:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x66d1ca…
04-30 16:40:26	Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3b919e…
04-30 00:02:38	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x653b27…
04-29 14:00:20	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xbc14e5…
04-29 10:07:52	Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc4b651…
04-27 14:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedaa70…
04-27 12:24:32	Will "The Travellers" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadd23e…
04-27 06:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on April 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x48aa29…
04-26 12:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xef7d11…
04-26 08:10:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0fa0d…
04-26 07:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5c39e8…
04-24 22:39:32	Will XRP reach $1.55 on April 24?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x28ae15…
04-24 21:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C or below on April 25?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa18d34…
04-24 19:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xcdf29c…
04-24 18:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdce787…
04-24 16:56:38	highest temperature in denver on april 24 2026 78 79f	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8dc8a8…
04-24 16:53:04	highest temperature in denver on april 24 2026 78 79f	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x969cd0…
04-24 15:43:00	highest temperature in wuhan on april 24 2026 24c	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3cf34d…
04-24 13:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc7ccd2…
04-24 11:05:06	highest temperature in denver on april 24 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6f6058…
04-24 09:26:38	highest temperature in wuhan on april 24 2026 24c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7be800…
04-24 08:02:08	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 18corbelow	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x184930…
04-24 06:59:32	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4eb33f…
04-24 05:47:18	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 20c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6695ad…
04-23 19:41:56	will solana reach 100 on april 23	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa9c656…
04-23 19:41:22	will solana reach 100 on april 23	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa7ee0c…
04-23 19:39:28	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 23 2026 19c	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x127e82…
04-23 19:38:04	highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 23c	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x08f32f…
04-23 13:23:24	will solana reach 100 on april 23	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xab78a4…
04-23 08:18:06	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 23 2026 19c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x28598a…
04-23 01:53:04	highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 23c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6b3a65…
04-22 23:49:46	highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 25corhigher	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa84b7e…
04-22 21:24:34	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 20c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf8fdaf…
04-22 19:36:08	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on april 23	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb15f98…
04-22 18:20:54	ethereum above 2800 on april 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d883f…
04-22 14:17:30	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 33corhigher	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0xae2c81…
04-22 09:07:40	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 33corhigher	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x194378…
04-22 08:21:32	highest temperature in paris on april 22 2026 16c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd49d8…
04-22 01:45:44	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 12c	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0bcb91…
04-22 01:45:04	highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 17corbelow	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd77e1b…
04-22 01:29:02	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 12c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe910cd…