Realized P&L
+$46
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
47.2%
Resolved
241
Trades
18,501
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$181
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 06-29 08:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
53% 23% +$57
Politics
19% 14% $-12
Crypto
18% 32% +$1
Tech
9%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-28 22¢ $-21 +$6 06-14 22:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +100 $10 14¢ $14 +$4 06-14 21:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -248 $-17 $-13 +$4 06-14 12:22
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $19 $12 $-7 06-14 12:47
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +100 $5 11¢ $11 +$6 06-12 07:23
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $6 10¢ $10 +$4 06-05 06:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -100 $-10 $-8 +$2 06-16 12:58
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $8 +$0 06-09 14:15
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +89 $6 $7 +$1 06-15 07:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-2 05-31 08:03
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-3 06-14 18:33
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $6 $-2 06-09 13:28
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $5 $-2 06-04 01:59
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? Yes -99 $-5 $-5 +$0 06-02 23:08
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 $4 +$0 06-05 16:01
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $5 $4 $-0 06-10 00:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +100 $5 $4 $-0 05-30 21:30
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -63 $-5 $-4 +$1 06-04 07:12
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +100 $10 $4 $-6 05-29 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 $4 $-1 06-13 01:12
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Yes +100 $5 $3 $-2 06-04 22:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +48 $4 $3 $-1 06-14 06:49
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30? Yes +100 $0 $3 +$3 06-27 08:39
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $3 $3 $-1 06-12 02:39
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $3 $-4 06-11 11:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +63 $2 $2 +$0 06-13 08:32
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $3 $2 $-1 06-09 23:40
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +21 $2 $2 +$0 06-05 07:44
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-05 05:07
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +100 $4 $1 $-3 06-02 17:15