Smug-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

546 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$35.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-05 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% -$12

Crypto

46% 13% +$7

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	6	$444	222	222	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:15
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	6	$427	214	214	+0	No	$0	04-21 15:48
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	6	$426	214	213	+0	No	$0	04-22 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$283	142	142	+0	No	$0	05-05 11:31
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$283	142	142	+0	No	$0	05-05 11:31
Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?	4	$282	141	141	+0	No	$0	05-05 11:28
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$280	140	140	+0	No	$0	05-16 14:03
will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	4	$276	138	138	+0	No	$0	04-19 15:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	4	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	05-31 07:33
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	4	$250	126	126	+0	No	$0	06-09 14:27
will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	4	$245	122	122	+0	No	$0	06-06 14:32
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	4	$242	121	121	+0	No	$0	06-06 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	3	$211	141	70	+71	Yes	+$0	05-05 12:20
bitcoin above 76k on april 23	2	$154	77	77	+0	Yes	$0	04-23 15:16
bitcoin above 80k on april 23	2	$153	77	77	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:17
will xrp reach 1pt65 on april 23	2	$153	77	77	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:19
will xrp dip to 1pt2 on april 23	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:20
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 15corbelow	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 24c	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:22
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 14c	2	$151	76	76	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:23
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 22c	2	$151	76	76	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:23
ethereum above 2400 on april 22	2	$151	78	78	+0	Yes	+$3	04-22 16:00
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 62 63f	2	$151	76	76	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:23
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$151	75	75	+0	No	+$0	04-25 09:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	2	$150	75	75	+0	Yes	$0	04-26 10:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	2	$150	75	75	+0	No	$0	04-26 10:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	2	$149	75	75	+0	No	$0	04-26 10:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	2	$149	75	75	+0	No	$0	04-26 10:58
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	2	$149	75	75	+0	No	$0	04-19 14:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	2	$149	75	75	+0	No	$0	04-21 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 08:15:40	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x1c831f…
07-05 08:15:32	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x2a03ff…
07-05 08:11:53	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xdff79d…
07-05 08:11:44	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x5873d0…
07-05 08:11:25	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x39597c…
07-05 08:11:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x5fea4d…
07-04 08:04:46	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x4d0bfa…
07-04 08:04:34	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xfebc5c…
07-04 08:03:01	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xd68f24…
07-04 08:02:44	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xdaa165…
07-04 08:02:25	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xd8cc40…
07-04 08:02:02	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x846e8f…
07-04 08:01:37	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$58	0x683a34…
07-04 08:01:25	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$58	0x0d715e…
07-04 08:00:53	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$58	0x74ecaf…
07-04 08:00:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x63f00e…
06-28 08:15:50	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xb23fe8…
06-28 08:15:40	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xfa86ea…
06-28 08:15:16	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x72cdc2…
06-28 08:15:11	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x573ab1…
06-28 08:14:55	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xb9aa31…
06-28 08:14:49	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xc0afa8…
06-27 08:24:10	ethereum above 1700 on june 27 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xa17c69…
06-27 08:24:04	ethereum above 1700 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf5a441…
06-27 08:23:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x79895f…
06-27 08:23:32	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf538ac…
06-27 08:23:17	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xb9df19…
06-27 08:23:11	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xd3092b…
06-21 10:34:52	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xd25c7e…
06-21 10:34:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xdc8f66…
06-21 10:33:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x69d4b4…
06-21 10:33:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xc0d64b…
06-20 08:32:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x87e4a1…
06-20 08:32:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0aec2b…
06-20 08:31:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x7ff388…
06-20 08:31:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x0c388b…
06-20 08:30:19	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x894a73…
06-20 08:29:58	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$59	0x8d995f…
06-20 08:29:38	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x35662f…
06-20 08:29:32	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x967058…
06-19 11:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x07d809…
06-19 11:20:35	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa779ac…
06-19 11:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x35ce82…
06-19 11:20:02	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc69b96…
06-19 11:19:44	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x7eb514…
06-19 11:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9dd7f0…
06-19 11:19:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xcf7faa…
06-19 11:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x708504…
06-19 11:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xda4451…
06-19 11:18:38	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xb38923…
06-19 11:18:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xe94da6…
06-19 11:17:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x699d49…
06-09 14:27:51	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x8167bd…
06-09 14:27:33	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc07192…
06-09 14:27:04	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x4affb4…
06-09 14:26:46	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x648cb5…
06-09 14:26:31	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x490a76…
06-09 14:26:27	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x35a459…
06-07 08:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xa7ddda…
06-07 08:07:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x8b481c…
06-07 08:07:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x6e2260…
06-07 08:07:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xb1516d…
06-07 08:07:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$60	0xbe95df…
06-07 08:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xdd97ab…
06-07 08:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x83fefa…
06-07 08:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x04e327…
06-07 08:05:03	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x1afb4f…
06-07 08:04:45	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xa5cdd8…
06-07 08:04:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xb23ed6…
06-07 08:04:24	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x0e90bf…
06-07 08:04:13	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xd14eea…
06-07 08:04:07	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xc83fd8…
06-06 14:35:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 6?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xc965d6…
06-06 14:35:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 6?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xa24d0f…
06-06 14:34:13	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb74508…
06-06 14:34:07	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xa90218…
06-06 14:32:49	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x36753d…
06-06 14:32:34	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x638226…
06-06 14:32:16	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf4e05b…
06-06 14:32:04	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x368a79…
06-06 14:27:12	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf34360…
06-06 14:26:57	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x821511…
06-06 14:26:25	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x948520…
06-06 14:26:19	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x17e2e0…
06-06 14:26:07	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xcadf2b…
06-06 14:26:01	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x59b5f3…
06-06 14:25:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$61	0x37648b…
06-06 14:25:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x7d0518…
06-01 14:32:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xb884c2…
06-01 14:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x371625…
06-01 14:32:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xbe9fe4…
06-01 14:32:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xa891f8…
05-31 07:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C on June 1?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xbc0256…
05-31 07:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x552cd5…
05-31 07:46:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on June 1?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x05b707…
05-31 07:46:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on June 1?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x50f07d…
05-31 07:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on June 1?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xb5808b…
05-31 07:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on June 1?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x256f16…
05-31 07:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on June 1?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x8e8a0a…
05-31 07:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on June 1?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x8ae4f0…