Realized P&L
+$486
Unrealized P&L
-$63
Hit rate
51.0%
Resolved
3,567
Trades
28,071
lifetime
Volume
$31.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$87
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 10-23 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Other
51% 23% +$525
Politics
27% 27% +$43
Crypto
12% 27% -$51
Tech
10% 26% -$11
Sports
0% 40% -$15
Pop-Culture
0% 27% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -48 -$7 28¢ $-14 -$6 05-20 19:23
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +100 $5 8¢ $8 +$3 06-12 07:23
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 Yes +100 $8 5¢ $5 -$3 06-13 13:50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +100 $6 5¢ $5 -$1 06-15 07:41
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +100 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 06-14 18:33
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $6 4¢ $4 -$2 06-05 06:28
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +100 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 06-16 10:13
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +100 $10 4¢ $4 -$6 05-29 15:05
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 3¢ $3 -$5 06-14 12:47
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 3¢ $3 -$4 06-09 14:15
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 3¢ $3 -$5 06-09 13:28
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 3¢ $3 -$4 06-04 01:59
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $2 3¢ $3 +$0 06-12 22:14
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -60 $0 4¢ $-2 -$2 06-13 23:59
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -60 $0 4¢ $-2 -$2 06-15 00:49
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 06-05 16:01
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 06-09 14:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 2¢ $2 -$7 05-31 08:03
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 05-15 19:55
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -60 $0 3¢ $-2 -$1 06-08 18:42
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 04-30 07:36
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -60 -$1 2¢ $-1 -$1 08-16 23:32
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -63 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$4 06-04 07:12
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes +100 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 05-27 17:42
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +51 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 06-15 08:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -52 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 08-23 13:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +163 $7 1¢ $1 -$6 06-13 08:32
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 06-12 08:20
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 06-12 02:39
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -60 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 05-10 02:16