Likely-Shield — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-21 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Crypto

44% 100% +$0

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	3	$81	40	40	+0	open	—	07-20 14:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	3	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	05-26 08:33
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	3	$47	28	19	+9	open	—	06-01 01:11
bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	07-20 03:06
will bitcoin reach 82k on april 17	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 23:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 23:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 12:55
Will "Mass" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	3	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-27 18:25
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 14c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 10:40
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	05-31 12:28
will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-20 14:50
highest temperature in milan on april 22 2026 15c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-22 11:51
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 34c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 11:04
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 26c	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-24 10:10
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 76forhigher	3	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 23:19
will nflx reach 120 by april 13 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 16:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 30?	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 01:16
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-17 01:51
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 03:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 2?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 17:16
highest temperature in panama city on april 20 2026 29c	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-20 01:21
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 15 2026 27c	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-15 19:13
Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 13:13
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 25 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 06:26
will dandelion ella langley debut week album sales be less than 60k	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 15:16
highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 31c	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 10:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 14:31
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 13:43
bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	07-19 21:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 10:31:30	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8f1d1…
07-20 14:50:31	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbbedc7…
07-20 14:45:00	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x069580…
07-20 14:27:52	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x828acc…
07-20 12:48:42	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc81593…
07-20 10:32:55	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfc6e72…
07-20 10:18:10	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe0099b…
07-20 03:06:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0x6b2c77…
07-20 01:42:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xdf88f7…
07-19 21:33:55	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe098aa…
07-19 21:00:39	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3687ff…
07-11 01:10:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4d9a48…
06-09 01:36:57	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfb4af4…
06-09 00:12:12	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x11168b…
06-09 00:09:40	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe24813…
06-07 23:09:21	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x046259…
06-01 13:13:10	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0a9dd4…
06-01 01:11:28	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1157e…
06-01 00:00:20	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x903922…
05-31 22:23:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xadb263…
05-31 12:28:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x020a3a…
05-31 12:22:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4c8565…
05-31 01:31:05	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x73a759…
05-31 01:03:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x642026…
05-30 19:37:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x817e02…
05-30 15:50:56	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0d3c3f…
05-30 15:07:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8918b…
05-30 10:06:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x57396a…
05-30 10:00:36	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa9f25f…
05-30 05:44:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd51d7…
05-29 18:21:33	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xecfaea…
05-29 17:30:17	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc02023…
05-29 16:24:41	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8f614c…
05-29 14:04:50	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x25c15d…
05-27 00:24:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf9826f…
05-26 19:52:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x03210e…
05-26 11:29:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2fa1fc…
05-26 08:33:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x5588d6…
05-26 06:31:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3bccd1…
05-26 03:52:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x653d34…
05-25 20:08:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x046f14…
05-25 19:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8f2728…
05-25 13:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcd9172…
05-25 12:55:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1777d0…
05-25 04:48:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x15b865…
05-22 15:25:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x513784…
05-21 23:11:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xab20ce…
05-21 23:09:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x631d97…
05-21 13:01:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa89428…
05-21 10:39:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x282d71…
05-21 09:43:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x6011bb…
05-20 17:58:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x98f948…
05-19 21:37:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdb26c5…
05-18 20:20:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa5c12b…
05-18 15:01:41	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x168fc4…
05-17 01:51:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3fd2ea…
05-16 18:34:24	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb61215…
05-16 14:31:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2ac741…
05-16 11:29:51	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x69c879…
05-16 08:10:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3ab3d0…
05-14 22:28:08	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd19fe1…
05-14 20:25:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9245df…
05-14 19:18:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x272e99…
05-14 12:29:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x18a620…
05-12 03:21:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x09a664…
05-11 19:28:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fd14d…
05-07 12:30:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x250cb5…
05-04 04:25:06	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc9a80a…
05-03 17:04:18	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x89f126…
05-02 17:16:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb2ac43…
05-02 12:40:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x78e743…
05-01 22:36:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeaaa3e…
05-01 20:07:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 27 above $220?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb8f303…
05-01 20:07:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 27 above $220?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa3bfac…
05-01 07:29:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0x23e4bf…
05-01 04:01:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 27 above $220?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9ba7d8…
05-01 03:48:08	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x28b7ba…
05-01 01:16:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd95ab1…
04-30 21:22:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9040a6…
04-30 15:56:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6965fb…
04-30 15:08:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x2a4a84…
04-30 11:58:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x659780…
04-29 14:57:08	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3b27fa…
04-27 18:25:04	Will "Mass" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbabc07…
04-27 15:42:58	Will "Mass" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xabe5cd…
04-27 14:14:52	Will "Mass" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9aa96c…
04-27 14:03:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on April 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x14e545…
04-27 12:38:04	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2b086a…
04-26 14:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe906a1…
04-26 11:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7fc612…
04-26 09:14:56	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x600fd9…
04-25 04:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x56a9eb…
04-25 01:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x8a25c3…
04-24 21:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x20c56f…
04-24 17:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x843319…
04-24 13:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3b1046…
04-24 11:11:52	highest temperature in denver on april 24 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1f29e6…
04-24 10:10:50	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 26c	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xbf2c6a…
04-24 09:58:00	lowest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 41forbelow	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x31f620…
04-24 08:27:38	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb5fa7e…