Shabby-Ginger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

339

Trades

636

lifetime

Volume

$8.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$23

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-30 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

77% 85% -$5

Crypto

13% 82% +$1

Politics

7% 88% +$0

Sports

2% 56% +$0

Tech

1% 83% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	$0	10-28 14:40
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+10	$9	100¢	$9	$0	10-30 17:06
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+3	$3	100¢	$3	$0	10-05 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$99	49	49	+0	No	+$0	04-13 04:28
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 11?	5	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	05-11 11:32
Will Darren Millar be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	4	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	05-08 13:50
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	03-12 13:23
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 19c	1	$65	65	0	+65	Yes	+$0	04-01 10:51
nvda above 180 on april 3 2026	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	04-03 05:49
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-08 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-07 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-17 11:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 29	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	03-29 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 9?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-08 22:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 15?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-15 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-16 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 17?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-17 11:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on May 4?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-04 13:50
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on May 6?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-05 21:41
ethereum above 2300 on april 5	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$0	04-05 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C or below on May 5?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-04 21:21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on May 7?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-06 16:09
Will Tim Ryan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-05 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 16?	2	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	05-15 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 6?	2	$52	28	24	+5	No	+$0	05-05 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 4?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-04 01:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 10?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-10 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 16?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-16 01:51
ethereum above 1800 on april 2	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	04-02 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 16?	3	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-16 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 6?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-05 23:28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 53°F or below on May 8?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-07 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 1?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-01 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:06:10	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xf32597…
10-28 14:40:31	Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4bbd8e…
10-20 07:36:10	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x49d5e2…
10-14 12:17:59	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x15e292…
10-14 12:17:08	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x292730…
10-14 12:16:16	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6abcd1…
10-05 08:50:46	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x940f91…
09-24 06:02:27	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa5f526…
09-11 15:02:48	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfbbc50…
09-02 08:56:16	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x803619…
08-28 15:06:52	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1373b7…
08-26 07:58:00	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb523bb…
08-11 17:30:12	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x494bce…
08-06 18:16:20	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x138da6…
07-27 20:29:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7e50b3…
07-21 01:54:31	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1dc6a9…
07-18 21:31:40	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x4531f5…
07-15 05:43:29	Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc17b55…
07-13 10:17:47	Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3f9715…
07-04 19:13:13	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9877b1…
06-30 11:46:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x999b96…
06-26 06:04:44	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6a234a…
06-20 21:34:13	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa39a40…
06-18 18:25:58	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x257628…
06-18 18:25:04	Will Beatriz Haddad Maia be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xea9aa4…
06-18 16:55:43	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x39948b…
06-04 13:19:12	Will Beatriz Haddad Maia be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdd5b5c…
05-18 12:07:46	Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x42cee9…
05-17 11:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0f9060…
05-17 11:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x769c07…
05-17 11:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0x81295e…
05-17 11:48:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 17?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x95e34a…
05-17 11:47:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6192ca…
05-17 11:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 17?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xfa0170…
05-17 08:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7ab0ff…
05-17 06:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6fa53…
05-17 06:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xae3111…
05-17 04:41:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe6ee07…
05-17 03:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x55519b…
05-17 02:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x645650…
05-17 01:13:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa7597e…
05-17 00:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2158bb…
05-16 22:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x360258…
05-16 22:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x91c928…
05-16 21:16:34	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd23d7c…
05-16 21:16:34	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x94f10d…
05-16 19:19:06	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa2ce3d…
05-16 17:55:17	Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9bfe2b…
05-16 17:55:10	Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf8d185…
05-16 15:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1cc10d…
05-16 13:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x498021…
05-16 11:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3eeeec…
05-16 11:17:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2e9978…
05-16 11:06:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c75c6…
05-16 09:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 16?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd06569…
05-16 09:11:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbc42db…
05-16 06:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x75652f…
05-16 06:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2764fe…
05-16 06:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x66f60b…
05-16 05:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4e3896…
05-16 04:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9a88af…
05-16 02:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 16?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaa8915…
05-16 01:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x73ee62…
05-16 01:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdc0e3e…
05-16 01:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 16?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xa8a66a…
05-16 00:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc3b719…
05-16 00:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3ba3bb…
05-16 00:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9818f6…
05-15 23:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0e84ac…
05-15 23:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3ea4fa…
05-15 21:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa7f966…
05-15 19:13:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x58a696…
05-15 18:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x32d2bc…
05-15 17:54:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x006209…
05-15 13:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xd56f48…
05-15 13:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x306e7a…
05-15 10:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1dfee2…
05-15 10:33:44	Will Australia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf70433…
05-15 10:13:00	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaa495b…
05-15 10:08:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf6ecf0…
05-15 09:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7032d9…
05-15 09:33:06	Will Australia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe11f14…
05-15 09:31:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4b0c06…
05-15 09:29:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa4a010…
05-15 07:57:47	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf8adc8…
05-15 06:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6dcf1d…
05-15 04:10:26	Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7c7391…
05-15 03:17:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9c9850…
05-14 23:31:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1e20a1…
05-14 22:38:50	Will Australia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x853f91…
05-14 20:48:19	Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4f2e0c…
05-14 20:09:34	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe2f8b7…
05-14 18:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa4f650…
05-14 18:25:23	Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe48a3f…
05-14 18:23:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3bec73…
05-14 17:24:27	Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x29dd3d…
05-14 16:01:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x71779f…
05-14 15:34:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaac0f2…
05-14 14:49:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6f538c…
05-14 14:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xffcfb8…