Smug-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.9%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-28 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 30% +$1

Other

34% 0% $-0

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	6	$444	222	222	+0	open	—	04-23 15:15
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	6	$427	214	214	+0	open	—	04-21 15:48
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	6	$426	214	213	+0	open	—	04-22 15:43
will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	4	$276	138	138	+0	open	—	04-19 15:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	4	$255	128	128	+0	open	—	05-31 07:33
will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	4	$245	122	122	+0	open	—	06-06 14:32
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	4	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	06-06 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	3	$211	141	70	+71	Yes	+$0	05-05 12:20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	3	$209	140	69	+71	open	—	05-16 14:03
bitcoin above 76k on april 23	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	04-23 15:16
bitcoin above 80k on april 23	2	$153	77	77	+0	open	—	04-23 15:17
will xrp reach 1pt65 on april 23	2	$153	77	77	+0	open	—	04-23 15:19
will xrp dip to 1pt2 on april 23	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	04-23 15:20
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 15corbelow	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	04-23 15:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 24c	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	04-23 15:22
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 14c	2	$151	76	76	+0	open	—	04-23 15:23
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 22c	2	$151	76	76	+0	open	—	04-23 15:23
ethereum above 2400 on april 22	2	$151	78	78	+0	open	—	04-22 16:00
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 62 63f	2	$151	76	76	+0	open	—	04-23 15:23
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$151	75	75	+0	open	—	04-25 09:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	04-26 10:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	04-26 10:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	2	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	04-26 10:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	2	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	04-26 10:58
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	2	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	04-19 14:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	2	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	04-21 15:47
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	2	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	04-26 11:00
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	04-19 15:05
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$149	74	74	+0	open	—	04-19 15:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	2	$149	74	74	+0	open	—	04-25 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 08:15:50	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xb23fe8…
06-28 08:15:40	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xfa86ea…
06-28 08:15:16	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x72cdc2…
06-28 08:15:11	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x573ab1…
06-28 08:14:55	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xb9aa31…
06-28 08:14:49	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xc0afa8…
06-27 08:24:10	ethereum above 1700 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xa17c69…
06-27 08:24:04	ethereum above 1700 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf5a441…
06-27 08:23:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x79895f…
06-27 08:23:32	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf538ac…
06-27 08:23:17	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xb9df19…
06-27 08:23:11	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xd3092b…
06-21 10:34:52	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xd25c7e…
06-21 10:34:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xdc8f66…
06-21 10:33:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x69d4b4…
06-21 10:33:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xc0d64b…
06-20 08:30:19	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x894a73…
06-20 08:29:58	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$59	0x8d995f…
06-20 08:29:38	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x35662f…
06-20 08:29:32	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x967058…
06-19 11:18:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xe94da6…
06-19 11:17:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x699d49…
06-09 14:27:51	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x8167bd…
06-09 14:27:33	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc07192…
06-09 14:27:04	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x4affb4…
06-09 14:26:46	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x648cb5…
06-09 14:26:31	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x490a76…
06-09 14:26:27	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x35a459…
06-07 08:05:03	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x1afb4f…
06-07 08:04:45	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xa5cdd8…
06-07 08:04:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xb23ed6…
06-07 08:04:24	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x0e90bf…
06-07 08:04:13	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xd14eea…
06-07 08:04:07	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xc83fd8…
06-06 14:34:13	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb74508…
06-06 14:34:07	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xa90218…
06-06 14:32:49	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x36753d…
06-06 14:32:34	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x638226…
06-06 14:32:16	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf4e05b…
06-06 14:32:04	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x368a79…
06-06 14:27:12	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf34360…
06-06 14:26:57	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x821511…
06-06 14:26:25	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x948520…
06-06 14:26:19	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x17e2e0…
06-06 14:26:07	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xcadf2b…
06-06 14:26:01	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x59b5f3…
06-06 14:25:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$61	0x37648b…
06-06 14:25:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x7d0518…
06-01 14:32:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xb884c2…
06-01 14:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x371625…
06-01 14:32:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xbe9fe4…
06-01 14:32:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xa891f8…
05-31 07:37:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 31?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xd2114c…
05-31 07:37:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 31?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x22e9e1…
05-31 07:34:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x8925ce…
05-31 07:34:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xfa273e…
05-31 07:34:16	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xc42571…
05-31 07:34:09	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x40c9ee…
05-31 07:33:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xec6e39…
05-31 07:33:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xf9128d…
05-30 09:43:38	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x004b14…
05-30 09:43:22	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x3d904c…
05-30 09:35:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x17283a…
05-30 09:35:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x8e93c8…
05-30 09:34:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x993dc3…
05-30 09:34:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xc4fb4c…
05-30 09:33:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x09e36e…
05-30 09:33:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x17e3fc…
05-30 09:33:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x92fb47…
05-30 09:33:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc5e549…
05-24 09:40:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x8b0b49…
05-24 09:40:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xb8a3a3…
05-24 09:39:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$65	0xe4b4b6…
05-24 09:39:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xfaf9c3…
05-22 14:39:02	Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x2cb3b2…
05-22 14:38:55	Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xaa474e…
05-22 14:37:06	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x5fca0b…
05-22 14:36:47	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xd446a9…
05-18 15:56:15	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x58a29f…
05-18 15:56:00	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xfa45b9…
05-18 15:55:44	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xbd2bca…
05-18 15:55:37	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x057b09…
05-18 15:55:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x938683…
05-18 15:55:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xc45a80…
05-17 14:24:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x746933…
05-17 14:24:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x428243…
05-17 14:24:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x9e69a4…
05-17 14:24:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x5315c7…
05-17 14:23:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$66	0xf952b3…
05-17 14:23:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xb29af8…
05-16 14:11:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x6dd86d…
05-16 14:11:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x5b4fb8…
05-16 14:11:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x2be7f0…
05-16 14:11:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xfe2000…
05-16 14:10:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xb9eb39…
05-16 14:10:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x9278a9…
05-16 14:10:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x1d5f7f…
05-16 14:10:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xbe0796…
05-16 14:10:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x973d89…
05-16 14:09:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x2a8ac0…