Likely-Shield — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-09 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Other

41% — —

Tech

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	3	$81	40	40	+0	open	—	07-20 14:27
ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	5	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	07-24 13:16
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	07-30 06:28
bitcoin above 70k on july 27 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	07-26 09:16
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	07-26 07:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	3	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	05-26 08:33
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 23	3	$59	29	29	+0	open	—	07-23 21:17
bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	07-29 23:22
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	3	$47	28	19	+9	open	—	06-01 01:11
bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	07-20 03:06
bitcoin above 70k on august 6 2026	2	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	08-05 14:27
will bitcoin reach 82k on april 17	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 23:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 23:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 12:55
Will "Mass" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	3	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-27 18:25
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 14c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 10:40
will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	07-24 18:19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	05-31 12:28
will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-20 14:50
highest temperature in milan on april 22 2026 15c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-22 11:51
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 34c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 11:04
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 26c	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-24 10:10
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 76forhigher	3	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 23:19
will nflx reach 120 by april 13 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 16:22
xrp above 1pt3 on july 25 2026	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	07-24 13:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 30?	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 01:16
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-17 01:51
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 03:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 2?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 17:16
highest temperature in panama city on april 20 2026 29c	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-20 01:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 20:25:31	will ethereum reach 2050 on august 10	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5ea387…
08-09 17:59:57	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x01e85f…
08-09 09:45:48	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xae2e7b…
08-09 05:09:27	ethereum above 2300 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xea8788…
08-06 07:06:12	bitcoin above 62k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x58fe92…
08-05 22:43:20	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x93e382…
08-05 19:49:50	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xf7b2b9…
08-05 14:27:24	bitcoin above 70k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e0874…
08-05 12:09:06	bitcoin above 70k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xcf0ebb…
07-30 06:28:45	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x1ec88b…
07-30 00:37:23	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb23863…
07-29 23:22:29	bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x18ec25…
07-29 18:42:27	bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0100e8…
07-29 16:04:12	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x710179…
07-29 12:41:27	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xac9704…
07-29 12:32:14	ethereum above 2100 on july 29 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x79575d…
07-29 11:46:05	ethereum above 2100 on july 29 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xde06d2…
07-29 11:14:05	ethereum above 2100 on july 29 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd5743f…
07-29 11:01:24	ethereum above 2100 on july 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x354da2…
07-28 01:24:13	xrp above 1pt3 on july 28 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x67369a…
07-27 17:50:18	xrp above 1pt3 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8928e8…
07-27 00:08:57	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8ad342…
07-26 09:16:30	bitcoin above 70k on july 27 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x8935e2…
07-26 07:22:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x0b8edb…
07-26 07:01:57	bitcoin above 70k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1ab737…
07-26 06:37:22	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x669781…
07-26 00:40:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xef8fb1…
07-25 00:20:24	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 24	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x242dc4…
07-24 19:05:16	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 24	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6c7840…
07-24 18:19:03	will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0a1480…
07-24 17:07:55	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7734cb…
07-24 15:26:36	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x387720…
07-24 13:20:46	xrp above 1pt3 on july 25 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0xf8f4ae…
07-24 13:16:12	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8e4e9f…
07-24 09:47:52	xrp above 1pt3 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xacca10…
07-24 06:40:04	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe07504…
07-24 06:37:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdde845…
07-24 06:00:10	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x358d91…
07-23 22:41:24	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfb5fde…
07-23 21:17:43	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 23	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xec9bb3…
07-23 20:48:51	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 23	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x489260…
07-23 19:33:25	will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2183ac…
07-23 14:10:54	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 23	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x11f688…
07-22 03:55:21	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7b1a87…
07-21 10:31:30	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8f1d1…
07-20 14:50:31	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbbedc7…
07-20 14:45:00	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x069580…
07-20 14:27:52	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x828acc…
07-20 12:48:42	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc81593…
07-20 10:32:55	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfc6e72…
07-20 10:18:10	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe0099b…
07-20 03:06:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0x6b2c77…
07-20 01:42:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xdf88f7…
07-19 21:33:55	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe098aa…
07-19 21:00:39	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3687ff…
07-11 01:10:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4d9a48…
06-09 01:36:57	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfb4af4…
06-09 00:12:12	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x11168b…
06-09 00:09:40	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe24813…
06-07 23:09:21	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x046259…
06-01 13:13:10	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0a9dd4…
06-01 01:11:28	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1157e…
06-01 00:00:20	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x903922…
05-31 22:23:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xadb263…
05-31 12:28:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x020a3a…
05-31 12:22:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4c8565…
05-31 01:31:05	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x73a759…
05-31 01:03:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x642026…
05-30 19:37:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x817e02…
05-30 15:50:56	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0d3c3f…
05-30 15:07:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8918b…
05-30 10:06:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x57396a…
05-30 10:00:36	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa9f25f…
05-30 05:44:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd51d7…
05-29 18:21:33	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xecfaea…
05-29 17:30:17	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc02023…
05-29 16:24:41	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8f614c…
05-29 14:04:50	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x25c15d…
05-27 00:24:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf9826f…
05-26 19:52:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x03210e…
05-26 11:29:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2fa1fc…
05-26 08:33:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x5588d6…
05-26 06:31:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3bccd1…
05-26 03:52:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x653d34…
05-25 20:08:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x046f14…
05-25 19:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8f2728…
05-25 13:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcd9172…
05-25 12:55:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1777d0…
05-25 04:48:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x15b865…
05-22 15:25:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x513784…
05-21 23:11:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xab20ce…
05-21 23:09:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x631d97…
05-21 13:01:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa89428…
05-21 10:39:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x282d71…
05-21 09:43:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x6011bb…
05-20 17:58:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x98f948…
05-19 21:37:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdb26c5…
05-18 20:20:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa5c12b…
05-18 15:01:41	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x168fc4…
05-17 01:51:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3fd2ea…