Realized P&L
+$46
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
47.2%
Resolved
241
Trades
17,922
lifetime
Volume
$18.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$161
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 06-10 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
55% 23% +$57
Politics
20% 14% $-12
Crypto
19% 32% +$1
Tech
7%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 661 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +100 $10 13¢ $13 +$3 05-29 15:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -158 $-11 $-11 $-0 06-10 03:07
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +89 $10 11¢ $10 $-0 06-01 05:09
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $11 $9 $-2 06-06 08:42
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $8 +$1 06-09 13:28
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $8 +$0 06-09 14:15
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $9 $8 $-1 06-09 16:35
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $6 $8 +$2 06-05 06:28
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $6 $-1 06-04 01:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-2 05-31 08:03
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 $6 +$2 06-05 16:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +100 $6 $6 $-0 06-09 06:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +100 $3 $5 +$3 06-10 03:21
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $5 $5 +$0 06-10 00:47
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? Yes -99 $-5 $-5 $-0 06-02 23:08
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +100 $5 $4 $-0 05-30 21:30
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +100 $4 $4 +$1 06-04 14:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -52 $-4 $-4 $-0 06-08 17:09
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Yes +100 $5 $4 $-1 06-04 22:59
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -63 $-5 $-4 +$1 06-04 07:12
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +100 $4 $4 +$0 06-02 20:56
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +100 $2 $3 +$2 06-01 19:18
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $3 $3 $-0 06-09 23:40
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +100 $2 $3 +$1 06-09 00:59
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +100 $4 $3 $-1 06-02 17:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes +100 $2 $2 +$0 06-09 13:40
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +21 $2 11¢ $2 +$1 06-05 07:44
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? No -100 $-5 $-2 +$3 05-30 23:12
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 $-1 05-29 20:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -37 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-04 17:37