Realized P&L
-$409
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
69.8%
Resolved
1,695
Trades
2,546
lifetime
Volume
$63.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.78K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 16:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Other
43% 93% -$314
Politics
33% 89% -$16
Crypto
14% 96% +$6
Sports
10% 92% -$93
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +201 $200 100¢ $201 +$1 08-10 07:37
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +201 $200 100¢ $201 +$1 08-08 15:19
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +201 $200 99¢ $200 $0 08-24 20:21
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +200 $198 98¢ $197 -$1 09-22 15:51
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -150 -$145 98¢ $-148 -$2 08-12 17:53
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +600 $124 22¢ $135 +$11 10-02 17:41
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +175 $125 74¢ $129 +$4 09-24 18:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +115 $100 94¢ $107 +$7 08-15 07:33
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 09-16 06:27
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 $0 09-20 07:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +300 $39 16¢ $50 +$10 09-27 08:43
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +300 $42 14¢ $40 -$2 10-13 16:44
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 07-22 13:11
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -20 -$18 86¢ $-17 +$1 08-15 17:59
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -10 -$10 100¢ $-10 $0 08-31 18:34
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -10 -$10 100¢ $-10 +$0 09-08 01:51
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -10 -$10 100¢ $-10 $0 09-04 03:27
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 09-08 01:28
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 10-29 16:04
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 +$0 08-25 12:23
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -10 -$10 100¢ $-10 $0 08-18 06:48
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 10-09 13:34
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -10 -$10 96¢ $-10 +$0 08-25 04:56
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -10 -$8 97¢ $-10 -$2 08-24 20:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +8 $6 96¢ $8 +$2 05-24 07:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -18 -$9 40¢ $-7 +$1 08-28 00:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8 $6 92¢ $7 +$1 05-09 13:16
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -6 -$6 99¢ $-6 $0 08-19 02:25
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-28 09:09
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 05-09 13:16