Kind-Senator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

241

Trades

18,509

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 07-12 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

53% 23% +$57

Politics

19% 14% $-12

Crypto

18% 32% +$1

Tech

9% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	165	$586	7,362	7,296	+65	open	—	05-29 20:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	184	$359	2,605	2,894	-290	open	—	06-14 12:22
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	140	$261	3,067	3,067	+0	open	—	03-31 01:23
netanyahu out by march 31 854	154	$256	4,260	4,224	+36	open	—	03-29 01:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	41	$227	1,925	1,825	+100	open	—	06-12 15:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	148	$202	3,636	3,629	+7	open	—	04-27 01:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	27	$192	1,228	1,000	+228	open	—	06-12 19:49
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	28	$178	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	06-12 19:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	149	$170	3,606	3,547	+60	open	—	03-29 05:04
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	121	$164	3,190	3,160	+30	open	—	03-30 11:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	136	$146	5,507	5,407	+100	open	—	05-29 21:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	108	$144	2,655	2,706	-51	open	—	04-27 19:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	90	$141	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	04-27 20:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	27	$134	927	879	+48	open	—	06-14 06:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	150	$129	3,801	3,801	+0	open	—	04-28 10:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	52	$129	2,189	2,089	+100	open	—	06-12 16:03
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	58	$125	1,257	1,185	+72	Yes	$-0	04-19 11:18
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	72	$122	1,446	1,461	-15	open	—	03-31 02:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	69	$120	2,292	2,350	-59	open	—	05-14 13:32
GTA VI released before June 2026?	186	$115	5,118	4,963	+155	open	—	05-31 07:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	39	$114	1,151	1,211	-60	open	—	03-29 19:20
Iran Nuke before 2027?	15	$107	600	600	+0	open	—	06-16 10:13
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$106	100	100	+0	Yes	+$92	05-01 09:16
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	123	$103	3,230	3,165	+65	open	—	03-30 06:13
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	113	$103	2,669	2,573	+95	open	—	03-29 20:00
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	89	$100	2,286	2,281	+5	open	—	03-31 07:22
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	62	$100	1,621	1,621	+0	open	—	03-30 04:53
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	23	$91	997	1,097	-100	open	—	06-12 19:42
Netanyahu out by April 30?	78	$91	2,082	2,027	+55	open	—	04-17 14:47
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	108	$90	2,641	2,616	+25	open	—	03-30 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 16:13:44	Project Helix release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x193108…
07-08 02:57:22	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0x384557…
07-08 02:56:55	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0x4c8503…
07-08 02:56:32	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x46b3f9…
07-04 14:57:56	Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x27a60c…
07-01 09:15:05	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xac5c9f…
07-01 02:30:32	will epic games valuation hit high 17pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x66f9fe…
06-30 08:05:47	Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xa95d96…
06-29 08:36:47	will krakens valuation hit high 17pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x584c91…
06-29 03:51:13	Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x0402f2…
06-29 03:51:10	Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc1c41b…
06-29 03:51:08	Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x31cf00…
06-29 03:51:05	Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0f0be6…
06-29 01:43:37	will krakens valuation hit high 17pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0xbcb7e6…
06-27 17:10:26	will epic games valuation hit high 20b by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe4af71…
06-27 11:06:37	Will Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4dc867…
06-27 08:39:16	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc785ea…
06-27 08:38:16	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfba7e7…
06-27 08:36:38	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x27a5d1…
06-27 08:21:17	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6a3ad3…
06-27 08:17:22	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8dd6a0…
06-27 08:13:25	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x42f277…
06-27 07:43:38	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8486f7…
06-27 07:42:20	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe0c9d3…
06-27 07:41:02	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb9ea17…
06-27 07:39:13	Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x235d79…
06-27 03:08:05	Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x80aa8e…
06-26 22:45:40	Will Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa78431…
06-25 18:03:01	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xaf8b6f…
06-25 18:01:28	will stripes valuation hit high 200b by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2a5c82…
06-25 18:01:25	will stripes valuation hit high 210b by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xaff03a…
06-25 15:01:58	Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfe66f1…
06-25 14:56:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x58ba7f…
06-25 11:16:04	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xe9aaed…
06-25 11:15:31	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x436a1a…
06-25 11:12:11	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xd73764…
06-24 15:50:05	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xb9896a…
06-24 15:45:04	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0x949dab…
06-24 15:44:59	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0x530b75…
06-24 15:39:55	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x21716f…
06-24 15:39:53	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xdba7f2…
06-23 14:25:14	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x33bc68…
06-23 10:06:32	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe345cf…
06-22 05:32:07	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x822aa8…
06-19 01:04:04	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xff61c7…
06-18 19:51:17	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0x8d5da7…
06-18 14:55:53	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x783f71…
06-17 04:59:25	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x4164e3…
06-17 04:56:46	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$0	0xa9c42e…
06-16 20:14:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x6d8196…
06-16 18:21:28	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xd0dd5b…
06-16 12:58:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0xbd66f4…
06-16 12:48:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xf2810a…
06-16 12:42:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x2a0e74…
06-16 10:13:12	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x510689…
06-16 06:58:16	Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x351cdc…
06-15 14:48:57	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa83a18…
06-15 09:26:57	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x31048a…
06-15 08:51:03	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x16504b…
06-15 08:16:10	Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x11249d…
06-15 08:09:06	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8604fd…
06-15 07:57:21	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xf37478…
06-15 07:41:19	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x75328e…
06-15 07:38:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	97	4¢	$4	0x69c100…
06-15 06:14:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x24fe5a…
06-15 06:12:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x8fe5b7…
06-15 04:16:27	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x780c58…
06-15 03:47:46	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1192ac…
06-15 03:45:55	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb07206…
06-15 03:06:39	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6a2f88…
06-15 03:06:34	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfc4298…
06-15 02:46:36	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x092960…
06-15 02:46:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xec2bb6…
06-15 02:41:15	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x5e4021…
06-15 01:48:16	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x93519e…
06-15 01:13:16	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdd8db8…
06-15 01:08:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0f80f8…
06-15 00:51:33	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x077cac…
06-15 00:32:42	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb1b116…
06-14 23:26:46	Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc1901f…
06-14 23:07:31	Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xac8153…
06-14 22:33:34	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0c99a3…
06-14 22:05:33	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xb6a1c7…
06-14 22:03:43	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x4a59f3…
06-14 22:02:42	Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbd9a3d…
06-14 21:56:24	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x745c21…
06-14 21:53:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x43a81a…
06-14 21:49:00	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x4d944e…
06-14 21:28:52	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x34e60e…
06-14 21:07:28	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xa614d3…
06-14 20:56:27	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xa03479…
06-14 20:26:04	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x102c72…
06-14 19:37:25	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ec15f…
06-14 19:00:39	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xebcfcf…
06-14 18:33:21	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x9b911f…
06-14 18:27:06	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x763c0f…
06-14 18:22:00	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x59b544…
06-14 17:22:04	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	0¢	$1	0xf48a8d…
06-14 17:00:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0x1353c4…
06-14 16:47:10	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x9cc5e1…