Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?
open
Total volume
$10,106
Trades
22
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$10,675
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-16 14:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $59 | — | +$59 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $8.5K | — | +$8.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $1.3K | — | +$1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 9 | $8.7K | — | +$8.7K |
| Below median | 5 | $216 | — | +$216 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $481 | — | +$481 |
| unranked | 4 | $416 | — | +$416 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big-Hearted-Cousin 0xe6b1…9fdd | Yes | +5,689 | $5,684 | $5,684 | 1 | 05-16 14:31 |
| Leading-Pitcher 0xdeb2…9aa8 | Yes | +1,400 | $1,399 | $1,399 | 1 | 05-16 14:41 |
| Monumental-Congressperson 0x27d8…d41f | Yes | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 05-16 14:31 |
| Cheap-Pie 0x902f…ca98 | Yes | +564 | $563 | $563 | 1 | 05-16 08:46 |
| Polished-Episode 0xeea6…135f | Yes | +422 | $422 | $422 | 1 | 05-16 13:21 |
| Runny-Sail 0x1ec8…fa30 | Yes | +398 | $398 | $398 | 1 | 05-16 09:05 |
| Hidden-Serval 0xfb4e…37ec | Yes | +70 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-16 13:59 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-11 13:13 |
| Recent-Need 0x1589…4579 | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 13:49 |
| Embarrassed-Dhow 0x5615…5e8c | Yes | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-16 13:34 |
| Impossible-Pinto 0xe19a…f4bc | Yes | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-16 11:55 |
| Potable-Flipflops 0x1955…bacd | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 11:18 |
| Marvelous-Club 0x7ae8…57d5 | Yes | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-15 16:26 |
| Dependent-Antler 0x2e69…908e | Yes | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 07:51 |
| Shy-Disruption 0xf328…5353 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 21:28 |
| Insignificant-Ramie 0xad3c…bf18 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 11:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 14:41:49 | Leading-Pitcher 0xdeb2…9aa8 | Yes | BUY | 1,400 | 100¢ | $1,399 | 0x805198… |
| 05-16 14:31:37 | Monumental-Congressperson 0x27d8…d41f | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x3b4289… |
| 05-16 14:31:37 | Feminine-Duckling 0x79b0…4678 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xdee543… |
| 05-16 14:31:21 | Feminine-Duckling 0x79b0…4678 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xdc3e11… |
| 05-16 14:31:16 | Big-Hearted-Cousin 0xe6b1…9fdd | Yes | BUY | 5,689 | 100¢ | $5,684 | 0x2ac741… |
| 05-16 14:10:54 | Smug-Fraction 0x1781…e20a | Yes | SELL | 67 | 100¢ | $67 | 0xb9eb39… |
| 05-16 13:59:42 | Hidden-Serval 0xfb4e…37ec | Yes | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x7496fe… |
| 05-16 13:49:59 | Recent-Need 0x1589…4579 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xbe337a… |
| 05-16 13:34:18 | Embarrassed-Dhow 0x5615…5e8c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xf8c6f3… |
| 05-16 13:21:28 | Polished-Episode 0xeea6…135f | Yes | BUY | 422 | 100¢ | $422 | 0xcf7d3b… |
| 05-16 13:16:08 | Stupendous-Algorithm 0x7db9…37b8 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 100¢ | $86 | 0xbc7af4… |
| 05-16 13:15:57 | Stupendous-Algorithm 0x7db9…37b8 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 100¢ | $86 | 0x07fa75… |
| 05-16 12:21:32 | Tepid-Thunderbolt-Poster 0x4979…afd8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xbb91e7… |
| 05-16 11:55:53 | Impossible-Pinto 0xe19a…f4bc | Yes | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x6ce6c1… |
| 05-16 11:18:21 | Potable-Flipflops 0x1955…bacd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xbb8ff8… |
| 05-16 11:06:34 | Insignificant-Ramie 0xad3c…bf18 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0c75c6… |
| 05-16 09:05:11 | Runny-Sail 0x1ec8…fa30 | Yes | BUY | 398 | 100¢ | $398 | 0x7f4b22… |
| 05-16 08:46:32 | Cheap-Pie 0x902f…ca98 | Yes | BUY | 564 | 100¢ | $563 | 0x966d1b… |
| 05-16 07:51:23 | Dependent-Antler 0x2e69…908e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xdbe735… |
| 05-15 21:28:46 | Shy-Disruption 0xf328…5353 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcd79e0… |
| 05-15 16:26:52 | Marvelous-Club 0x7ae8…57d5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x5e6562… |
| 05-11 13:13:01 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xf8d00a… |