Excitable-Debt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

163

Trades

3,352

lifetime

Volume

$3.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-08 23:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 52% $-41

Other

5% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2200 on march 18	5	$35	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 15:03
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 70 71f	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	03-17 15:40
highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 15c	6	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	03-17 15:34
highest temperature in paris on march 17 2026 16c	2	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	03-17 15:28
sol updown 15m 1774510200	5	$19	34	13	+21	open	—	03-26 07:44
sol updown 15m 1774502100	4	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	03-26 05:29
ethereum up or down march 25 2026 7am et	3	$19	50	50	+0	open	—	03-25 11:49
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 17 2026 24c	3	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-17 14:39
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 9	8	$16	65	47	+17	open	—	03-10 02:49
btc updown 4h 1772427600	3	$16	100	100	+0	open	—	03-02 07:17
xrp above 1pt5 on march 16	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 12:47
btc updown 15m 1774210500	5	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 20:29
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$13	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 17:59
sol updown 15m 1774203300	3	$13	10	5	+5	open	—	03-22 18:29
btc updown 15m 1774504800	3	$12	13	6	+7	open	—	03-26 06:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$12	24	23	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 19:52
btc updown 15m 1774502100	3	$11	13	6	+7	open	—	03-26 05:26
sol updown 15m 1774499400	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 04:45
eth updown 15m 1774509300	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 07:28
btc updown 15m 1774503000	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 05:42
btc updown 15m 1774508400	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 07:14
btc updown 15m 1774499400	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 04:45
eth updown 15m 1774503000	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 05:43
eth updown 15m 1774215000	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-22 21:43
btc updown 15m 1774215000	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-22 21:41
sol updown 15m 1774215000	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-22 21:44
btc updown 15m 1774509300	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 07:28
sol updown 15m 1774503000	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 05:43
eth updown 15m 1774508400	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 07:14
sol updown 15m 1774509300	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 23:08:40	ethereum above 1600 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb4162b…
06-08 13:05:58	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x949286…
06-08 12:57:33	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x787224…
06-08 12:54:37	ethereum above 1600 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xff03cd…
06-08 05:44:58	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc4f217…
06-08 01:41:21	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	61	1¢	$0	0x081eb8…
06-08 01:25:36	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x625a13…
06-07 13:42:09	solana above 60 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd26ccc…
06-07 08:02:00	ethereum above 1500 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x249161…
06-07 07:50:09	ethereum above 1500 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x743a14…
06-07 07:49:33	ethereum above 1500 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3985df…
06-07 04:12:18	solana above 60 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa40542…
06-07 01:36:06	solana above 60 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x0570a2…
06-06 11:32:07	solana above 70 on june 6 2026	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x316deb…
06-06 11:22:45	ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe20dbb…
06-06 11:22:42	ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf0f97f…
06-06 08:17:18	solana above 70 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x029b63…
06-06 08:14:00	solana above 70 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x680066…
06-06 07:53:18	solana above 70 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x1609ed…
06-06 04:59:01	ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xdcac55…
06-06 04:44:16	ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xab3771…
06-06 04:26:09	ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x17bab2…
06-06 01:57:09	solana above 70 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xee2d0a…
06-05 20:50:16	ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf9ac5a…
06-05 15:37:40	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x094dfc…
06-05 15:29:40	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x64cc68…
06-05 15:16:16	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x48ea9b…
06-05 13:42:01	solana above 70 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9889ed…
06-04 16:59:45	xrp updown 15m 1780591500	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xfaed39…
06-04 16:58:45	xrp updown 15m 1780591500	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb58c00…
06-04 14:59:58	xrp updown 15m 1780584300	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x0c5e2f…
06-04 14:59:54	xrp updown 15m 1780584300	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x2707e9…
06-04 14:59:21	btc updown 15m 1780584300	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x366dbb…
06-04 14:58:46	xrp updown 15m 1780584300	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb50c0d…
06-04 14:58:06	btc updown 15m 1780584300	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x034f09…
06-04 03:15:51	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x62e701…
06-03 23:03:39	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xee481e…
06-03 20:23:49	btc updown 15m 1780517700	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x745009…
06-03 20:23:24	xrp updown 15m 1780517700	Up	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x4a6af3…
06-03 20:21:12	btc updown 15m 1780517700	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd59ad5…
06-03 20:20:07	xrp updown 15m 1780517700	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x64a839…
06-03 03:42:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x60f5b6…
06-02 23:24:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x1f45a3…
06-02 23:02:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x5e51dd…
06-02 16:10:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb337ed…
06-02 15:45:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x633d5b…
06-02 15:45:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x15709b…
06-01 12:19:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0b3a18…
06-01 02:15:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x620a0b…
05-31 21:51:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x94ee39…
05-31 01:45:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa5f7d1…
05-30 09:37:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xd820ae…
05-30 06:00:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0x4da0b5…
05-30 03:32:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3b2f3a…
05-30 03:32:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2a0244…
05-29 19:20:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6d436c…
05-29 19:18:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xaf2e68…
05-29 16:17:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x732bfc…
05-29 15:38:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7f30d6…
05-29 15:32:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb6517f…
05-29 15:32:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x7691fd…
05-29 09:30:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x226bbd…
05-28 16:41:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x771da2…
05-28 16:40:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x142374…
05-28 14:01:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?	No	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xd597ef…
05-28 13:14:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xac3c24…
05-28 12:12:05	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xcf4732…
05-28 12:08:49	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa9f111…
05-28 11:59:36	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x578b7c…
05-28 11:55:33	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc47102…
05-28 11:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x6a9c31…
05-28 11:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa96f88…
05-28 11:14:06	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x179676…
05-28 11:13:15	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x89ffa9…
05-28 10:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x4cd683…
05-28 10:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1c794d…
05-28 10:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xfa434f…
05-28 10:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb195ce…
05-28 09:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x541691…
05-28 09:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcfbd11…
05-28 09:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1bacc5…
05-28 09:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x751884…
05-28 09:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x3c6a47…
05-28 09:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x7ffd4e…
05-28 09:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb0075a…
05-28 08:55:35	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x8b7be5…
05-28 08:52:23	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x55120a…
05-28 08:44:06	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x77acda…
05-28 08:43:27	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xdae6b4…
05-28 08:40:27	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6cd793…
05-28 07:59:37	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x4e9c84…
05-28 07:58:52	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x189af7…
05-28 05:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xd24da3…
05-28 05:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xecbc2a…
05-28 04:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x78a1ce…
05-28 04:42:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x083828…
05-28 02:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x07211d…
05-28 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3eb072…
05-28 02:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1abe0f…
05-28 02:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xefb6a3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Periodic-Setback 0x8e84…cb71	618	$978	2,589	06-04 16:59
(anonymous) 0x4336…e51c	614	$619	3,288	06-04 16:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	593	$155.4K	15,452	05-28 11:58
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	553	$356.1K	114,338	06-04 16:59
(anonymous) 0x912a…0f92	543	$51.0K	12,504	06-04 14:53
(anonymous) 0x6b1b…1923	416	$45.5K	10,868	04-17 04:42
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	412	$10.2K	1,450	04-17 04:35
Super-Something 0x4709…f6c2	382	$44.0K	1,310	05-20 20:10