Waterlogged-Loggia-Ravioli — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.6%

Resolved

345

Trades

751

lifetime

Volume

$54.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 07-05 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 5% -$15

Other

46% 0% -$13

Politics

3% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	10	$776	389	389	+0	No	$0	04-25 08:44
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	6	$528	265	265	+0	No	$0	03-25 13:41
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	6	$457	229	229	+0	No	$0	04-12 08:26
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	6	$418	209	209	+0	No	$0	04-19 11:11
will l hoi trung be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$379	190	190	+0	No	$0	03-21 15:02
will pierre chain win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	4	$376	188	188	+0	No	$0	03-21 15:13
bitcoin above 72k on march 21	4	$374	187	187	+0	No	$0	03-21 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	4	$371	186	186	+0	No	$0	03-21 15:57
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$369	185	185	+0	No	$0	03-22 09:36
will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$360	180	180	+0	No	$0	03-22 10:37
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	4	$359	180	180	+0	No	$0	03-23 15:08
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	4	$345	173	173	+0	No	$0	03-26 14:12
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	4	$337	169	169	+0	No	$0	03-26 14:17
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	4	$337	169	169	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:12
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	4	$337	169	169	+0	No	$0	03-26 14:17
will ethereum dip to 1300 march 30 april 5	4	$322	161	161	+0	No	$0	04-02 15:22
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?	4	$313	157	157	+0	No	$0	04-18 07:43
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?	4	$313	157	157	+0	No	$0	04-16 15:53
ethereum above 2400 on april 12	4	$313	157	157	+0	No	$0	04-12 08:09
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	4	$312	156	156	+0	No	$0	04-12 08:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	4	$310	155	155	+0	No	$0	04-19 11:02
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	4	$301	151	151	+0	No	$0	04-12 08:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$270	136	136	+0	No	$0	05-16 13:25
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 460 479	4	$265	133	133	+0	No	$0	04-19 11:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	4	$241	121	121	+0	Yes	$0	05-31 07:02
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	4	$240	121	121	+0	No	$0	06-09 14:20
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	2	$189	95	95	+0	No	$0	03-21 15:04
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	2	$189	95	95	+0	Yes	$0	03-21 15:05
will the democratic coalition dk win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$189	95	95	+0	No	$0	03-21 15:06
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	2	$188	94	94	+0	No	$0	03-21 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 07:58:08	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x20dd9a…
07-05 07:57:55	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x9be239…
07-05 07:57:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x2a8dbe…
07-05 07:57:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x3381cd…
07-05 07:56:49	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xd946ad…
07-05 07:56:43	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xef8ed4…
07-05 07:56:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xde9365…
07-05 07:56:01	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x39a709…
07-04 07:41:25	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xac2d6c…
07-04 07:41:19	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x45430c…
07-04 07:39:14	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xa000c6…
07-04 07:38:56	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xcd2d4a…
07-04 07:38:26	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x02ac77…
07-04 07:38:19	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xfd9ab2…
07-04 07:37:05	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x579015…
07-04 07:36:59	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc01e1c…
06-28 08:06:53	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x685156…
06-28 08:06:49	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x97e109…
06-28 08:00:58	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x3776e5…
06-28 08:00:53	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0x23ea29…
06-28 08:00:34	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0xa7759f…
06-28 08:00:26	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0x910ea4…
06-27 08:16:28	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x3fd6b8…
06-27 08:16:05	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x4843fc…
06-27 08:15:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x474f6b…
06-27 08:15:14	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x2e3773…
06-27 08:14:52	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x4d0381…
06-27 08:14:43	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x26873f…
06-21 10:20:53	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa1ecd9…
06-21 10:20:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc30930…
06-21 10:19:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xd2cc1a…
06-21 10:19:14	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x0ac53c…
06-20 08:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x053d9d…
06-20 08:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or below on June 21?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xbbd509…
06-20 08:11:52	Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xcdab10…
06-20 08:11:47	Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x845f25…
06-20 08:11:20	Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xaed55b…
06-20 08:11:10	Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xc3a0c0…
06-20 08:10:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x614f95…
06-20 08:10:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xda739b…
06-20 08:09:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0xc35f06…
06-20 08:08:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x12d080…
06-20 08:07:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x5a3e9e…
06-20 08:07:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x8746e9…
06-20 08:06:53	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	57	100¢	$56	0x5de543…
06-20 08:06:49	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$56	0x55d98b…
06-19 10:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$56	0xb3a428…
06-19 10:47:25	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x2c3816…
06-19 10:46:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x874489…
06-19 10:46:44	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x8ec243…
06-19 10:46:26	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xeb308f…
06-19 10:46:20	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x2525b6…
06-19 10:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x22db19…
06-19 10:45:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x7b4d86…
06-19 10:45:37	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x1ba084…
06-19 10:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x9ec2bb…
06-19 10:44:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xd5a627…
06-19 10:44:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x223724…
06-19 10:43:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xbb6d23…
06-19 10:43:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x929f4b…
06-19 10:43:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xeac55f…
06-19 10:43:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x382adb…
06-19 10:42:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x30d24b…
06-19 10:42:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0ea10d…
06-19 10:40:22	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 19	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xd2d006…
06-19 10:40:08	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 19	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x02d087…
06-19 10:39:46	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 19	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x74bbb4…
06-19 10:39:29	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 19	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x98f1af…
06-19 10:39:07	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 19	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x5f6e23…
06-19 10:38:55	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 19	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x1527cf…
06-09 14:20:34	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xabdff8…
06-09 14:20:27	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xefdf36…
06-09 14:19:45	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$57	0x7f1d4d…
06-09 14:19:39	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x0129ec…
06-07 07:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xaf694a…
06-07 07:38:21	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x711e47…
06-07 07:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xdc163c…
06-07 07:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x8cbed1…
06-07 07:37:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x8afda5…
06-07 07:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x9a01e2…
06-07 07:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x34d47a…
06-07 07:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0d790e…
06-07 07:36:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x5457a7…
06-07 07:36:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x2e4f01…
06-07 07:35:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x19d5c5…
06-07 07:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xe9ff37…
06-07 07:35:00	solana above 70 on june 7 2026	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x4b330c…
06-07 07:34:52	solana above 70 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x249256…
06-07 07:34:33	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x4f4642…
06-07 07:34:22	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xe40249…
06-07 07:34:15	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x5ee6a4…
06-07 07:34:09	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x3471dd…
06-07 07:33:49	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x13d3b0…
06-07 07:33:45	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xb15eda…
06-06 14:08:25	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x41a7e4…
06-06 14:08:21	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x37550a…
06-06 14:07:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 6?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x71d980…
06-06 14:07:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 6?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x9696ab…
06-06 14:07:18	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x7db710…
06-06 14:07:04	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa1cb20…