Complicated-Declaration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.0%

Resolved

320

Trades

672

lifetime

Volume

$46.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 07-05 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 8% -$9

Other

40% 0% -$13

Politics

4% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	6	$470	235	235	+0	No	$0	04-12 08:46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	6	$469	235	235	+0	No	$0	04-25 08:56
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	6	$356	179	179	+0	No	$0	06-21 10:27
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	4	$353	177	177	+0	No	$0	03-29 12:40
will bitcoin dip to 63k on april 1	4	$340	170	170	+0	No	$0	04-01 15:43
will bitcoin reach 80k april 6 12	4	$323	162	162	+0	No	$0	04-12 08:42
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	4	$322	161	161	+0	No	$0	04-11 14:07
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on april 10	4	$321	161	161	+0	No	$0	04-10 14:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	4	$312	156	156	+0	No	$0	04-23 15:41
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	4	$306	153	153	+0	No	$0	04-18 08:01
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$285	143	143	+0	No	$0	05-16 13:37
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	4	$285	143	143	+0	No	$0	04-19 11:23
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$272	136	136	+0	No	$0	05-16 13:45
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$271	136	136	+0	No	$0	05-16 13:46
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	4	$271	136	136	+0	No	$0	05-16 13:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	4	$229	114	114	+0	No	$0	07-05 08:02
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$182	91	91	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:46
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	2	$182	91	91	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:48
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	2	$181	91	91	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:48
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$181	91	91	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:49
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	2	$181	91	91	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:54
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$181	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:55
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:56
will solana reach 130 in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:56
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:57
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 29	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:57
ethereum above 1800 on march 29	2	$180	90	90	+0	Yes	$0	03-29 11:58
will xrp reach 2 in march 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:59
will seoul have less than 30mm of precipitation in march	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-29 12:00
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-29 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 08:03:07	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x15ecd7…
07-05 08:02:55	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xbf9f95…
07-05 08:02:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x7e47ea…
07-05 08:02:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xaa8e54…
07-05 08:02:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x29f387…
07-05 08:01:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x3cb936…
07-05 08:01:08	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x63ab49…
07-05 08:01:02	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x6639f7…
07-05 08:00:41	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xf19f42…
07-05 08:00:35	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x4c5efd…
07-04 07:49:37	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$57	0xca3784…
07-04 07:49:26	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$57	0x2dbf0f…
07-04 07:46:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$57	0x7a056f…
07-04 07:46:43	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x5f4623…
07-04 07:44:14	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xe89d6f…
07-04 07:43:44	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x4e5231…
07-04 07:43:02	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x762b3b…
07-04 07:42:52	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xd55d2f…
06-28 08:08:20	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x70e238…
06-28 08:08:10	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x908c06…
06-28 08:08:02	will ethereum reach 2400 in june 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x0743e7…
06-28 08:07:58	will ethereum reach 2400 in june 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x314f35…
06-28 08:07:41	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x4bfcb5…
06-28 08:07:37	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xe4637e…
06-27 08:19:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xd0b2bc…
06-27 08:19:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x456230…
06-27 08:19:28	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x9855dd…
06-27 08:19:13	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x829920…
06-27 08:18:53	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x5d1db9…
06-27 08:18:47	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x9a63c6…
06-21 10:27:16	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xb01dc1…
06-21 10:27:10	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x7ead2a…
06-21 10:25:40	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x8ab954…
06-21 10:25:34	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x63d36b…
06-21 10:24:25	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x195d9e…
06-21 10:24:19	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xcdba05…
06-20 08:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C or higher on June 21?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xdd8fb8…
06-20 08:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x281a65…
06-20 08:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xbba2f5…
06-20 08:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x7e9d15…
06-20 08:18:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x32ee97…
06-20 08:18:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xbc573e…
06-20 08:17:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x16e5c5…
06-20 08:17:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x042203…
06-20 08:15:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x7a5045…
06-20 08:15:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xe22c8f…
06-20 08:15:26	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x689b1b…
06-20 08:15:20	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xff968f…
06-19 10:58:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x1c1f98…
06-19 10:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x8bc033…
06-19 10:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x550b72…
06-19 10:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xb53e90…
06-19 10:57:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x72e39c…
06-19 10:56:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xd24397…
06-19 10:56:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x007d3e…
06-19 10:56:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xc862db…
06-19 10:56:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x735efc…
06-19 10:56:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$59	0x731a14…
06-19 10:55:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0xe829b2…
06-19 10:55:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xbc98d9…
06-19 10:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x44759c…
06-19 10:55:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x5c4d38…
06-19 10:53:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 19?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe32cf6…
06-19 10:53:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 19?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x500a22…
06-19 10:51:56	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 19	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x67bc86…
06-19 10:51:16	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 19	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xef33ae…
06-19 10:50:56	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 19	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2f2dce…
06-19 10:50:41	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 19	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x69f092…
06-19 10:50:28	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 19	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xf4941f…
06-19 10:50:19	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 19	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7938f7…
06-09 14:22:45	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xb05608…
06-09 14:22:30	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xaba038…
06-09 14:22:03	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x88f895…
06-09 14:21:58	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9c501b…
06-07 07:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x76825a…
06-07 07:48:33	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x99f838…
06-07 07:47:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xa3c0a6…
06-07 07:47:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x109ac8…
06-07 07:47:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x8b070d…
06-07 07:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x7aafe1…
06-07 07:46:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x60cf3d…
06-07 07:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xb17aaa…
06-07 07:46:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xb14ded…
06-07 07:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x73a1bd…
06-07 07:45:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x6e9355…
06-07 07:45:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0038bd…
06-07 07:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x647357…
06-07 07:44:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xf08a91…
06-07 07:44:37	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x0e14c5…
06-07 07:44:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0xcacd3b…
06-07 07:44:19	will ethereum dip to 1250 on june 7	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x9c63d5…
06-07 07:44:12	will ethereum dip to 1250 on june 7	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x36456e…
06-07 07:43:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 7?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xb50b9d…
06-07 07:43:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 7?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x341377…
06-07 07:42:40	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xe6a979…
06-07 07:42:36	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x41e759…
06-07 07:42:24	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x6f053e…
06-07 07:42:19	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe3c6fe…
06-07 07:42:09	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x44cc1a…
06-07 07:42:01	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x65e1c2…