Kind-Senator 0x4b91aa…78982d Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$500
Unrealized P&L
-$88
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved
3,605
Trades
28,072
lifetime
Volume
$31.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$78
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 11-04 04:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
51% 23% +$553
Politics
27% 26% +$28
Crypto
12% 27% -$51
Tech
10% 26% -$11
Sports
0% 40% -$15
Pop-Culture
0% 27% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -48 -$7 22¢ $-11 -$3 05-20 19:23
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -60 $0 11¢ $-7 -$6 06-13 23:59
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 $0 06-12 07:23
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +100 $9 3¢ $3 -$5 06-16 10:13
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $6 3¢ $3 -$3 06-05 06:28
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 Yes +100 $8 3¢ $3 -$5 06-13 13:50
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +100 $4 3¢ $3 -$1 06-09 15:19
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +100 $10 3¢ $3 -$7 05-29 15:05
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -60 $0 5¢ $-3 -$3 06-08 18:42
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 3¢ $3 -$4 06-09 14:15
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +100 $6 2¢ $3 -$3 06-15 07:41
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $4 2¢ $2 -$1 06-09 14:59
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 06-12 22:14
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 2¢ $2 -$6 06-14 12:47
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 2¢ $2 -$6 06-09 13:28
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +100 $9 2¢ $2 -$7 06-14 18:33
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -60 $0 3¢ $-2 -$2 06-15 00:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 2¢ $2 -$7 05-31 08:03
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Yes +100 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 06-04 22:59
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 2¢ $2 -$5 06-04 01:59
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -60 -$1 3¢ $-2 -$1 08-16 23:32
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 05-15 19:55
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 04-30 07:36
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 1¢ $1 -$3 06-05 16:01
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $9 1¢ $1 -$8 05-16 21:48
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -63 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$4 06-04 07:12
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 06-12 02:39
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? Yes -49 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 04-30 21:53
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -60 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 05-10 02:16
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes +100 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 05-27 17:42